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Russell 2000 Index Notches Strongest Week Of Year, Hits 31-Month Highs: Outlook Is 'Clouded By Fed's Concerns Over Labor Market,' Analyst Warns

Russell 2000 Index Notches Strongest Week Of Year, Hits 31-Month Highs: Outlook Is 'Clouded By Fed's Concerns Over Labor Market,' Analyst Warns

纳斯达克2000指数创下了本年度表现最为强劲的一周,达到了31个月来的新高:分析师警告,展望被美联储对劳动市场的担忧所蒙蔽。
Benzinga ·  16:25

The Russell 2000 index of small caps, tracked by the iShares Russell 2000 ETF (NYSE:IWM), recorded its best weekly performance since October 2023, surging over 6% and reaching its highest level since January 2022.

由iShares罗素2000指数ETF(纽交所:IWM)跟踪的小盘股Russell 2000指数录得自2023年10月以来最佳周表现,上涨逾6%并达到2022年1月以来的最高水平。

The rally was largely driven by Thursday's session, where the Russell 2000 posted a remarkable 3.6% daily gain. This spike followed lower-than-expected June inflation data, which fueled speculation of potential interest rate cuts.

此次上涨主要受周四的交易所推动,其中Russell 2000指数录得了惊人的3.6%的日涨幅。此次暴涨是继低于预期的6月通胀数据后的反弹,引发了对潜在降息的猜测。

However, Quincy Krosby, chief global strategist for LPL Financial, advises caution, suggesting that Russell 2000's rate cut message may be "clouded by Fed's concerns over labor market."

然而,LPL Financial的首席全球策略师Quincy Krosby提醒投资者要谨慎,认为Russell 2000的降息信息可能会“被联邦储备委员会对劳动力市场的担忧所掩盖”。

Krosby thinks a weaker labor market would still hurt the economically sensitive Russell 2000 index, and rate cuts may not necessarily shield it from a broader economic slowdown.

Krosby认为,劳动力市场疲软仍会对敏感指数Russell 2000产生负面影响,降息也不一定能够保护它免受更广泛的经济放缓的影响。

Chart of The Week: Small Caps Achieved Best-Performing Week In Over 8 Months

本周热点:小盘股创八个月以来最佳表现

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Image: Benzinga Pro

图片:Benzinga Pro

The Russell 2000's impressive performance highlights a significant shift in market focus, with interest rate-sensitive small and mid-cap stocks benefiting as investors move away from mega-tech names and direct inflows into the broader market, Krosby highlighted.

Russell 2000指数的表现引人瞩目,凸显了市场焦点的显著转变,随着投资者从大型科技公司转投更为关注利率的中小型股票,资金直接流入更广泛的市场,Krosby也强调了这一点。

The analyst indicated the Russell 2000 serves as a critical indicator for potential interest rate easing and broader economic conditions. Typically, the small- and mid-cap universe will sell off at any hint of a significant economic slowdown, despite their attractive valuations.

分析师指出,Russell 2000指数是衡量潜在降息和更广泛经济状况的关键指标。通常,在任何迹象表明经济显著放缓的情况下,小型和中型股票都会抛售,尽管它们的估值具有吸引力。

"Historically, the Russell 2000 lags the market for three months following the first rate cut as the Fed normally cuts rates due to concerns about the economy and specifically the labor market. Fed Chair Powell has made it clear, as he continues to invoke the Fed's maximum employment mandate, that the Fed would cut rates at a faster pace to help support the economy," she said.

她说:“历史上,Russell 2000在第一次降息后的三个月内落后于市场,因为联储通常由于担忧经济特别是劳动力市场而进行降息。联储主席鲍威尔明确表示,由于继续强调联邦最大就业的职责,联储将以更快的速度降息以帮助支持经济。”

If labor market conditions deteriorate, the Fed might initiate an easing cycle sooner than the scheduled Sept. 18 meeting, Krosby stated. The market prefers a rate cut driven by inflation easing within a robust economic backdrop.

如果劳动力市场状况恶化,联储可能比预定的9月18日会议提前启动降息周期,Krosby表示。市场更喜欢在强劲的经济环境中由通胀缓解引发的降息。

This Week's Top Performers In The Russell 2000

本周罗素2000表现最佳的股票:

  1. Morphic Holding, Inc. (NASDAQ:MORF): 75.16% (Health Care)
  2. Lantheus Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:LNTH): 55.47% (Health Care)
  3. IGM Biosciences, Inc. (NASDAQ:IGMS): 54.22% (Health Care)
  4. SoundHound AI, Inc. (NASDAQ:SOUN): 52.63% (Information Technology)
  5. Methode Electronics, Inc. (NASDAQ:MEI): 47.96% (Information Technology)
  6. Solaris Oilfield Infrastructure, Inc. (NYSE:SOI): 46.87% (Energy)
  7. Pulse Biosciences, Inc. (NASDAQ:PLSE): 45.98% (Health Care)
  8. Ouster, Inc. (NYSE:OUST): 44.21% (Information Technology)
  9. EVgo, Inc. (NASDAQ:EVGO): 42.65% (Consumer Discretionary)
  10. Sunrun Inc. (NASDAQ:RUN): 42.51% (Industrials)
  1. Morphic Holding,Inc.(纳斯达克:MORF):75.16%(医疗保健)
  2. Lantheus Holdings,Inc.(纳斯达克:LNTH):55.47%(医疗保健)
  3. IGm Biosciences,Inc.(纳斯达克:IGMS):54.22%(医疗保健)
  4. SoundHound AI,Inc.(纳斯达克:SOUN):52.63%(信息技术)
  5. Methode Electronics,Inc.(纳斯达克:MEI):47.96%(信息技术)
  6. Solaris Oilfield Infrastructure,Inc.(纽交所:SOI):46.87%(能源化工)
  7. Pulse Biosciences,Inc.(纳斯达克:PLSE):45.98%(医疗保健)
  8. Ouster,Inc.(纽交所:OUST):44.21%(信息技术)
  9. EVgo,Inc.(纳斯达克:EVGO):42.65%(消费者自选)
  10. Sunrun Inc.(纳斯达克:RUN):42.51%(工业)

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Photo: Shutterstock

Photo: shutterstock

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