Baowu Magnesium Technology (SZSE:002182) Investors Are up 4.8% in the Past Week, but Earnings Have Declined Over the Last Five Years
Baowu Magnesium Technology (SZSE:002182) Investors Are up 4.8% in the Past Week, but Earnings Have Declined Over the Last Five Years
While Baowu Magnesium Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002182) shareholders are probably generally happy, the stock hasn't had particularly good run recently, with the share price falling 16% in the last quarter. On the bright side the returns have been quite good over the last half decade. It has returned a market beating 90% in that time. Unfortunately not all shareholders will have held it for the long term, so spare a thought for those caught in the 27% decline over the last twelve months.
宝武镁业股份有限公司(SZSE:002182)的股东可能普遍感到高兴,但公司股票最近表现不太好,股价在过去一个季度下跌了16%。但好消息是,在过去的五年中,股票的回报还是相当不错的。在这段时间里,它的回报率超过了市场平均水平,达到了90%。不幸的是,并不是所有股东都会长期持有该股份,因此请为在过去12个月中损失了27%的股民们默哀
After a strong gain in the past week, it's worth seeing if longer term returns have been driven by improving fundamentals.
在过去的一周之内,获得的强劲收益是否表明了长期回报受到基本面的推动值得关注。
To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
用本杰明·格雷厄姆的话来说:“短期市场是一台投票机,但长期市场是一台称重机”。检查市场情绪如何随时间推移变化的一种方式是查看公司股价和每股收益(EPS)之间的相互作用。
During five years of share price growth, Baowu Magnesium Technology actually saw its EPS drop 2.0% per year.
在五年的股价上涨期间,宝武镁业的每股收益实际上下降了2.0%。
So it's hard to argue that the earnings per share are the best metric to judge the company, as it may not be optimized for profits at this point. Therefore, it's worth taking a look at other metrics to try to understand the share price movements.
因此,很难认为每股收益是判断公司的最佳指标,因为它可能在此时未被优化以获取利润。因此,值得查看其他指标以尝试了解股价的动向。
The modest 0.8% dividend yield is unlikely to be propping up the share price. In contrast revenue growth of 11% per year is probably viewed as evidence that Baowu Magnesium Technology is growing, a real positive. It's quite possible that management are prioritizing revenue growth over EPS growth at the moment.
0.8%的股息收益率不可能支撑股价。相反,每年11%的营业收入增长可能被视为宝武镁业正在增长的证据,这是一个真正的积极信号。目前管理层很可能优先考虑营业收入增长而不是每股收益增长。
The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).
下面的图表显示了收益和营收随时间的变化情况(通过单击图像揭示确切的值)。
You can see how its balance sheet has strengthened (or weakened) over time in this free interactive graphic.
你可以在这个免费的互动图表中看到它的资产负债表如何随着时间的推移而加强(或削弱)。
What About Dividends?
那么分红怎么样呢?
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, Baowu Magnesium Technology's TSR for the last 5 years was 98%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
对于任何给定的股票,考虑总股东回报和股价回报同样重要。TSR包括任何股权分拆或折价资本增发的价值以及任何股息,基于股息再投资的假设。可以说,TSR更全面地呈现了股票带来的回报。恰好,宝武镁业过去5年的TSR为98%,超过了前面提到的股价回报。而且,毫无疑问,分红派息在很大程度上解释了这种差异!
A Different Perspective
不同的观点
We regret to report that Baowu Magnesium Technology shareholders are down 27% for the year (even including dividends). Unfortunately, that's worse than the broader market decline of 17%. Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 15%, each year, over five years. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Baowu Magnesium Technology better, we need to consider many other factors. Even so, be aware that Baowu Magnesium Technology is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 2 of those are a bit concerning...
我们很遗憾地报告说,宝武镁业的股东在今年已经损失了27%(即使包括股息)。不幸的是,这比整个市场的下跌17%还要糟糕。尽管如此,在下跌市场中,总会有一些股票被抛售。关键是密切关注基本面的发展。长期的投资者不会那么沮丧,因为他们在过去五年中每年获得了15%的回报。如果基本数据继续显示出长期可持续增长的迹象,那么目前的抛售可能值得考虑。跟踪股价的长期表现总是很有趣的。但要了解宝武镁业更多的情况,我们需要考虑许多其他因素。即便如此,要知道在我们的投资分析中,宝武镁业有4个警告信号,其中2个有点令人担忧......
If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.
如果您愿意查看另一家公司-具有潜在更优质财务状况的公司-则不要错过这个免费的公司列表,这些公司已经证明他们可以增长收益。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com
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