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Recent 3.5% Pullback Isn't Enough to Hurt Long-term Guangshen Railway (HKG:525) Shareholders, They're Still up 63% Over 3 Years

Recent 3.5% Pullback Isn't Enough to Hurt Long-term Guangshen Railway (HKG:525) Shareholders, They're Still up 63% Over 3 Years

近期3.5%的回撤不足以损害长期持有广深铁路(HKG:525)的股东们,他们仍然在3年内获得了63%的收益。
Simply Wall St ·  07/14 20:55

By buying an index fund, you can roughly match the market return with ease. But if you choose individual stocks with prowess, you can make superior returns. For example, the Guangshen Railway Company Limited (HKG:525) share price is up 57% in the last three years, clearly besting the market decline of around 25% (not including dividends). On the other hand, the returns haven't been quite so good recently, with shareholders up just 8.5%, including dividends.

购买指数基金,可轻松跟踪市场回报。但是,如果您能运用技巧选择个股,可以获得更高的回报。例如,广深铁路股份有限公司(HKG:525)股价过去三年上涨57%,明显优于市场下跌25%(不包括分红派息)。但回报最近并不那么出色,包括分红派息在内的股东回报仅增长了8.5%。

Although Guangshen Railway has shed HK$567m from its market cap this week, let's take a look at its longer term fundamental trends and see if they've driven returns.

尽管广深铁路本周市值减少了5,6700万港元,但让我们看看其更长期的基本趋势以及它是否推动了回报。

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

尽管市场是一个强大的定价机制,股价不仅反映了基本业务表现,还反映了投资者的情绪。通过比较每股收益(EPS)和股价变化,并随时间推移这样做,我们可以了解股东对公司的态度如何随时间变化。

During three years of share price growth, Guangshen Railway moved from a loss to profitability. That would generally be considered a positive, so we'd expect the share price to be up.

在股价上涨的三年中,广深铁路从亏损转为盈利。这通常被认为是一件好事,所以我们预计股价会上涨。

The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

下图显示了EPS随时间的变化情况(如果您单击该图像,则可以查看更多详细信息)。

big
SEHK:525 Earnings Per Share Growth July 15th 2024
2024年7月15日SEHK:525每股收益增长。

It is of course excellent to see how Guangshen Railway has grown profits over the years, but the future is more important for shareholders. You can see how its balance sheet has strengthened (or weakened) over time in this free interactive graphic.

看投资回报时,重要的是考虑总股东回报(TSR)和股价回报之间的差异。股价回报仅反映了股价变化,TSR包括股息价值(假设已再投资)和任何折价资本筹集或剥离的收益。可以说,TSR给出了股票带来的更全面的回报图片。恰好,广深铁路过去3年的TSR为63%,超过了前面提到的股价回报。公司支付的股息因此提高了总股东回报。

What About Dividends?

那么分红怎么样呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, Guangshen Railway's TSR for the last 3 years was 63%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

看投资回报时,重要的是考虑总股东回报(TSR)和股价回报之间的差异。股价回报仅反映了股价变化,TSR包括股息价值(假设已再投资)和任何折价资本筹集或剥离的收益。可以说,TSR给出了股票带来的更全面的回报图片。恰好,广深铁路过去3年的TSR为63%,超过了前面提到的股价回报。公司支付的股息因此提高了总股东回报。

A Different Perspective

不同的观点

It's nice to see that Guangshen Railway shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 8.5% over the last year. And that does include the dividend. Notably the five-year annualised TSR loss of 1.2% per year compares very unfavourably with the recent share price performance. This makes us a little wary, but the business might have turned around its fortunes. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Guangshen Railway that you should be aware of before investing here.

很高兴看到广深铁路股东在过去一年中获得了8.5%的总股东回报。这也包括分红派息。值得注意的是,近五年的年平均TSR亏损1.2%,与最近的股价表现相比非常不利。这使我们有点担心,但该业务可能已扭转它的命运。虽然考虑市场条件对股价的不同影响很值得,但还有其他更重要的因素。例如,在此处进行投资之前,我们已发现关于广深铁路1个警示信号,您应该知道。

For those who like to find winning investments this free list of undervalued companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

对于那些喜欢寻找获胜投资的人来说,最近有内部购买的低估公司免费列表可能是一个很好的选择。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了当前在香港证券交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对本文有反馈?对内容感到担忧?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

对本文有反馈?对内容感到担忧?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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