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Is KPC PharmaceuticalsInc (SHSE:600422) A Risky Investment?

Is KPC PharmaceuticalsInc (SHSE:600422) A Risky Investment?

KPC制药股份有限公司(SHSE:600422)是否是一项风险投资?
Simply Wall St ·  07/16 19:59

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies KPC Pharmaceuticals,Inc. (SHSE:600422) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

Howard Marks说得很好,他认为,与其担心股价波动,不如担心“永久损失的可能性是我担心的风险......我认识的每位实际投资者都会担心。”我们考虑一家公司有多大风险时,我们总是喜欢看它的债务使用情况,因为过度负债可能导致毁灭。与许多其他公司一样,石药集团股份有限公司(SHSE:600422)也有负债。但更重要的问题是:这些债务创造了多大的风险?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

债务何时有危险?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

债务和其他负债对企业而言具有风险,当企业不能轻松地通过自由现金流或以优惠价格筹集资本来履行这些义务时,这些风险就会变得严重。如果情况变得非常糟糕,放贷人可以控制企业。然而,一个经常发生的情况是,公司必须以低价发行股票,从而永久稀释股东,以弥补资产负债表。当然,债务可以是企业的重要工具,特别是资本密集型企业。在考虑企业使用多少债务时,首要要做的事情是将其现金和债务结合在一起。

What Is KPC PharmaceuticalsInc's Net Debt?

石药集团股份有限公司的净债务是什么?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2024 KPC PharmaceuticalsInc had CN¥855.0m of debt, an increase on CN¥816.2m, over one year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥1.96b in cash, so it actually has CN¥1.11b net cash.

您可以单击下面的图表查看历史数据,但它显示,截至2024年3月,石药集团股份有限公司的债务为85500万元人民币,比一年前的81620万元人民币增加。然而,其资产负债表显示,它持有19.6亿元人民币的现金,因此实际上有11.1亿元人民币的净现金。

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SHSE:600422 Debt to Equity History July 16th 2024
SHSE:600422资产负债历史记录2024年7月16日

How Strong Is KPC PharmaceuticalsInc's Balance Sheet?

石药集团股份有限公司的财务状况如何?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that KPC PharmaceuticalsInc had liabilities of CN¥3.80b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥429.1m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥1.96b as well as receivables valued at CN¥3.36b due within 12 months. So it actually has CN¥1.10b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

放大最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看到,石药集团股份有限公司的义务有38亿元人民币,需要在12个月内偿还,而在此之后需要偿还4291万元人民币的义务。相对地,它有196亿元人民币的现金,以及336亿元人民币的应收账款,需要在12个月内偿还。因此,它实际上有11亿元人民币的流动资产比总负债高。

This surplus suggests that KPC PharmaceuticalsInc has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty. Simply put, the fact that KPC PharmaceuticalsInc has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

这一盈余表明石药集团股份有限公司具有审慎的资产负债表,很可能可以毫不费力地消除其债务。简而言之,石药集团股份有限公司具有更多的现金而不是债务,这是一个良好的指标,表明它可以安全地处理其债务。

But the bad news is that KPC PharmaceuticalsInc has seen its EBIT plunge 15% in the last twelve months. If that rate of decline in earnings continues, the company could find itself in a tight spot. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if KPC PharmaceuticalsInc can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

但坏消息是,石药集团股份有限公司的利息、税项、折旧与摊销后利润(EBIT)在过去十二个月中暴跌了15%。如果这种收益下降的速度持续下去,该公司可能会陷入困境。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是明显的起点。但最终,企业未来的盈利能力将决定石药集团股份有限公司是否能够随着时间的推移加强其资产负债表。因此,如果您关注未来,您可以查看这份免费报告,其中显示了分析师的盈利预测。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. KPC PharmaceuticalsInc may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Looking at the most recent three years, KPC PharmaceuticalsInc recorded free cash flow of 45% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

最后,公司只能用现金来偿还债务,而不是会计利润。石药集团股份有限公司可能在资产负债表上有净现金,但看一下公司将利息和税前利润(EBIT)转化为自由现金流的能力,因为这将影响它管理债务的需求和能力。在查看最近三年的最新数据时,石药集团股份有限公司的自由现金流为其EBIt的45%,这比我们预期的要弱。这种弱的现金转换使得处理债务变得更加困难。

Summing Up

总之

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that KPC PharmaceuticalsInc has net cash of CN¥1.11b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. So we are not troubled with KPC PharmaceuticalsInc's debt use. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example - KPC PharmaceuticalsInc has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

虽然我们理解认为债务令人担忧的投资者,但您应该记住,石药集团股份有限公司有1.1亿人民币的净现金,以及更多的流动资产而不是负债。因此,我们对石药集团股份有限公司的债务使用并不担心。资产负债表显然是在分析债务时的重点区域。但最终,每家公司都包含存在于资产负债表之外的风险。例如——石药集团股份有限公司有 1个警告标志 我们认为你应该知道。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

如果您在所有这些工作之后,更感兴趣于拥有坚实资产负债表的快速发展公司,请立即查看我们的净现金成长股列表。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对本文有任何反馈?对内容有任何疑虑?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

对本文有反馈?对内容感到担忧?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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