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Is Shenzhen Hepalink Pharmaceutical Group (SZSE:002399) A Risky Investment?

Is Shenzhen Hepalink Pharmaceutical Group (SZSE:002399) A Risky Investment?

海普瑞药品集团(股票代码:002399)是否是一项高风险的投资?
Simply Wall St ·  07/15 22:59

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Shenzhen Hepalink Pharmaceutical Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002399) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

霍华德·马克斯说得好,与其担心股价波动,不如担心“永久损失的可能性……我知道的每一个实际投资者都这样担心”。所以,看来聪明的投资者知道,与破产通常有关的债务是评估一家公司风险程度时非常重要的因素。我们注意到深圳海普瑞药业集团股份有限公司(SZSE:002399)的资产负债表上确实有债务。但股东们应该担心它的债务使用吗?

When Is Debt A Problem?

什么时候负债才是一个问题?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

当一家公司难以通过自由现金流或以有吸引力的价格筹集资本来轻松地履行债务时,债务和其他负债对商业构成风险。最终,如果公司无法履行偿还债务的法律义务,股东可能一文不值。虽然这不太常见,但我们经常看到负债累累的公司因贷款人强迫他们以低价募集资本而永久稀释股东。当然,许多公司使用债务来资助增长,而没有任何负面影响。考虑公司的债务水平的第一步是将其现金和债务结合起来。

What Is Shenzhen Hepalink Pharmaceutical Group's Debt?

深圳海普瑞药业集团的债务是什么?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Shenzhen Hepalink Pharmaceutical Group had CN¥4.86b of debt in March 2024, down from CN¥6.22b, one year before. However, it also had CN¥2.50b in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥2.35b.

你可以点击下面的图表查看历史数字,但它显示在2024年3月,深圳海普瑞药业集团的债务为48.6亿人民币,比一年前的62.2亿人民币少。但它也有25亿人民币的现金,因此其净债务为23.5亿人民币。

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SZSE:002399 Debt to Equity History July 16th 2024
SZSE:002399资产负债率历史记录截至2024年7月16日

How Strong Is Shenzhen Hepalink Pharmaceutical Group's Balance Sheet?

深圳海普瑞药业集团的资产负债表有多强?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Shenzhen Hepalink Pharmaceutical Group had liabilities of CN¥4.61b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥2.12b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥2.50b as well as receivables valued at CN¥1.26b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥2.98b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

放大最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看到深圳海普瑞药业集团有461亿人民币的负债在12个月内到期,212亿人民币的负债在超过12个月后到期。抵消这些义务,它有25亿人民币的现金以及126亿人民币的应收账款在12个月内到期。因此,它的负债总额比其现金和近期应收账款加起来多上298亿人民币。

This deficit isn't so bad because Shenzhen Hepalink Pharmaceutical Group is worth CN¥12.8b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Shenzhen Hepalink Pharmaceutical Group's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

这种赤字并不严重,因为深圳海普瑞药业集团价值128亿元,因此如果需要,可能可以筹集足够的资本来支持其资产负债表,但显然我们确实应该密切关注其是否可以在不稀释股权的情况下管理其债务。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是明显的起点,但未来的收入,更重要的是将决定深圳海普瑞药业集团维持健康资产负债表的能力。因此,如果您想了解专业人士的想法,您可能会发现有关分析师利润预测的免费报告很有趣。

Over 12 months, Shenzhen Hepalink Pharmaceutical Group made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to CN¥5.5b, which is a fall of 16%. That's not what we would hope to see.

在12个月内,深圳海普瑞药业集团在EBIt水平上亏损,并且其收入下降了16%,为55亿元人民币。这不是我们希望看到的。

Caveat Emptor

买方自负。

Not only did Shenzhen Hepalink Pharmaceutical Group's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). Indeed, it lost CN¥134m at the EBIT level. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. For example, we would not want to see a repeat of last year's loss of CN¥695m. So in short it's a really risky stock. When we look at a riskier company, we like to check how their profits (or losses) are trending over time. Today, we're providing readers this interactive graph showing how Shenzhen Hepalink Pharmaceutical Group's profit, revenue, and operating cashflow have changed over the last few years.

深圳海普瑞药业集团不仅在过去的十二个月中收入下降,而且还在利息和税前盈利(EBIT)方面产生了负面收益。事实上,它在EBIt水平上亏损了13400万元人民币。当我们看看其资产负债表上的债务相对现金时,我们认为公司拥有任何债务是不明智的。坦率地说,尽管它可以通过时间来改善,但我们认为资产负债表远未做好匹配的准备。例如,我们不想看到去年69500万元人民币的损失重演。总之,这是一支风险极高的股票。当我们看风险更高的公司时,我们喜欢检查它们的利润(或亏损)随时间的趋势。今天,我们向读者提供这张交互式图表,展示深圳海普瑞药业集团的利润、收入和营运现金流在过去几年里的变化。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果您有兴趣投资能够在不负债的情况下增长利润的企业,请查看这份免费列表,其中列出了在资产负债表上拥有净现金的成长型企业。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

对本文有反馈?对内容感到担忧?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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