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Does Shanxi Lanhua Sci-Tech VentureLtd (SHSE:600123) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Does Shanxi Lanhua Sci-Tech VentureLtd (SHSE:600123) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

山西证券供股蓝花科技投资有限公司(SHSE:600123)是否拥有健康的资产负债表?
Simply Wall St ·  07/11 22:06

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Shanxi Lanhua Sci-Tech Venture Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600123) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

Berkshire Hathaway的Charlie Munger支持的外部基金经理Li Lu毫不避讳地说,'最大的投资风险不是价格波动性,而是你是否会遭受资本永久损失。' 当你检查企业如何冒险时,考虑到公司的资产负债表是再自然不过的事情了,因为公司倒闭往往涉及债务。重要的是,山西兰花科创股份有限公司(SHSE: 600123)确实负债。但是股东们应该担心它的负债使用吗?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

债务何时有危险?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

自由现金流或以有吸引力的价格筹资是一个企业难以满足债务等责任时,债务和其他负债变得有风险。创业板的一部分是'创造性破坏'的过程,银行家残酷地清算失败的企业。然而,更常见的(但仍然痛苦)情况是,它不得不以低价筹集新的股权资本,从而永久稀释股东的权益。当然,负债的好处在于,它经常代表廉价资本,特别是当它以高回报率的再投资能力取代稀释的公司时。当我们考虑公司的负债使用情况时,我们首先查看现金和债务总额。

What Is Shanxi Lanhua Sci-Tech VentureLtd's Net Debt?

山西兰花科创股份有限公司的净债务是什么?

As you can see below, at the end of March 2024, Shanxi Lanhua Sci-Tech VentureLtd had CN¥9.42b of debt, up from CN¥8.49b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it also had CN¥6.12b in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥3.30b.

正如下面所示,2024年3月底,山西兰花科创股份有限公司的债务总额为942亿元人民币,高于一年前的849亿元人民币。点击图像了解更多详情。然而,它也有612亿元人民币的现金,因此它的净债务为330亿元人民币。

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SHSE:600123 Debt to Equity History July 12th 2024
SHSE:600123债务股本比历史记录2024年7月12日

How Strong Is Shanxi Lanhua Sci-Tech VentureLtd's Balance Sheet?

山西兰花科创股份有限公司的资产负债表有多强?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Shanxi Lanhua Sci-Tech VentureLtd had liabilities of CN¥9.54b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥6.41b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥6.12b as well as receivables valued at CN¥1.68b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥8.15b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

放大最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看到山西兰花科创股份有限公司于12个月内有954亿元人民币的到期负债和641亿元人民币的超期负债。抵消这些义务,它有612亿元人民币的现金,以及价值168亿元人民币的12个月内的应收账款。因此,它的负债总额比其现金和短期应收账款的组合多815亿元人民币。

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of CN¥12.7b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Shanxi Lanhua Sci-Tech VentureLtd's use of debt. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.

相对于其市值127亿元人民币,这个赤字是相当可观的,因此它确实说明了山西兰花科创股份有限公司的债务使用情况应该受到股东的关注。这表明,如果公司需要迅速加固其资产负债表,股东们将遭受严重稀释。

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

为了评估公司的债务与收益的关系,我们计算净债务除以息税折旧及摊销前利润(EBITDA),以及利息费用除以息税前利润(EBIT)(其利息覆盖率)。这种方法的优点是我们同时考虑到债务的绝对量(以净债务/EBITDA计算),以及与债务相关的实际利息费用(以利息覆盖率计算)。

Shanxi Lanhua Sci-Tech VentureLtd has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.86. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 4k times over. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. The modesty of its debt load may become crucial for Shanxi Lanhua Sci-Tech VentureLtd if management cannot prevent a repeat of the 47% cut to EBIT over the last year. Falling earnings (if the trend continues) could eventually make even modest debt quite risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Shanxi Lanhua Sci-Tech VentureLtd can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

山西兰花科创股份有限公司的净债务/税息折旧及摊销前利润比率为仅0.86。而且它的税息前利润/利息开支的覆盖率高达0.4万倍。因此,我们对它超级保守的债务使用感到非常放松。如果管理层无法阻止过去一年的EBIt减少47%,其负债负担的适度性可能对山西兰花科创股份有限公司至关重要。萎缩的盈利(如果趋势继续下去)最终可能会使即使是适度的负债变得非常有风险。资产负债表显然是分析债务的重点。但最终,业务未来的盈利能力将决定山西兰花科创股份有限公司能否随着时间的推移加强其资产负债表。因此,如果您想看看专业人士的想法,您可能会发现这份关于分析师盈利预测的免费报告有趣。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last three years, Shanxi Lanhua Sci-Tech VentureLtd recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 86% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.

最后,一家公司只能用冰冷的现金而不能用会计利润偿还债务。因此,我们显然需要查看EBIt是否导致相应的自由现金流。在过去三年中,山西兰花科技风险股份有限公司记录了价值86% EBIt的自由现金流,这比我们通常预期的要更强。这将使其处于非常强的偿还债务的位置。

Our View

我们的观点

Based on what we've seen Shanxi Lanhua Sci-Tech VentureLtd is not finding it easy, given its EBIT growth rate, but the other factors we considered give us cause to be optimistic. There's no doubt that its ability to to cover its interest expense with its EBIT is pretty flash. When we consider all the factors mentioned above, we do feel a bit cautious about Shanxi Lanhua Sci-Tech VentureLtd's use of debt. While we appreciate debt can enhance returns on equity, we'd suggest that shareholders keep close watch on its debt levels, lest they increase. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Shanxi Lanhua Sci-Tech VentureLtd you should know about.

根据我们所看到的,山西兰花科创股份有限公司在考虑到其EBIt增长率时并不容易,但是我们考虑到的其他因素使我们有理由乐观。毫无疑问,它以EBIt支付利息的能力是相当棒的。当我们考虑以上提到的所有因素时,我们确实对山西兰花科创股份有限公司的债务使用存在一定的谨慎。虽然我们欣赏债务能够增强股本回报率,但我们建议股东密切关注其债务水平,以免增加。资产负债表显然是分析债务的重点。但最终,每家公司都可能存在超出资产负债表的风险。这些风险可能很难发现。每家公司都有它们,我们已经发现山西兰花科创股份有限公司的2个警告信号,您应该知道。

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

总的来说,专注于没有净债务的公司往往更好。您可以访问我们的特别列表,其中包含这些公司(所有这些公司都有盈利增长的记录)。这是免费的。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

对本文有反馈?对内容感到担忧?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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