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The Past Five Years for Franklin Resources (NYSE:BEN) Investors Has Not Been Profitable

The Past Five Years for Franklin Resources (NYSE:BEN) Investors Has Not Been Profitable

过去五年,Franklin Resources(纽交所:BEN)的投资者没有获利。
Simply Wall St ·  07/12 13:36

In order to justify the effort of selecting individual stocks, it's worth striving to beat the returns from a market index fund. But the main game is to find enough winners to more than offset the losers So we wouldn't blame long term Franklin Resources, Inc. (NYSE:BEN) shareholders for doubting their decision to hold, with the stock down 35% over a half decade.

为了证明选择个股的努力是值得的,值得争取超过市场指数基金的回报。但主要目标是要找到足够的赢家以抵消输家,因此我们不会责怪长期持有富兰克林资源公司(NYSE:BEN)股票的股东对他们持股决定的怀疑,因为股票在过去的五年中下跌了35%。

Since shareholders are down over the longer term, lets look at the underlying fundamentals over the that time and see if they've been consistent with returns.

由于股东们长期以来都亏损了,因此让我们回顾过去一段时间的基本面,看看是否一直与收益相一致。

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

引用巴菲特的话:“船只将周游世界,而‘地平派’仍会兴旺。市场上的价格和价值仍会存在广泛的差距……”考虑一家公司在市场上的认知如何变化的一个不完美但简单的方法是比较每股收益(EPS)的变化和股价的波动。

During the five years over which the share price declined, Franklin Resources' earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 11% each year. This fall in the EPS is worse than the 8% compound annual share price fall. The relatively muted share price reaction might be because the market expects the business to turn around.

在股价下跌的五年中,富兰克林资源的每股收益(EPS)每年下降11%。这一EPS的下降幅度比每股年复合股价下降的8%更糟糕。相对缓和的股价反应可能是因为市场预计业务会好转。

The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

下图显示了EPS随时间的变化情况(如果您单击该图像,则可以查看更多详细信息)。

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NYSE:BEN Earnings Per Share Growth July 12th 2024
纽交所的BEN每股收益增长情况截至2024年7月12日

It's probably worth noting we've seen significant insider buying in the last quarter, which we consider a positive. On the other hand, we think the revenue and earnings trends are much more meaningful measures of the business. Dive deeper into the earnings by checking this interactive graph of Franklin Resources' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

值得注意的是,在上一季度,我们看到了显著的内部买入,我们认为这是一个积极的信号。另一方面,我们认为营收和收益趋势是更有意义的业务度量标准。通过查看富兰克林资源公司的收益、营收和现金流的交互式图表来深入了解收益情况。

What About Dividends?

那么分红怎么样呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. We note that for Franklin Resources the TSR over the last 5 years was -18%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

对于任何给定的股票,都重要考虑总股东回报以及股价回报。股价回报仅反映股价的变动,而TSR包括股息的价值(假设已再投资)以及任何折扣的融资或剥离的好处。因此,对于支付丰厚股息的公司,TSR通常比股价回报高得多。我们注意到,富兰克林资源的TSR在过去5年中为-18%,比上面提到的股价回报要好。这主要是由于其分红支付!

A Different Perspective

不同的观点

Franklin Resources shareholders are down 17% for the year (even including dividends), but the market itself is up 24%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 3% over the last half decade. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Franklin Resources better, we need to consider many other factors. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Franklin Resources that you should be aware of.

富兰克林资源的股东虽然包括股息在内,今年股价下跌了17%,但市场本身上涨了24%。但请记住,即便是最好的股票,有时也会在十二个月的时间内表现不及市场。不幸的是,去年的表现可能表明存在未解决的挑战,因为它比过去五年的年化亏损率3%还要糟糕。一般来说,股价长期走弱可能是一个不好的迹象,尽管逆向投资者可能希望研究该股票,以期实现逆转。跟踪股价长期表现总是很有趣。但要更好地了解富兰克林资源公司,我们需要考虑许多其他因素。例如,我们已经找出了3个富兰克林资源的警示标志,你应该意识到。

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: most of them are flying under the radar).

如果您喜欢与管理层共同购买股票,那么您可能会喜欢这个免费的公司列表(提示:大多数公司没有受到关注)。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

请注意,本文所引述的市场回报反映了目前在美国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对本文有反馈?关注内容?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

对本文有反馈? 对内容感到担忧? 请直接与我们联系。 或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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