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As Tesla Stock Bounces Back, Fund Manager Says Elon Musk-Led Company Offers 'Good Setup' Into Q2 Earnings Next Week: This Is the Key Variable To Watch Out For

As Tesla Stock Bounces Back, Fund Manager Says Elon Musk-Led Company Offers 'Good Setup' Into Q2 Earnings Next Week: This Is the Key Variable To Watch Out For

特斯拉股票反弹后,基金经理表示,由埃隆·马斯克领导的公司在下周二季报中将提供“良好的设置”:这是需要关注的关键变量。
Benzinga ·  07/17 05:30

Tesla, Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA) stock has resumed the rally after a report suggesting the postponement of the Aug. 8 robotaxi unveil event, dragged the stock sharply lower last Thursday. A fund manager, who is bullish on the electric vehicle maker, said the stock "still offers a good setup into 2Q earnings next week."

特斯拉股票(纳斯达克股票代码:TSLA)在上周四因一份报告暗示8月8日发布的自动驾驶汽车展示推迟而大幅下跌后,恢复了上涨。一位看好这家电动汽车制造商的基金经理表示,该股票“仍然具备在下周发布的第二季度业绩中提供良好的入场机会”的条件。

Upside Surprise In Offing? Elon Musk-led EV giant is scheduled to report its second-quarter results after the market closes on July 23. Analysts, on average, expect the company to report earnings per share of $0.62, sharply down from the $0.91 reported for the year-ago quarter. Revenue may have slipped 1.20% to $24.63 billion.

在盘后于7月23日发布第二季度财报。此前券商分析师人均预计,该公司每股收益为0.62美元,较去年同期的0.91美元大幅下降。营业收入可能下滑1.20%,达到2463亿元。

The Future Fund LLC Managing Partner Gary Black took to social-media platform X, formerly Twitter, to express his thoughts on the stock ahead of the imminent earnings. His optimism is premised on the fact that second-quarter consensus has barely moved after the deliveries report, going up merely 2 cents to 60 cents.

未来基金首席执行官加里·布莱克(Gary Black)在社交媒体平台X(前身为Twitter)上发表了对该股票的看法,并表达了他对即将到来的财报的乐观态度。他的乐观态度基于一个事实,那就是在交付报告发布后,第二季度的共识仅微涨2美分,从60美分涨至62美分。

The P/E multiple is 102 times based on estimated 2024 earnings and a more modest 76 times the estimated 2025 earnings, Black noted. The valuation, though elevated, is not out of line with recent history, he said.

布莱克指出,按预计2024年收益计算,市盈率为102倍,按预计2025年收益计算,则为76倍。虽然估值偏高,但并没有出现超出最近历史的情况。

The fund manager said the most important variable now is the second-quarter auto gross margin, excluding regulatory credits. The consensus estimate is currently at 16.2% compared to 16.4% in the first quarter, although deliveries improved notably from 384,000 units in the first quarter to 444,000 in the second quarter, he said.

基金经理表示,目前最重要的变量是第二季度的汽车毛利率,不包括监管信贷。他说,当前的共识估计与第一季度相比下降至16.2%,尽管交付量已经从第一季度的38.4万辆提高到第二季度的44.4万辆。

"With China volumes strong, discounting in check, and robotaxi event delayed until Oct, expect TSLA mgmt to be more upbeat on the conf call than they would have been otherwise."

《芝加哥商业杂志》援引布莱克的话称,“由于中国销售强劲,折扣控制得当,机器人出租车活动推迟到10月份,预计特斯拉管理层在电话会议中会更为乐观。”

$TSLA still offers a good setup into 2Q earnings next week. 2Q adj eps ests have barely moved ($.60 vs $.58 before 2Q delivs surprise) and 2024 P/E (102x) and 2025 P/E (76x) while elevated not out of line with recent history. Most important variable remains auto gross margin... pic.twitter.com/7vPirBMlQw

— Gary Black (@garyblack00) July 16, 2024

$TSLA在下周发布第二季度财报之前仍然有良好的布局。第二季度经调整的每股收益预计仅微涨(由2Q delivs surprise之前的0.58美元上升到0.60美元),而预计2024年P/E(102倍)和2025年P/E(76倍)虽然偏高,但并不超出最近历史的范围。最重要的变量仍然是汽车毛利率... pic.twitter.com/7vPirBMlQw

2024年7月16日,Gary Black(@garyblack00)

China Improvement: Black also commented on weekly China insurance registration data released on Tuesday. He noted that the metric was 11.4K for Tesla for the week ended July 8-14.

布莱克还在周二发布的中国保险登记数据上发表了评论。他指出,特斯拉在截至7月8日至14日的一周内的登记数量为1.14万。

Two weeks into the quarter, China sales growth is trending at 36% year-over-year and 121% higher than the previous quarter, he said, adding that Tesla has gotten off to the best start to a quarter since the second quarter of 2023.

他说,到季度的第二周,中国销售增速同比增长36%,比上一季度高出121%。布莱克补充说,特斯拉实现了自2023年第二季度以来,最好的季度开端。

"One of the strongest bullish $TSLA storylines is TSLA EV strength so far in 3Q," Black said. The momentum, the fund manager said, likely reflected Tesla's zero-interest rate financing deals in China.

基金经理表示,“$TSLA最强劲的看涨故事之一就是在3Q中的TSLA电动汽车实力。”他表示,这种势头很可能反映了特斯拉在中国推出零利率融资交易。

Tesla edged down 0.20% to $256.04 in premarket trading on Wednesday, according to Benzinga Pro data. The stock has gained 3.3% for the year, underperforming the S&P 500 Index, which is up about 19%.

根据彭博社的数据,周三,在盘前交易中,特斯拉股价下跌了0.20%,至256.04美元。截至目前,特斯拉的股价在今年已经涨了3.3%,表现较S&P 500指数(上涨约19%)不佳。

Check out more of Benzinga's Future Of Mobility coverage by following this link.

通过以下链接查看更多财经新闻《Benzinga智库:移动出行未来》

  • Will Tesla Robotaxis Be Allowed in China? Analyst Says 'Highly Unlikely,' Investors Should Consider Unavoidable National Security Risks
  • 特斯拉机器人出租车将在中国被允许吗?分析师表示“极不可能”,投资者应考虑不可避免的国家安全风险。

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