Why Is Bitcoin Back Above $63K And Are Bearish Scenarios Really 'Invalidated'?
Why Is Bitcoin Back Above $63K And Are Bearish Scenarios Really 'Invalidated'?
Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) has left bearish scenarios behind and is poised for a significant Bitcoin dominance rally in the final quarter of 2024, traders claim.
比特币（CRYPTO: BTC）已经摆脱了看淡的场景，有交易员称，在2024年的最后一个季度中，比特币将进入显著的主导地位行情。
What Happened: In a Monday post on X, crypto trader Stockmoney Lizards highlighted that Bitcoin closed above several critical short-term levels faster than expected. He added that this was fueled by recent events like Germany liquidating its Bitcoin holdings and the assassination attempt on former President Donald Trump. He predicted an all-time high in August as a likely scenario, concluding, "our short-term bearish scenario is invalidated, and the predicted $100,000 ramp-up might come sooner than expected."
事件简述：在周一的一篇发帖中，加密货币交易员Stockmoney Lizards指出，比特币比预期更快地超过了几个关键的短期水平。他补充说，这是由于最近德国清算其比特币持有和对前总统唐纳德·特朗普的暗杀企图等事件的推动。他预测8月份将会出现历史新高，同时他得出结论，“我们的短期看淡情景被否定了，预测的10万美元的增长可能比预期更早地到来。”
Crypto expert Benjamin Cowen predicts Bitcoin dominance to rally in Q4 and expects the crypto king to reclaim and hold the BMSB (Bull Market Support Band). He noted similarities between Bitcoin's performance in 2013 and 2024 since in both years, it found a local low on July 5th.
加密货币专家本杰明·科温预测，比特币支配地位将在第四季度反弹，并预计比特币会夺回并保持BMSb（牛市支撑带）。他指出，自2013年和2024年以来，比特币的表现相似，因为在这两年，它都在7月5日找到了当地最低点。
Cowen also acknowledged the possibility of a more traditional cycle with a peak in Q4 of the post-halving year (2025), which could take Bitcoin longer to reclaim its BMSB. Regardless, Cowen predicts that Bitcoin's dominance will "rally hard in Q4" and peak around 60%.
科温还承认了一种更加传统的周期可能，即在减半年份（2025年）的第四季度达到峰值，这可能需要比特币更长时间来夺回其BMSb。不过，无论如何，科温预测比特币的支配地位将在第四季度“大幅反弹”，并在60%左右达到峰值。
Also Read: Long-Inactive Bitcoin Wallet Unleashes $60M Amid Market Rebound, Stands To Profit 497X On Sale
此外还阅读：市场反弹，长期不活跃的比特币钱包解锁，解锁金额达到6000万美元，能够获得497倍利润。
Why It Matters: A CoinShares report reveals that last week digital asset investment products saw inflows of $1.44 billion inflows ,taking the year-to-date inflows to $17.8 billion. This already exceeds the 2021 inflows of $10.6 billion. Bitcoin reported the fifth-largest weekly inflows on record with $1.35 billion.
为什么这很重要：CoinShares的一份报告显示，上周，数字资产投资产品的流入资金为14.4亿美元，使得今年的流入资金达到178亿美元。这已经超过了2021年106亿美元的流入资金。比特币报告显示，上周是有史以来第五大的周流入资金，达到13.5亿美元。
IntoTheBlock data shows large transaction volume increasing by 4% and daily active addresses growing by 27.5%.
IntoTheBlock的数据显示，大宗交易量增长了4%，日活跃地址增长了27.5%。
The failed assassination attempt on Donald Trump pushed crypto prices higher, with Bitcoin crossing the $63,000 mark over the weekend. 87% of Bitcoin holders are currently in profit, while the remaining 13% are at breakeven levels.
特朗普前总统的遇刺未遂将加密货币价格推高，比特币在周末突破了63000美元的关口。87%的比特币持有者目前处于盈利状态，而其余13%处于收支平衡状态。
What's Next: The influence of Bitcoin as an institutional asset class is expected to be thoroughly explored at Benzinga's upcoming Future of Digital Assets event on Nov. 19.
接下来：比特币作为机构资产类别的影响力预计将在Benzinga即将到来的数字资产未来活动中得到彻底探讨。日期是11月19日。
- The Bitcoin Indicator Showing The 'Best Price Action Is Still Left To Go'
- 比特币指标显示，仍有最佳价格行动余地。
Image: Shutterstock
图片：shutterstock