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Guangzhou Zhujiang Brewery (SZSE:002461) Seems To Use Debt Rather Sparingly

Guangzhou Zhujiang Brewery (SZSE:002461) Seems To Use Debt Rather Sparingly

珠江啤酒(SZSE:002461)似乎几乎不使用债务
Simply Wall St ·  07/11 21:42

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Guangzhou Zhujiang Brewery Co., Ltd (SZSE:002461) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

正如David Iben所说,“波动性并不是我们关心的风险。我们关心的是避免资本永久损失。”因此,当您考虑任何股票的风险时,需要考虑债务,因为过多的债务可能会使一家公司陷入困境。值得注意的是,珠江啤酒股份有限公司(SZSE:002461)确实持有债务。但是股东们是否应该担心它的债务使用呢?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

债务何时有危险?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

一般来说,当一家公司无法轻松偿还债务时,债务才会成为真正的问题,无论是通过筹集资本还是通过自己的现金流。最坏的情况是,如果一个公司不能偿还其债权人,它可能会破产。然而,更常见(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,一家公司必须以廉价的股价稀释股东,只是为了控制债务。话虽如此,最常见的情况是,一家公司可以合理管理债务,从而获得自身的优势。当我们审查债务水平时,我们首先考虑现金和债务水平。

What Is Guangzhou Zhujiang Brewery's Debt?

珠江啤酒的债务状况如何?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Guangzhou Zhujiang Brewery had debt of CN¥1.08b at the end of March 2024, a reduction from CN¥1.80b over a year. But it also has CN¥6.74b in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥5.66b net cash.

您可以点击下面的图像了解更详细的信息,显示珠江啤酒在2024年3月末的债务为10.8亿元人民币,较去年的18亿元人民币减少。但是,它还有67.4亿元人民币的现金来抵消,这意味着它有56.6亿元人民币的净现金。

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SZSE:002461 Debt to Equity History July 12th 2024
SZSE:002461的资产负债率历史数据截至2024年7月12日

How Healthy Is Guangzhou Zhujiang Brewery's Balance Sheet?

珠江啤酒的资产负债状况如何?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Guangzhou Zhujiang Brewery had liabilities of CN¥2.98b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥920.7m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥6.74b as well as receivables valued at CN¥27.0m due within 12 months. So it actually has CN¥2.87b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

最新的资产负债表数据显示,珠江啤酒有298亿元人民币的到期债务负担,以及9207万元人民币的到期负债。抵消这些义务的是它有674亿元人民币的现金以及价值2700万元人民币的应收账款。因此,实际上它拥有287亿元人民币的流动资产超过总负债。

This surplus suggests that Guangzhou Zhujiang Brewery is using debt in a way that is appears to be both safe and conservative. Because it has plenty of assets, it is unlikely to have trouble with its lenders. Succinctly put, Guangzhou Zhujiang Brewery boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

这份结余表明珠江啤酒在使用债务方面显然是安全和保守的。因为它拥有大量资产,所以不太可能与其债权人有问题。简而言之,珠江啤酒拥有净现金,因此可以说它没有沉重的债务负担!

Also good is that Guangzhou Zhujiang Brewery grew its EBIT at 15% over the last year, further increasing its ability to manage debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Guangzhou Zhujiang Brewery's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

同样的,珠江啤酒去年的EBIt增长了15%,进一步增加了处理债务的能力。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是明显的起点。但是,与其说是现在的平衡表,不如说是未来的收益,将决定珠江啤酒未来是否能保持健康的平衡表。因此,如果您关注未来,可以查看这份免费报告,其中显示了分析师的盈利预测。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. While Guangzhou Zhujiang Brewery has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. During the last three years, Guangzhou Zhujiang Brewery produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 67% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

最后,一家公司只能用冰冷的现金而不是会计利润来偿还债务。尽管珠江啤酒在资产负债表上拥有净现金,但我们仍然值得关注它将利润利息税前利润(EBIT)转化为自由现金流的能力,以帮助我们了解其建立或消耗现金平衡的速度。在过去的三年中,珠江啤酒产生了稳健的自由现金流,相当于其EBIt的67%,与我们的预期大致相当。这些冰冷的现金意味着它可以在希望偿还债务时减少资产负债表上的绝对债务。

Summing Up

总之

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Guangzhou Zhujiang Brewery has net cash of CN¥5.66b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. The cherry on top was that in converted 67% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in CN¥300m. So we don't think Guangzhou Zhujiang Brewery's use of debt is risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Guangzhou Zhujiang Brewery you should be aware of.

虽然我们理解投资者对债务的担忧,但是您需要记住,珠江啤酒拥有56.6亿元人民币的净现金,以及比负债更多的流动资产。此外,今年EBIt的67%被转化为自由现金流,获得了3亿元人民币。因此,我们认为珠江啤酒的债务使用并不冒险。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中获得有关债务的大多数信息。但是,最终,每家公司都可能存在超出资产负债表以外的风险。就拿这个例子来说:我们发现珠江啤酒存在1个警告信号,您应该了解其中的风险。

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

总的来说,专注于没有净债务的公司往往更好。您可以访问我们的特别列表,其中包含这些公司(所有这些公司都有盈利增长的记录)。这是免费的。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

对本文有反馈? 对内容感到担忧? 请直接与我们联系。 或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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