It's not a stretch to say that Capitalonline Data Service Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:300846) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 3.8x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" for companies in the IT industry in China, where the median P/S ratio is around 3.3x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
What Does Capitalonline Data Service's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
Capitalonline Data Service has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue at a solid pace. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to only keep up with the broader industry, which has keeping the P/S in line with expectations. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Capitalonline Data Service will help you shine a light on its historical performance.
How Is Capitalonline Data Service's Revenue Growth Trending?
Capitalonline Data Service's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 9.2% gain to the company's revenues. Revenue has also lifted 21% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 27% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.
With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Capitalonline Data Service's P/S is comparable to that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.
What We Can Learn From Capitalonline Data Service's P/S?
While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
We've established that Capitalonline Data Service's average P/S is a bit surprising since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. When we see weak revenue with slower than industry growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, bringing the P/S back in line with expectations. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, the probability of a share price decline will become quite substantial, placing shareholders at risk.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for Capitalonline Data Service you should be aware of, and 1 of them shouldn't be ignored.
If you're unsure about the strength of Capitalonline Data Service's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com