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Humana (NYSE:HUM) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

Humana (NYSE:HUM) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

哈门那(纽交所:HUM)似乎非常明智地使用债务
Simply Wall St ·  13:36

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Humana Inc. (NYSE:HUM) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

David Iben在说到“波动率并非我们关心的风险。我们关心的是避免永久性资本损失”。这意味着聪明的资金知道债务通常参与破产,是评估公司风险的非常重要的因素。重要的是,哈门那公司(NYSE:HUM)确实有负债。但更重要的问题是:这些债务产生了多少风险?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

债务何时有危险?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

债务支持企业直到企业无法偿还债务,要么通过新的资本,要么通过自由现金流。在最糟糕的情况下,如果企业无法偿还债权人的债务,它可能会破产。尽管这种情况并不常见,但我们经常看到负债的公司因贷方强制它们以不利价格募集资本而导致股东永久稀释。话虽这样说,最常见的情况是企业合理地管理它的债务,使其对自己有利。考虑企业使用债务量时,要做的第一件事是查看其现金和债务。

What Is Humana's Net Debt?

哈门那的净债务是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2024 Humana had debt of US$13.5b, up from US$12.0b in one year. But it also has US$22.6b in cash to offset that, meaning it has US$9.06b net cash.

下面的图片可以点击查看更详细的信息,显示2024年3月哈门那的负债为135亿美元,比一年前的120亿美元增长。 但它还有226亿美元的现金来抵消这笔债务,这意味着它有净现金90.6亿美元。

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NYSE:HUM Debt to Equity History July 15th 2024
NYSE:HUm股权负债的历史记录,截至2024年7月15日

How Healthy Is Humana's Balance Sheet?

哈门那的资产负债表状况如何?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Humana had liabilities of US$19.7b due within 12 months and liabilities of US$14.2b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$22.6b as well as receivables valued at US$3.93b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$7.37b.

深入研究最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看到哈门那的负债中有197亿美元是在12个月内到期的,而142亿美元是在12个月后到期的。而资产中有226亿美元的现金,以及3930万美元的应收账款在12个月内到期。因此,它的负债超过了其现金和(短期)应收账款的总和73.7亿美元。

Given Humana has a humongous market capitalization of US$46.1b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Humana boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

考虑到哈门那的市值达461亿美元,很难相信这些负债会构成太大的威胁。尽管有着显著的负债,哈门那却拥有净现金,因此可以说其负债负载并不沉重!但另一方面,哈门那的息税前利润减少了12%,如果这样的表现经常重复出现,可能会给股票带来困难。分析负债水平时,资产负债表是开始的明显地方。但是未来的收益,尤其是前景和未来的收益,将决定哈门那维持健康资产负债表的能力。因此,如果您想了解专业人士的想法,可以阅读这份免费的分析师利润预测报告。

On the other hand, Humana's EBIT dived 12%, over the last year. We think hat kind of performance, if repeated frequently, could well lead to difficulties for the stock. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Humana's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

然而,我们的最后考虑也很重要,因为公司无法用纸质利润来偿还债务;它需要冷硬现金。虽然哈门那在资产负债表上有净现金,但我们仍然应该关注其将息税前利润转换为自由现金流的能力,以帮助我们了解它正在以多快的速度积累(或侵蚀)现金余额。在过去的三年中,哈门那产生了相当可观的自由现金流,相当于其息税前利润的66%,与我们的预期相当。这笔冷硬现金意味着它可以在想要时减少其债务。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While Humana has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. During the last three years, Humana produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 66% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

尽管哈门那的负债高于流动资产,但净现金还有90.6亿美元。此外,在自由现金流方面,它的EBIT贡献了66%,带来了3200万美元的回报。因此,我们并不担心哈门那的债务使用。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中了解到大多数关于负债的信息。但是,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中——远非如此。例如,我们发现了1个关于哈门那的警告信号,你在投资之前应该意识到这些风险。

Summing Up

总之

While Humana does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of US$9.06b. The cherry on top was that in converted 66% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in -US$3.2b. So we are not troubled with Humana's debt use. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Humana that you should be aware of before investing here.

总的来说,哈门那的负债并不是一个大问题,尽管它比流动资产多。此外,通过将大约66%的EBIT转换为自由现金流,哈门那展示了其可靠性,为其财务健康提供了更大的支持。在研究债务之余,我们也应该关注公司收益的未来走势,这将决定哈门那是否能够维持健康的资产负债表。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果您有兴趣投资能够在不负债的情况下增长利润的企业,请查看这份免费列表,其中列出了在资产负债表上拥有净现金的成长型企业。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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