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Returns On Capital Signal Tricky Times Ahead For Digital China Group (SZSE:000034)

Returns On Capital Signal Tricky Times Ahead For Digital China Group (SZSE:000034)

资本回报率的回报表明神州数码(SZSE:000034)未来可能面临困难时期。
Simply Wall St ·  07/11 21:22

Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key financial metrics. Ideally, a business will show two trends; firstly a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an increasing amount of capital employed. Ultimately, this demonstrates that it's a business that is reinvesting profits at increasing rates of return. Although, when we looked at Digital China Group (SZSE:000034), it didn't seem to tick all of these boxes.

寻找有潜力大幅增长的企业并不容易,但若关注几个关键的财务指标是有可能实现的。理想情况下,一家企业应该呈现出两个趋势;首先是资本回报率(ROCE)的增长,其次是资本投入的不断增加。最终,这表明这是一家在以不断提高的回报率重新投资利润的企业。尽管如此,当我们研究神州数码集团(SZSE: 000034)时,它似乎并未具备这些方面的优势。

Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)

上面您可以看到蒙托克可再生能源现行ROCE与之前资本回报的比较,但过去只能知道这么多。如果您感兴趣,可以查看我们免费的蒙托克可再生能源分析师报告,了解分析师的预测。

If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Digital China Group:

如果您之前没有接触过ROCE,那么它衡量的是公司从其业务中所投入的资本中产生的“回报”(税前利润)。分析师利用此公式为神州数码计算ROCE:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

资产雇用回报率(ROCE)是指企业利润,即企业税前利润除以企业投入的总资本(负债加股权)。如果ROCE高于企业财务成本的承受能力,那么企业就会创造出更多的价值。

0.15 = CN¥2.3b ÷ (CN¥45b - CN¥30b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

0.15 = CN¥23亿 ÷ (CN¥450亿 - CN¥30b)(截至2024年3月的过去十二个月的数据)。

Thus, Digital China Group has an ROCE of 15%. On its own, that's a standard return, however it's much better than the 3.9% generated by the IT industry.

因此,神州数码的资本回报率为15%。 就其自身而言,这是一个标准的回报率,但远远优于IT行业的3.9%。

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SZSE:000034 Return on Capital Employed July 12th 2024
SZSE:000034 Return on Capital Employed July 12th 2024

Above you can see how the current ROCE for Digital China Group compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free analyst report for Digital China Group .

如上图所示,您可以比较神州数码目前的ROCE与以前的资本收益率。但过去只能告诉我们这么多。如果您想看看分析师未来的预测,可以查看我们的神州数码免费分析师报告。

The Trend Of ROCE

当寻找下一个倍增器时,如果您不确定从哪里开始,请关注几个关键趋势。首先,我们希望看到一个经过验证的资本使用率。如果您看到这一点,通常意味着这是一家拥有出色业务模式和大量盈利再投资机会的公司。然而,调查蒙托克可再生能源公司(NASDAQ:MNTK)后,我们认为它的现行趋势不符合倍增器的模式。

When we looked at the ROCE trend at Digital China Group, we didn't gain much confidence. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 22%, but since then they've fallen to 15%. Meanwhile, the business is utilizing more capital but this hasn't moved the needle much in terms of sales in the past 12 months, so this could reflect longer term investments. It may take some time before the company starts to see any change in earnings from these investments.

当我们观察神州数码的ROCE趋势时,并没有让我们太有信心。大约五年前,资本回报率为22%,但自那以后就下降至15%。同时,企业正在利用更多的资本,但在过去12个月内,这并没有对销售产生很大的影响,因此这可能反映了长期投资。公司可能需要一些时间才能从这些投资中看到收益的变化。

On a side note, Digital China Group has done well to pay down its current liabilities to 66% of total assets. So we could link some of this to the decrease in ROCE. Effectively this means their suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of the business, which reduces some elements of risk. Some would claim this reduces the business' efficiency at generating ROCE since it is now funding more of the operations with its own money. Either way, they're still at a pretty high level, so we'd like to see them fall further if possible.

另外,神州数码已经成功地将其流动负债减少到总资产的66%。因此,我们可以将ROCE的下降与此联系在一起。实际上,这意味着他们的供应商或短期债权人为企业提供的资金减少了,这减少了某些风险因素。有些人认为,这减少了企业用自己的资金资助运营的效率,从而减少了企业的ROCE。无论哪种情况,它们仍处于相当高的水平,因此如果可能的话,我们希望它们进一步下降。

What We Can Learn From Digital China Group's ROCE

我们从神州数码的ROCE可以学到什么?

In summary, Digital China Group is reinvesting funds back into the business for growth but unfortunately it looks like sales haven't increased much just yet. Investors must think there's better things to come because the stock has knocked it out of the park, delivering a 101% gain to shareholders who have held over the last five years. But if the trajectory of these underlying trends continue, we think the likelihood of it being a multi-bagger from here isn't high.

总之,神州数码正将资金重新投入业务以促进增长,但不幸的是,销售额似乎还没有显著增加。投资者们可能认为未来会有更好的事情发生,因为股票在过去五年中获得了101%的收益,这让股东们感到很满意。但是如果这些潜在趋势持续下去,我们认为从现在开始成为多倍投资回报的可能性并不高。

One final note, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Digital China Group (including 1 which is significant) .

最后,请了解我们发现的两个警告信号,其中一个很重要。

If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.

如果您想寻找财务状况良好、回报卓越的实力强企业,可以免费查看以下公司列表。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

对本文有任何反馈?对内容有任何疑虑?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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