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Is Now The Time To Put First Tractor (HKG:38) On Your Watchlist?

Is Now The Time To Put First Tractor (HKG:38) On Your Watchlist?

现在是不是应该将一拖股份(HKG:38)放在您的自选列表中?
Simply Wall St ·  07/11 23:17

For beginners, it can seem like a good idea (and an exciting prospect) to buy a company that tells a good story to investors, even if it currently lacks a track record of revenue and profit. But as Peter Lynch said in One Up On Wall Street, 'Long shots almost never pay off.' Loss making companies can act like a sponge for capital - so investors should be cautious that they're not throwing good money after bad.

对于初学者来说,即使一家公司目前没有营业收入和利润的记录,它告诉投资者一个好故事或许听起来像个好主意(和一个令人兴奋的前景)。但正如彼得•林奇在《华尔街风云》中所说,“长期赌注几乎从来没有得到回报。”亏损公司可能会像资本的吸收器一样,所以投资者应该谨慎,不要把好钱投入到坏的公司中去。

Despite being in the age of tech-stock blue-sky investing, many investors still adopt a more traditional strategy; buying shares in profitable companies like First Tractor (HKG:38). Even if this company is fairly valued by the market, investors would agree that generating consistent profits will continue to provide First Tractor with the means to add long-term value to shareholders.

尽管处于科技股蓝天投资的时代,但许多投资者仍然采用更传统的策略;购买像一拖股份(HKG:38)这样利润丰厚的公司的股票。即使这家公司的市场价值相当,投资者也同意,持续产生利润将继续为一拖股份提供增加长期股东价值的手段。

How Quickly Is First Tractor Increasing Earnings Per Share?

一拖股份的每股收益增长速度有多快?

If you believe that markets are even vaguely efficient, then over the long term you'd expect a company's share price to follow its earnings per share (EPS) outcomes. So it makes sense that experienced investors pay close attention to company EPS when undertaking investment research. Impressively, First Tractor has grown EPS by 29% per year, compound, in the last three years. If growth like this continues on into the future, then shareholders will have plenty to smile about.

如果你相信市场即使是稍微有效的,那么你会期望公司的股价在长期内跟随其每股收益(EPS)的结果。因此,经验丰富的投资者在进行投资研究时会密切关注公司的EPS。令人印象深刻的是,过去三年一拖股份的EPS年复合增长率为29%。如果这样的增长持续到未来,那么股东将有足够的理由微笑。

Top-line growth is a great indicator that growth is sustainable, and combined with a high earnings before interest and taxation (EBIT) margin, it's a great way for a company to maintain a competitive advantage in the market. Despite consistency in EBIT margins year on year, First Tractor has actually recorded a dip in revenue. While this may raise concerns, investors should investigate the reasoning behind this.

营业收入的增长是可持续增长的好指标,并且结合高的利润之前的利润和税前利润(EBIT)率,这是一家公司在市场上保持竞争优势的好方法。尽管EBIt利润率在每年保持一致,但一拖股份实际上记录了营业收入下降。虽然这可能引发担忧,但投资者应调查背后的原因。

In the chart below, you can see how the company has grown earnings and revenue, over time. To see the actual numbers, click on the chart.

在下面的图表中,您可以看到公司的盈利和营业收入随时间的增长情况。要查看实际数字,请单击图表。

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SEHK:38 Earnings and Revenue History July 12th 2024
SEHK:38收益和营业历史2024年7月12日

While it's always good to see growing profits, you should always remember that a weak balance sheet could come back to bite. So check First Tractor's balance sheet strength, before getting too excited.

尽管看到盈利不断增长总是令人愉悦的,但您应该记住,弱的资产负债表可能会让您付出代价。因此,在过度兴奋之前,请先检查一下一拖股份的资产负债表强度。

Are First Tractor Insiders Aligned With All Shareholders?

一拖股份内部人员是否与所有股东一致?

It's a good habit to check into a company's remuneration policies to ensure that the CEO and management team aren't putting their own interests before that of the shareholder with excessive salary packages. Our analysis has discovered that the median total compensation for the CEOs of companies like First Tractor with market caps between CN¥7.3b and CN¥23b is about CN¥3.7m.

检查公司的薪酬政策,以确保CEO和管理层不会通过过高的薪资方案把自己的利益放在股东之前。我们的分析发现,市值介于CN¥73亿到CN¥230亿之间的公司的CEO的中位总薪酬约为CN¥370万。

The First Tractor CEO received total compensation of just CN¥1.8m in the year to December 2023. First impressions seem to indicate a compensation policy that is favourable to shareholders. CEO remuneration levels are not the most important metric for investors, but when the pay is modest, that does support enhanced alignment between the CEO and the ordinary shareholders. It can also be a sign of a culture of integrity, in a broader sense.

在2023年12月的一年中,一拖股份的CEO总薪酬仅为CN¥180万。第一印象似乎表明薪酬政策有利于股东。CEO的薪酬水平并不是投资者最重要的衡量标准,但当报酬较低时,这确实支持CEO和普通股东之间的更好对齐。在更广泛的意义上,这也可以是一种诚信文化的体现。

Is First Tractor Worth Keeping An Eye On?

一拖股份是否值得关注?

For growth investors, First Tractor's raw rate of earnings growth is a beacon in the night. The fast growth bodes well while the very reasonable CEO pay assists builds some confidence in the board. Based on these factors, this stock may well deserve a spot on your watchlist, or even a little further research. We should say that we've discovered 1 warning sign for First Tractor that you should be aware of before investing here.

对于成长型投资者,一拖股份的未经调整的盈利增长率是一个夜晚的灯塔。快速的增长是一个好兆头,而CEO的薪酬合理也建立了对董事会的一些信心。基于这些因素,这支股票可能值得进入您的观察列表,甚至需要进一步的研究。我们应该说,我们已经发现了一拖股份的一个警告信号,您在投资之前应该意识到这一点。

Although First Tractor certainly looks good, it may appeal to more investors if insiders were buying up shares. If you like to see companies with more skin in the game, then check out this handpicked selection of Hong Kong companies that not only boast of strong growth but have strong insider backing.

尽管一拖股份看起来很好,但如果内部人员购买股票,可能会吸引更多投资者。如果您喜欢看到更多的参与度更高的公司,那么请查看这个手选的香港公司,它们不仅拥有强劲的增长,而且有强大的内部支持。

Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction.

请注意,本文讨论的内部交易是指在相关司法管辖区中报告的交易。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

对本文有反馈? 对内容感到担忧? 请直接与我们联系。 或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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