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Flat Retail Sales Report Shows 'A More Discerning Consumer' Keeps Spending, Economists Say

Flat Retail Sales Report Shows 'A More Discerning Consumer' Keeps Spending, Economists Say

经济学家称,扁平零售销售报告显示“更具鉴别力的消费者”继续消费。
Benzinga ·  07/16 10:37

June's U.S. retail sales report indicates that increasingly careful consumers are still opening their wallets, despite a stagnant reading on Tuesday, economists say.

美国6月的零售销售报告显示,尽管周二的数据表现不佳,但经济学家表示,越来越谨慎的消费者仍在打开他们的钱包。

U.S. retail sales remained flat in June, falling from an upwardly revised 0.3% growth in May to zero growth and matching the forecasted flat reading, according to preliminary estimates issued on Tuesday.

根据周二发布的初步估计数据,6月美国零售销售保持不变,从5月上修的0.3%增长下降至0%增长,并与预测的平稳数据相匹配。

"A more discerning consumer continues to spend," Quincy Krosby, chief global strategist for LPL Financial, said on Tuesday.

LPL Financial首席全球策略师昆西·克罗斯比(Quincy Krosby)周二表示:“更加理智的消费者仍在消费。”

"This morning's retail report — coupled with positive revisions — suggests that the all-important U.S. consumer, while increasingly discerning regarding purchases, continues to spend at a resilient pace."

她还指出,与积极的修订结合在一起的今早的零售报告表明,尽管在购买方面越来越审慎,但至关重要的美国消费者仍以有弹性的速度消费。

She also noted that Treasury yields inched higher on the favorable print, but equity futures remain positive.

她还指出,美国国债收益率在有利的数据发布后略微上涨,但股票期货仍然保持积极态势。

"This report doesn't negate expectations that the Fed will cut rates at its September 18 meeting, unless of course inflation-related data releases indicate an uptick in prices," she said.

她说:“这份报告并不是否定美联储将在9月18日的会议上降息的预期,除非通胀相关的数据发布表明价格有所上涨。”

"Today's report should be positive for markets as investors prefer the launch of a Fed easing cycle to begin with a still solid economic backdrop," Krosby added.

昆西·克罗斯比(Krosby)补充道:“今天的报告对市场来说应该是积极的,因为投资者倾向于以仍然健康的经济背景启动Fed的宽松举措。”

Also Read: US Stocks Mixed; Retail Sales Increase 0.1% In May

另请参阅:美国股市涨跌互现; 5月零售销售增加0.1%

June Retail Sales Report: Key Highlights

6月零售销售报告:主要亮点

  • On a year-over-year basis, retail sales rose by 2.3% in June, slowing from an upwardly revised 2.6% in May.
  • Excluding motor vehicle and parts, retail sales increased by 0.4% month-over-month, up from 0.1% in May and topping the expected 0.1%, according to TradingEconomics data.
  • Excluding gasoline, motor vehicle and parts, retail sales rose 0.8% month-over-month in June, beating expectations of 0.2% growth and advancing from an upwardly revised 0.3% gain in May.
  • Among different spending categories, the largest monthly increases were seen in nonstore retailers, with a 1.9% rise, followed by building material, garden equipment and supplies dealers, up 1.4%.
  • The largest monthly drops were seen in gasoline stations, down 3%, and motor vehicle and parts dealers, down 2%.
  • 以同比基础计算,6月零售销售增长了2.3%,从5月上修的2.6%放缓。
  • 根据TradingEconomics数据,除汽车及其配件外,6月零售销售环比增长0.4%,高于5月的0.1%,并超过了预期的0.1%。
  • 不计算汽油,汽车及其配件,6月零售销售环比增长0.8%,超过0.2%增长的预期,并从5月的上修0.3%增长。
  • 在不同的消费类别中,非实体零售商的月度增长最大,增长了1.9%,其次是建材,园艺设备和用品经销商,增长1.4%。
  • 汽油站下降了3%,汽车及其配件经销商下降了2%。

"Consumers are pulling back on some items but they still show signs of resilience," Jeffrey Roach, chief economist for LPL Financial, said on Tuesday.

LPL Financial首席经济学家杰弗里·罗奇(Jeffrey Roach)周二表示:“消费者正在暂停购买某些物品,但仍显示出强大的恢复能力。”

"Investors will get a better picture on the consumer in the upcoming personal income and spending release later this month. So far, those consumers who experienced strong real income growth continue to support the economy with their insatiable appetite to spend," Roach added.

罗奇补充说:“投资者将在本月晚些时候发布的个人收入和支出数据中更好地了解消费者的情况。到目前为止,那些经历了实际收入增长的消费者继续通过他们的无止境的消费支持着经济。”

Price Action: Major retailers made modest gains on Tuesday morning. Walmart Inc. (NYSE:WMT) edged up 0.42% to $69.92, while Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMZN) gained 0.79% to $194.24 and The Home Depot Inc. (NYSE:HD) was up 1.81% to $365.03.

股价表现:周二上午,主要零售商的股价都有小幅上涨。 沃尔玛(NYSE:WMT)涨0.42%至69.92美元,而亚马逊(NASDAQ:AMZN)上涨0.79%至194.24美元,家得宝公司(The Home Depot Inc.)(NYSE:HD)上涨1.81%至365.03美元。

Exchange-traded funds that track Walmart, the world's largest retailer, were up following the retail sales report. The Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:XLP) gained 0.45% as the Vanguard Consumer Staples Index Fund ETF Shares (NYSE:VDC) gained 0.83%.

以零售销售为目标的交易所交易基金(ETF)追踪世界最大零售商沃尔玛,周二零售销售报告发布后上涨。消费者日常用品选择板块SPDR Fund(NYSE:XLP)上涨0.45%,而先锋消费者板块指数基金ETF股票(NYSE:VDC)上涨0.83%。

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  • Retail Sales Preview: May Numbers Expected To Rise As Consumers 'Feeling More Positive'
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Photo: Shutterstock

Photo: shutterstock

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