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Investing in LyondellBasell Industries (NYSE:LYB) Five Years Ago Would Have Delivered You a 53% Gain

Investing in LyondellBasell Industries (NYSE:LYB) Five Years Ago Would Have Delivered You a 53% Gain

五年前投资利安德巴塞尔工业(纽交所:LYB)将会为您带来53%的收益。
Simply Wall St ·  07/16 14:38

The main point of investing for the long term is to make money. But more than that, you probably want to see it rise more than the market average. Unfortunately for shareholders, while the LyondellBasell Industries N.V. (NYSE:LYB) share price is up 14% in the last five years, that's less than the market return. Looking at the last year alone, the stock is up 5.2%.

长期投资的主要目的是赚钱。但不仅如此,你可能想看到它比市场平均水平上升更多。不幸的是,尽管利安德巴塞尔工业股份有限公司(纽交所:LYB)股价在过去五年中上涨了14%,但仍低于市场回报率。仅仅看过去一年,该股上涨了5.2%。

So let's investigate and see if the longer term performance of the company has been in line with the underlying business' progress.

那么,让我们调查一下并查看公司的长期表现是否符合基本业务的进展。

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

在他的文章《格雷厄姆-多德斯维尔的超级投资人》中,沃伦·巴菲特描述了股票价格并不总是理性地反映公司价值的情况。一种有缺陷但合理的评估公司情绪如何变化的方法是将每股收益(EPS)与股票价格进行比较。

During five years of share price growth, LyondellBasell Industries actually saw its EPS drop 10% per year.

在股价上涨的五年中,利安德巴塞尔工业股份有限公司的每股收益每年下降了10%。

Since the EPS are down strongly, it seems highly unlikely market participants are looking at EPS to value the company. The falling EPS doesn't correlate with the climbing share price, so it's worth taking a look at other metrics.

由于每股收益大幅下滑,市场参与者看待公司的价值不可能仅仅考虑每股收益。下跌的每股收益与上涨的股价并不相关,因此值得关注其他指标。

We note that the dividend is higher than it was previously - always nice to see. Maybe dividend investors have helped support the share price. We'd posit that the revenue growth over the last five years, of 7.7% per year, would encourage people to invest.

我们注意到,股息高于之前 - 看到这总是很好。也许分红投资者已经帮助支撑股价。我们认为,过去五年中每年增长7.7%的营业收入将鼓励人们进行投资。

The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

下面的图表显示了收益和营收随时间的变化情况(通过单击图像揭示确切的值)。

big
NYSE:LYB Earnings and Revenue Growth July 16th 2024
纽交所:LYb收益和营业收入增长2024年7月16日

LyondellBasell Industries is well known by investors, and plenty of clever analysts have tried to predict the future profit levels. So we recommend checking out this free report showing consensus forecasts

利安德巴塞尔工业股份有限公司为投资者熟知,许多聪明的分析师尝试预测未来的利润水平。因此,我们建议查看这份显示共识预测的免费报告。

What About Dividends?

那么分红怎么样呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, LyondellBasell Industries' TSR for the last 5 years was 53%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

对于任何给定的股票,考虑总股东回报率以及股价回报率是很重要的。TSR是一种回报计算,考虑到现金股息的价值(假设收到的任何股息都是再投资的)和任何折价融资和分拆的计算价值。可以说,TSR给出了股票产生的回报的更全面的图像。碰巧,利安德巴塞尔工业的TSR在过去5年中为53%,超过了前面提到的股价回报。公司支付的股息因此提高了总股东回报率。

A Different Perspective

不同的观点

LyondellBasell Industries shareholders are up 11% for the year (even including dividends). But that return falls short of the market. On the bright side, that's still a gain, and it's actually better than the average return of 9% over half a decade It is possible that returns will improve along with the business fundamentals. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for LyondellBasell Industries that you should be aware of before investing here.

利安德巴塞尔工业股东今年的回报率为11%(包括股息)。但是这种回报率仍然低于市场。好的一面是,这仍然是一种收益,并且实际上比半个十年的平均回报率9%要好。业务基本面有可能改善带来回报的同时,考虑市场条件的不同影响是非常值得的。但要注意:利安德巴塞尔工业可能不是最好的股票购买选择。因此,请查看这个免费的有过去盈利增长(以及更多增长预测)的有趣公司列表。

But note: LyondellBasell Industries may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

但要注意:利安德巴塞尔工业可能不是最好的购买股票。因此,请查看这个免费的有着过去盈利增长(以及更多增长预测)的有趣公司列表。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

请注意,本文所引述的市场回报反映了目前在美国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对本文有反馈?对内容感到担忧?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

对本文有反馈?对内容感到担忧?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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