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Is Hunan Huamin Holdings (SZSE:300345) A Risky Investment?

Is Hunan Huamin Holdings (SZSE:300345) A Risky Investment?

华民股份(SZSE:300345)是否存在投资风险?
Simply Wall St ·  07/15 22:48

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Hunan Huamin Holdings Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300345) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

David Iben说得很好,“波动性不是我们关心的风险。我们关心的是避免资本永久损失。” 当我们考虑一家公司有多大风险时,我们总是喜欢看它使用债务的情况,因为债务过载会导致破产。和许多其他公司一样,华民股份有利用债务的部分。但更重要的问题是: 这笔债务产生了多少风险?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

为什么债务会带来风险?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

一般来说,只有当公司无法轻松还清债务时才会有真正的债务问题,要么通过筹集资本,要么通过现金流。最终,如果公司不能履行偿还债务的法律义务,股东可能什么都拿不到。然而,一个更普遍(但仍令人痛苦)的情况是,它必须以低价募集新的股权资本,因此永久稀释股东。话虽如此,最常见的情况是公司合理控制其债务 - 活用其债务优势。当我们考虑公司使用债务时,首先看现金和债务合起来。

How Much Debt Does Hunan Huamin Holdings Carry?

华民股份有多少债务?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2024 Hunan Huamin Holdings had CN¥182.5m of debt, an increase on CN¥60.0m, over one year. But it also has CN¥287.5m in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥105.0m net cash.

您可以点击下面的图表查看历史数据,但它显示,截至2024年3月,华民股份的债务为18250万人民币,较去年增加了6000万人民币。但它也有28750万元的现金来抵消这笔债务,这意味着它有10500万元的净现金。

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SZSE:300345 Debt to Equity History July 16th 2024
SZSE:300345资产负债历史数据2024年7月16日

How Healthy Is Hunan Huamin Holdings' Balance Sheet?

华民股份的资产负债表有多健康?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Hunan Huamin Holdings had liabilities of CN¥1.38b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥556.0m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥287.5m in cash and CN¥400.7m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥1.25b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

放大最新资产负债表数据,我们可以看到,华民股份有13.8亿人民币的短期到期负债和55600万人民币的长期到期负债。抵销的是他有28750万元的现金和40070万元的应收账款,这些应该在12个月内到期。因此,其负债合计比现金和短期应收账款加起来多1250万元。这个赤字还好,因为华民股份价值37亿元人民币,因此如果需要,可能会筹集足够的资本来支持其资产负债表。但显然,我们一定要密切检查它是否可以在不稀释股东的情况下处理其债务。尽管它有着显著的负债,但华民股份拥有净现金,因此可以说其没有承担沉重的债务负担!无疑,资产负债表可以让我们更多地了解债务。但它是华民股份未来的盈利能力,将影响资产负债表的持续情况。因此,如果您渴望了解更多关于其收益的信息,可以查看其长期收益趋势的图表。

This deficit isn't so bad because Hunan Huamin Holdings is worth CN¥3.70b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Hunan Huamin Holdings boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Hunan Huamin Holdings's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

在12个月内,华民股份报告了12亿人民币的收入,这是一项199%的增长,尽管它没有报告任何利息和税前收益。因此,毫无疑问,股东们都在为增长欢呼。

Over 12 months, Hunan Huamin Holdings reported revenue of CN¥1.2b, which is a gain of 199%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. So there's no doubt that shareholders are cheering for growth

那么华民股份有多大风险?

So How Risky Is Hunan Huamin Holdings?

我们毫不怀疑,亏损公司总的来说比盈利公司更具风险。我们注意到华民股份在过去一年中有一项利息和税前收益亏损。事实上,这段时间里,它烧了42700万元现金,亏损了25100万元。由于资产负债表只有10500万元,因此看起来它很快就要再次筹集资本了。重要的是,华民股份的营业收入增长正在蓄势待发。虽然不盈利的公司可能存在风险,但在这些盈利前的年份里,它们也可以快速增长。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是一个明显的起点。但是,最终,每家公司都可能存在超越资产负债表的风险。例如,我们已经确定了华民股份存在的两个警示标志,您应该知道。

We have no doubt that loss making companies are, in general, riskier than profitable ones. And we do note that Hunan Huamin Holdings had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss, over the last year. Indeed, in that time it burnt through CN¥427m of cash and made a loss of CN¥251m. With only CN¥105.0m on the balance sheet, it would appear that its going to need to raise capital again soon. Importantly, Hunan Huamin Holdings's revenue growth is hot to trot. While unprofitable companies can be risky, they can also grow hard and fast in those pre-profit years. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Hunan Huamin Holdings that you should be aware of.

您必须按照以下规则进行控件策略:

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

当然,如果您是那种喜欢购买没有负债负担的股票的投资者,则今天就可以发现我们的独家净现金增长股清单。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

对本文有反馈?对内容感到担忧?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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