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Is Sungrow Power Supply (SZSE:300274) A Risky Investment?

Is Sungrow Power Supply (SZSE:300274) A Risky Investment?

阳光电源(SZSE:300274)是一项有风险的投资吗?
Simply Wall St ·  07/12 01:03

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Sungrow Power Supply Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300274) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

作为投资者,股市波动性比债务更能反映风险,但沃伦·巴菲特曾经说过:“波动性与风险远非同义词。”检查公司的资产负债表是考虑风险的自然过程,因为往往会发生业务倒闭。我们注意到阳光电源股份有限公司(SZSE:300274)的财务状况存在债务。但是,这笔债务是否会令股东感到担忧?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

债务带来了什么风险?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

债务有助于企业,直到企业在新资本或自由现金流方面有困难偿还债务。在最坏的情况下,如果企业无法偿还其债权人,那么该公司可能会破产。虽然这不是很常见,但我们经常看到负债的公司会因为贷款人迫使它们以降价的价格筹集资本而永久稀释股东。然而,通过取代稀释,债务可以成为需要高回报率投资于成长的企业的极好工具。当我们检查债务水平时,我们首先考虑现金和债务水平的总和。

What Is Sungrow Power Supply's Debt?

阳光电源的负债情况是什么?

As you can see below, at the end of March 2024, Sungrow Power Supply had CN¥10.7b of debt, up from CN¥8.85b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. But it also has CN¥20.6b in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥9.93b net cash.

如下所示,截至2024年3月底,阳光电源的负债为107亿元人民币,比一年前的88.5亿元人民币增加了。单击图片以获取更多详细信息。但它还有206亿元人民币的现金来抵消这些负债,这意味着它有993亿元人民币的净现金。

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SZSE:300274 Debt to Equity History July 12th 2024
SZSE:300274股债历史数据 2024年7月12日

How Strong Is Sungrow Power Supply's Balance Sheet?

阳光电源的资产负债表有多坚实?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Sungrow Power Supply had liabilities of CN¥44.4b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥8.88b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥20.6b and CN¥25.2b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥7.50b.

最新的资产负债表数据显示,阳光电源短期内到期的负债为444亿元人民币,长期负债为88.8亿元人民币。另一方面,它有206亿元人民币的现金和252亿元人民币的应收账款。因此,其负债超过了其现金和(短期)应收账款的总和75亿元人民币。

Given Sungrow Power Supply has a humongous market capitalization of CN¥122.6b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Sungrow Power Supply also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

考虑到阳光电源具有价值1,226亿元人民币的庞大市值,很难相信这些负债会带来很大威胁。 话虽如此,显然我们应继续关注其资产负债表,以免情况变得更糟糕。虽然确实有一些需要注意的负债,但阳光电源也拥有的现金比债务多,所以我们相当有信心它可以安全地管理其债务。

Better yet, Sungrow Power Supply grew its EBIT by 146% last year, which is an impressive improvement. That boost will make it even easier to pay down debt going forward. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Sungrow Power Supply can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

更好的是,阳光电源去年EBIt增长了146%,这是一个令人印象深刻的进步。这种增长将使其更容易偿还债务。当分析债务时,明显的重点是资产负债表。但最终业务未来的盈利能力将决定阳光电源能否随着时间的推移加强其资产负债表。因此,如果您想看看专业人士的意见,您可能会发现对分析师利润预测的这份免费报告很有趣。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While Sungrow Power Supply has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. In the last three years, Sungrow Power Supply created free cash flow amounting to 12% of its EBIT, an uninspiring performance. For us, cash conversion that low sparks a little paranoia about is ability to extinguish debt.

但我们最后考虑到的也很重要,因为公司不能用纸质利润偿还债务,它需要冷硬现金。虽然阳光电源在其资产负债表上拥有净现金,但我们仍有必要审查它将息税前利润(EBIT)转化为自由现金流的能力,以帮助我们了解它正在多快地积累(或侵蚀)现金余额。在过去的三年中,阳光电源创造的自由现金流相当于其EBIT的12%,表现不佳。对我们来说,这样的现金转化率对债务的清算可能会引起一些担忧。

Summing Up

总之

While it is always sensible to look at a company's total liabilities, it is very reassuring that Sungrow Power Supply has CN¥9.93b in net cash. And it impressed us with its EBIT growth of 146% over the last year. So we don't think Sungrow Power Supply's use of debt is risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 2 warning signs with Sungrow Power Supply (at least 1 which is potentially serious) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

尽管查看公司的总负债总是明智的,但令人欣慰的是阳光电源拥有993亿元人民币的净现金。它令人印象深刻的去年EBIt增长了146%。因此,我们认为阳光电源使用债务并不冒险。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是明显的起点。然而,并不是所有的投资风险都存储在资产负债表中。我们已经确定了2个警告信号,阳光电源(至少有一个是潜在的严重问题),了解它们应该是您投资过程的一部分。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果您有兴趣投资能够在不负债的情况下增长利润的企业,请查看这份免费列表,其中列出了在资产负债表上拥有净现金的成长型企业。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

对本文有反馈? 对内容感到担忧? 请直接与我们联系。 或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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