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China Shenhua Energy's (HKG:1088) Three-year Total Shareholder Returns Outpace the Underlying Earnings Growth

China Shenhua Energy's (HKG:1088) Three-year Total Shareholder Returns Outpace the Underlying Earnings Growth

中国神华能源(HKG:1088)的三年总股东回报率超过了基础收益增长。
Simply Wall St ·  07/11 21:00

China Shenhua Energy Company Limited (HKG:1088) shareholders have seen the share price descend 11% over the month. In contrast, the return over three years has been impressive. In three years the stock price has launched 126% higher: a great result. To some, the recent share price pullback wouldn't be surprising after such a good run. If the business can perform well for years to come, then the recent drop could be an opportunity.

中国神华能源股份有限公司(HKG:1088)的股东们看到股价在一个月内下跌了11%。相比之下,过去三年的回报表现出色。在三年内,股票价格上涨了126%:非常出色的成绩。对一些人来说,在这样一个良好的牛市之后,最近的股价回撤并不会让人惊讶。如果业绩未来多年保持良好,则最近的下降可能是一个机会。

Since the long term performance has been good but there's been a recent pullback of 8.8%, let's check if the fundamentals match the share price.

自从长期表现良好,但最近出现了8.8%的回撤,让我们来检查一下基本面是否匹配股价。

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

引用本杰明·格雷厄姆的话:短期内市场是一个投票机,但长期来看它是一个称重机。评估公司周边环境的情绪变化的一种有缺陷但合理的方法是将每股收益(EPS)与股价进行比较。

During three years of share price growth, China Shenhua Energy achieved compound earnings per share growth of 15% per year. This EPS growth is lower than the 31% average annual increase in the share price. This indicates that the market is feeling more optimistic on the stock, after the last few years of progress. It's not unusual to see the market 're-rate' a stock, after a few years of growth.

在三年的股价增长期间,中国神华能源的每股收益复合增长率为15%。这种EPS增长低于股价平均每年增长31%。这表明,在过去的几年取得进展之后,市场感到更加乐观。在几年的增长之后,看到市场“重新评价”一只股票并不罕见。

You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

下面可以看到每股收益随时间的变化情况(通过点击图像来查看确切数值)。

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SEHK:1088 Earnings Per Share Growth July 12th 2024
SEHK:1088每股收益成长2024年7月12日

Dive deeper into China Shenhua Energy's key metrics by checking this interactive graph of China Shenhua Energy's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

通过检查中国神华能源的收益、营业收入和现金流量的交互式图表,深入了解中国神华能源的关键指标。

What About Dividends?

那么分红怎么样呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. As it happens, China Shenhua Energy's TSR for the last 3 years was 208%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

除了衡量股价回报率外,投资者还应考虑总股东回报率(TSR)。TSR包括任何分拆或折价募集资本的价值,以及根据股息再投资的任何股息。可以说,TSR为支付股息的股票提供了更完整的图片。事实上,中国神华能源过去3年的TSR为208%,超过了前面提到的股价回报率。而且,毫无疑问,股息支付在很大程度上解释了这种差异!

A Different Perspective

不同的观点

It's nice to see that China Shenhua Energy shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 53% over the last year. Of course, that includes the dividend. That's better than the annualised return of 30% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Take risks, for example - China Shenhua Energy has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

很高兴看到中国神华能源股东在过去一年中获得了总股东回报率达53%。当然,其中包括股息。这比半个十年的年化回报率30%更好,这意味着公司近期表现更好。在最理想的情况下,这可能暗示着一些真正的业务动量,这意味着现在深入研究可能是一个绝佳的时机。虽然仔细考虑市场状况可能对股价产生的不同影响是非常值得的,但还有其他更重要的因素。例如,风险——我们认为中国神华能源有1个警告信号值得您注意。

But note: China Shenhua Energy may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

但请注意:中国神华能源可能不是最好的股票购买选择。因此,查看此自由列出过去盈利增长(以及进一步增长预测)的有趣公司列表。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了当前在香港证券交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

对本文有反馈? 对内容感到担忧? 请直接与我们联系。 或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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