Odds Of Trump Presidency Raised To All-Time High By Crypto Bettors After Assassination Bid
Odds Of Trump Presidency Raised To All-Time High By Crypto Bettors After Assassination Bid
The odds of Donald Trump winning the 2024 presidential elections soared to an all-time high on a cryptocurrency-based prediction market after the ex-President survived an assassination attempt during an election rally.
特朗普概念在基于数字货币的预测市场上，赢得2024年总统选举的几率创下历史新高，此前这位前总统曾在一次竞选集会上幸免于一次暗杀。
What Happened: The so-called world's largest prediction market, Polymarket, saw the chances of Trump securing another term bump to 70% Sunday.
发生了什么事：号称世界上最大的预测市场Polymarket周日看到特朗普再次获得连任的机会增加到了70％。
The election odds were around 40% at the start of the year and gradually rose to 53% in February, before going downhill in subsequent months.
年初的选举赔率大约为40％，在2月逐渐上升到53％，然后在随后的几个月下滑。
However, bettors began to rally for him as the presidential hopeful dramatically amped up his pro-cryptocurrency since mid-July.
然而，自7月中旬以来，赌徒们开始为他的总统竞选活动集结起来，因为他显著增加了对加密货币的支持。
The odds of incumbent Joe Biden returning to office are at 18% at the time of writing.
现任总统乔·拜登连任的赔率在撰写本文时为18％。
SEC Ends Investigation Into Paxos, Marking Win For Crypto Industry
证监会结束了对Paxos的调查，标志着加密货币行业的胜利。
Polymarket is a decentralized prediction market that allows users to bet on major global events using cryptocurrencies. Users can buy or sell outcome shares, which can be redeemed for $1 if the outcome is correct, and become worthless if it's incorrect.
Polymarket是一个去中心化的预测市场，允许用户使用加密货币下注全球重大事件。用户可以买入或卖出结果股份，如果结果正确可以兑换1美元，否则将变得毫无价值。
Why It Matters: Trump escaped an attempt at his life at a campaign rally in Pennsylvania on Saturday when a bullet hit his right ear.
为什么重要：特朗普周六在宾夕法尼亚州的一个竞选集会上逃过一劫，子弹打中了他的右耳。
Leading cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) and Ethereum (CRYPTO: ETH) rallied strongly on this development, with analysts interpreting this as the market's "bullish bias" toward pro-Trump news.
比特币（加密货币：BTC）和以太坊（加密货币：ETH）等主要加密货币在此消息下大涨，分析师们将其解释为市场对支持特朗普的“看好偏向”。
The Republican contender has gained popularity among aficionados due to his newfound interest in cryptocurrencies, even positioning himself as the "crypto president."
这位共和党的候选人因对加密货币的新发现兴趣而受到爱好者的青睐，甚至将自己定位为“加密货币总统”。
Price Action: At the time of writing, the Trump-inspired Maga Coin (CRYPTO: TRUMP) was exchanging hands at $7.67, surging 48% over the week, according to data from Benzinga Pro.
价格行动：撰写本文时，受特朗普启发的Maga Coin（加密货币：TRUMP）正在Benzinga Pro的数据中以7.67美元交易，上涨了48％。
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Image created via photos on Shutterstock
图片基于Shutterstock上的照片制作。