There wouldn't be many who think Kyland Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:300353) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 4.2x is worth a mention when the median P/S for the Communications industry in China is similar at about 3.8x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
How Kyland Technology Has Been Performing
While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, Kyland Technology's revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. It might be that many expect the dour revenue performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/S from falling. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a relatively elevated price for a company with this sort of growth profile.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Kyland Technology will help you uncover what's on the horizon.
Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Kyland Technology's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 4.5%. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow revenue by an impressive 79% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 37% as estimated by the sole analyst watching the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 48% growth, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.
With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Kyland Technology's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.
The Final Word
Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
When you consider that Kyland Technology's revenue growth estimates are fairly muted compared to the broader industry, it's easy to see why we consider it unexpected to be trading at its current P/S ratio. At present, we aren't confident in the P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. A positive change is needed in order to justify the current price-to-sales ratio.
Plus, you should also learn about these 4 warning signs we've spotted with Kyland Technology (including 2 which make us uncomfortable).
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com