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Is Tianneng Battery Group (SHSE:688819) A Risky Investment?

Is Tianneng Battery Group (SHSE:688819) A Risky Investment?

天能电池集团(SHSE:688819)是否是一项风险投资?
Simply Wall St ·  07/12 21:29

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Tianneng Battery Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688819) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

如David Iben所说:“波动性不是我们关心的风险。我们关注的是避免永久损失的资本。” 当你考虑企业的风险时,考虑公司的资产负债表是非常自然的,因为往往公司债务会导致企业崩溃。但值得注意的是,天能电池集团股份有限公司(SHSE:688819)确实持有债务,但这个债务是否令股东担忧呢?

When Is Debt A Problem?

什么时候负债才是一个问题?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

债务可以协助业务发展,直到公司在偿还债务时出现困难,无论是通过新的资本还是自由现金流。在最坏的情况下,公司无法偿还债权人,可能会破产。然而,更常见(但仍然痛苦)的情况是公司需以低价发行新股权,从而永久性地稀释股东的利益。当然,对于资本密集型行业而言,债务可以是一种重要的工具。当我们思考公司使用债务的情况时,我们首先会查看现金和债务的情况。

What Is Tianneng Battery Group's Debt?

天能电池集团的债务情况如何?

As you can see below, at the end of March 2024, Tianneng Battery Group had CN¥9.76b of debt, up from CN¥7.54b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥18.4b in cash, so it actually has CN¥8.67b net cash.

如下图所示,2024年3月底,天能电池集团的债务为976亿元人民币,比去年的754亿元人民币增加了221亿元人民币。点击图片了解更多详细信息。然而,其资产负债表显示,它持有184亿元人民币的现金,因此实际上拥有867亿元人民币的净现金。

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SHSE:688819 Debt to Equity History July 13th 2024
SHSE:688819资产负债历史记录(2024年7月13日)

How Strong Is Tianneng Battery Group's Balance Sheet?

天能电池集团的资产负债表有多强?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Tianneng Battery Group had liabilities of CN¥23.0b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥4.08b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥18.4b and CN¥3.68b worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥4.95b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

从最近的资产负债表可以看出,天能电池集团有230亿元人民币的到期负债和408亿元人民币的超期负债。而另一方面,它持有184亿元人民币和36.8亿元人民币的应收账款。因此,其负债总额比其现金和短期应收账款总和多495亿元人民币。

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Tianneng Battery Group has a market capitalization of CN¥22.8b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Tianneng Battery Group boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

尽管这看起来很多,但并不那么糟糕,因为天能电池集团的市值为228亿元人民币,因此如果需要,它可能会通过增加资本来加强其资产负债表。不过,仍值得密切关注其偿还债务的能力。尽管其负债显著,但天能电池集团有净现金,因此可以说其负债负担并不重!

The modesty of its debt load may become crucial for Tianneng Battery Group if management cannot prevent a repeat of the 34% cut to EBIT over the last year. When it comes to paying off debt, falling earnings are no more useful than sugary sodas are for your health. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Tianneng Battery Group's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

如果管理层无法防止上年度EBIt下降34%的情况再次发生,那么天能电池集团的债务负载的适度性就可能变得至关重要了。在偿还债务方面,收益下降与含糖汽水对健康没有任何帮助一样。分析债务水平时,资产负债表是开始明显的地方。但是未来的盈利,尤其是未来的盈利将决定天能电池集团维持健康资产负债表的能力。因此,如果您想了解专业人士的看法,可以查看分析师盈利预测的免费报告。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. Tianneng Battery Group may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. During the last three years, Tianneng Battery Group generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 85% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.

最后需要指出,企业只能通过冷酷的现金而不是会计利润来偿还债务。天能电池集团的资产负债表上可能有净现金,但看看该企业将其利润(利息和税前利润)转换为自由现金流的能力,是很有趣的,因为这将影响到其债务管理的需求和能力。在过去三年中,天能电池集团产生了非常扎实的自由现金流,相当于其利息和税前利润的85%以上,这比我们预期的还要多。这使其在偿还债务方面处于非常强劲的位置。

Summing Up

总之

Although Tianneng Battery Group's balance sheet isn't particularly strong, due to the total liabilities, it is clearly positive to see that it has net cash of CN¥8.67b. And it impressed us with free cash flow of CN¥1.0b, being 85% of its EBIT. So we don't have any problem with Tianneng Battery Group's use of debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Tianneng Battery Group you should be aware of.

尽管天能电池集团的资产负债表并不特别强,但由于总负债的存在,拥有867亿元人民币的净现金仍然是积极的。此外,其自由现金流为10亿元人民币,相当于其利息和税前利润的85%以上,这给我们留下了深刻的印象。因此,我们认为天能电池集团使用债务并没有问题。毋庸置疑,我们从资产负债表中获取有关债务的大部分信息。但并不是所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中。比如,我们已经发现了天能电池集团的2个风险信号,您应该了解一下。

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

总的来说,专注于没有净债务的公司往往更好。您可以访问我们的特别列表,其中包含这些公司(所有这些公司都有盈利增长的记录)。这是免费的。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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