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Investing in Lockheed Martin (NYSE:LMT) Five Years Ago Would Have Delivered You a 50% Gain

Investing in Lockheed Martin (NYSE:LMT) Five Years Ago Would Have Delivered You a 50% Gain

五年前投资洛克希德马丁(纽交所:LMT),可获得50%的收益。
Simply Wall St ·  07/17 11:44

If you buy and hold a stock for many years, you'd hope to be making a profit. Furthermore, you'd generally like to see the share price rise faster than the market. Unfortunately for shareholders, while the Lockheed Martin Corporation (NYSE:LMT) share price is up 31% in the last five years, that's less than the market return. The last year hasn't been great either, with the stock up just 2.8%.

如果你持有一支股票多年,希望能获得利润,而且希望看到股价上涨快于市场。遗憾的是,对于股东来说,洛克希德马丁公司(纽交所:LMT)的股价在过去五年中上涨了31%,低于市场回报率。过去一年也不太好,股价仅上涨了2.8%。

So let's assess the underlying fundamentals over the last 5 years and see if they've moved in lock-step with shareholder returns.

因此,让我们评估过去5年的基本面,看看它们是否和股东的回报率相符。

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

不可否认的是,市场有时是高效的,但价格并不总是反映潜在的商业表现。一个不完美但简单的方法来考虑公司市场感知如何改变是比较每股收益(EPS)变化和股价变动。

During five years of share price growth, Lockheed Martin achieved compound earnings per share (EPS) growth of 7.5% per year. The EPS growth is more impressive than the yearly share price gain of 6% over the same period. So one could conclude that the broader market has become more cautious towards the stock.

在五年的股价上涨中,洛克希德马丁每股收益复合增长率(EPS)为每年7.5%。 EPS增长比同期股价涨幅6%更令人印象深刻。因此,人们可能会得出结论,更广泛的市场对该股持谨慎态度。

The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

该公司的每股收益(随时间的推移)如下图所示(单击可查看确切数字)。

big
NYSE:LMT Earnings Per Share Growth July 17th 2024
纽交所:LMt 每股收益增长于2024年7月17日

We consider it positive that insiders have made significant purchases in the last year. Even so, future earnings will be far more important to whether current shareholders make money. Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here..

考虑到任何给定股票的总股东回报率以及股价回报率是非常重要的。 TSR包括根据红利再投资的假设,基于任何分拆或折价募集资本的价值,以及任何股息。可以说,TSR提供了有关股票产生的回报的更全面的画面。在MillerKnoll的情况下,其在最近的1年中具有90%的TSR。这超过了我们之前提到的股价回报。可以毫不费力地猜到,股息支付在很大程度上解释了这种分歧!

What About Dividends?

那么分红怎么样呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for Lockheed Martin the TSR over the last 5 years was 50%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

投资者除了要衡量股价回报之外,还应考虑总股东回报(TSR)。 TSR是一种回报计算,考虑到现金股息的价值(假设收到的任何股息都得到重新投资)以及任何折价资本募集和分拆的计算价值。 AR认为,TSR可以更全面地反映股票所产生的回报情况。我们注意到,对于洛克希德马丁而言,过去5年的TSR为50%,优于上述股价回报率。公司支付的股息增加了总股东回报。

A Different Perspective

不同的观点

Lockheed Martin shareholders are up 5.7% for the year (even including dividends). Unfortunately this falls short of the market return. On the bright side, the longer term returns (running at about 8% a year, over half a decade) look better. It's quite possible the business continues to execute with prowess, even as the share price gains are slowing. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Lockheed Martin you should be aware of.

洛克希德马丁的股东今年(包括红利在内)获得了5.7%的收益。不幸的是,这低于市场回报率。好消息是,长期回报(在过去半个十年中平均每年约为8%)看起来更好。即使股价涨幅放缓,业务仍然很可能继续执行。虽然考虑市场条件对股价的不同影响非常值得,但还有其他更重要的因素。如下所示:我们已经发现一项洛克希德马丁的警示号,你应该注意。

Lockheed Martin is not the only stock insiders are buying. So take a peek at this free list of small cap companies at attractive valuations which insiders have been buying.

洛克希德马丁并不是唯一一个内部人员正在购买的股票。因此,请查看这个免费的小盘公司名单,这些公司在吸引性的估值中内部人员一直在购买。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

请注意,本文所引述的市场回报反映了目前在美国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对本文有反馈?对内容感到担忧?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

对本文有反馈?对内容感到担忧?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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