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Shareholders in Tianqi Lithium (SZSE:002466) Are in the Red If They Invested Three Years Ago

Shareholders in Tianqi Lithium (SZSE:002466) Are in the Red If They Invested Three Years Ago

如果三年前投资田七锂业(SZSE:002466),股东们现在已经亏本了。
Simply Wall St ·  07/11 23:41

Investing in stocks inevitably means buying into some companies that perform poorly. But the long term shareholders of Tianqi Lithium Corporation (SZSE:002466) have had an unfortunate run in the last three years. So they might be feeling emotional about the 62% share price collapse, in that time. And over the last year the share price fell 58%, so we doubt many shareholders are delighted. The falls have accelerated recently, with the share price down 39% in the last three months.

投资股票不可避免地意味着购买一些表现不佳的公司。 但长期持有天齐锂业股票(SZSE: 002466)的股东在过去三年中遭遇了不幸的运行。所以他们可能对这段时间内的62%股价崩盘感到情感上的困扰。 股价在过去一年内下跌了58%,因此我们怀疑没有多少股东感到高兴。 最近,股价的下跌情况加剧,过去三个月股价下跌了39%。

Since shareholders are down over the longer term, lets look at the underlying fundamentals over the that time and see if they've been consistent with returns.

由于股东们长期以来都亏损了,因此让我们回顾过去一段时间的基本面,看看是否一直与收益相一致。

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

为了概述本杰明·格雷厄姆(Benjamin Graham)的话:短期内,市场是一台投票机,但长期来看,它是一台衡重机。思考一家公司的市场感知如何转变的一种不完美但简单的方法是将每股收益(EPS)变化与股价变动进行比较。

During five years of share price growth, Tianqi Lithium moved from a loss to profitability. On the other hand, it reported a trailing twelve months loss, suggesting it isn't reliably profitable. Other metrics may better explain the share price move.

在五年的股价增长期间,天齐锂业从亏损转为盈利。 另一方面,它报告了过去十二个月的亏损,表明其盈利不太可靠。 其他指标可能更好地解释了股价的变化。

Given the healthiness of the dividend payments, we doubt that they've concerned the market. It's good to see that Tianqi Lithium has increased its revenue over the last three years. But it's not clear to us why the share price is down. It might be worth diving deeper into the fundamentals, lest an opportunity goes begging.

考虑到分红派息的健康情况,我们怀疑它们没有引起市场关注。很高兴看到天齐锂业在过去三年中增加了营业收入。 但我们不清楚股价为什么下跌。不妨深入了解基本面情况,以免错失机会。

You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

您可以看到以下收益和营收的变化情况(通过单击图像了解精确值)。

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SZSE:002466 Earnings and Revenue Growth July 12th 2024
SZSE:002466收益和营业收入增长2024年7月12日

Tianqi Lithium is a well known stock, with plenty of analyst coverage, suggesting some visibility into future growth. If you are thinking of buying or selling Tianqi Lithium stock, you should check out this free report showing analyst consensus estimates for future profits.

天齐锂业是一只众所周知的股票,得到了大量分析师的关注,表明未来增长前景可预见。如果您考虑买入或卖出天齐锂业股票,应查看此免费报告,显示分析师对未来利润的共识估计。

What About Dividends?

那么分红怎么样呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, Tianqi Lithium's TSR for the last 3 years was -58%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

在考虑投资回报时,重要的是考虑总股东回报(TSR)和股价回报之间的差异。而股价回报仅反映了股价的变化,TSR包括股息的价值(假设它们被再投资)以及任何折价融资或股份剥离的好处。因此,对于支付丰厚分红的公司,TSR往往比股价回报高得多。恰巧,天齐锂业过去3年的TSR为-58%,超过了前面提到的股价回报。而且不足为奇的是,分红支付在很大程度上解释了这种分歧!

A Different Perspective

不同的观点

We regret to report that Tianqi Lithium shareholders are down 57% for the year (even including dividends). Unfortunately, that's worse than the broader market decline of 17%. However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 9% per year over half a decade. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Tianqi Lithium .

我们遗憾地报告,天齐锂业股东今年股价下跌了57%(包括股息)。不幸的是,这比整个市场下滑17%还要糟糕。但是,股价可能只是受到更广泛市场担忧的影响。不妨密切关注基本面情况,以防错失良机。好的一面是,长期股东已经赚到了钱,收益率每年增长了9%半个世纪。最近的抛售可能是一个机会,因此值得检查基本数据以寻找长期增长趋势的迹象。我觉得查看长期股价作为业务绩效的代理非常有趣。但是,为了真正获得洞察力,我们还需要考虑其他信息。为此,您应该注意我们发现的1个警告标志,涉及天齐锂业。

If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

如果您愿意查看另一家公司-具有潜在更优质财务状况的公司-则不要错过这个免费的公司列表,这些公司已经证明他们可以增长收益。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

对本文有反馈? 对内容感到担忧? 请直接与我们联系。 或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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