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Here's Why Shang Gong Group (SHSE:600843) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

Here's Why Shang Gong Group (SHSE:600843) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

为什么上工b股(SHSE:600843)有重大债务负担
Simply Wall St ·  18:03

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Shang Gong Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600843) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

有人说,波动性,而不是债务,是投资者思考风险的最佳方式,但沃伦·巴菲特曾说过一句名言:“波动性远非风险的代名词。”因此,当你评估公司的风险时,看来聪明的货币知道债务(通常涉及破产)是一个非常重要的因素。我们注意到,上工集团有限公司(SHSE: 600843)的资产负债表上确实有债务。但真正的问题是这笔债务是否使公司面临风险。

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

为什么债务会带来风险?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

债务是帮助企业增长的工具,但是如果企业无法偿还贷款,那么债务就任其摆布。如果情况变得非常糟糕,贷款人可以控制业务。但是,更常见(但仍然令人痛苦)的情况是,它必须以低廉的价格筹集新的股本,从而永久稀释股东。当然,债务的好处在于它通常代表廉价资本,尤其是当它以高回报率进行再投资的能力取代公司的稀释时。考虑公司的债务水平的第一步是同时考虑其现金和债务。

What Is Shang Gong Group's Debt?

尚工集团的债务是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2024 Shang Gong Group had debt of CN¥1.35b, up from CN¥1.05b in one year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥1.48b in cash, so it actually has CN¥137.1m net cash.

您可以点击下图查看更多详情,该图片显示,截至2024年3月,尚工集团的债务为13.5元人民币,高于一年内的10.5元人民币。但是,其资产负债表显示它持有14.8元人民币的现金,因此实际上拥有13710万元人民币的净现金。

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SHSE:600843 Debt to Equity History July 17th 2024
SHSE: 600843 2024 年 7 月 17 日债务与股权比率的历史记录

How Healthy Is Shang Gong Group's Balance Sheet?

上工集团的资产负债表有多健康?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Shang Gong Group had liabilities of CN¥2.25b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥586.7m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥1.48b in cash and CN¥1.24b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥112.3m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

我们可以从最新的资产负债表中看出,尚工集团的负债为22.5元人民币,一年后到期的负债为58670万元人民币。与此相抵消的是,它有14.8元人民币的现金和12.4元人民币的应收账款将在12个月内到期。因此,它的负债总额为11230万元人民币,超过了现金和短期应收账款的总和。

Since publicly traded Shang Gong Group shares are worth a total of CN¥3.88b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Shang Gong Group also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

由于上宫集团公开交易的股票总价值为38.8元人民币,因此这种负债水平似乎不太可能构成重大威胁。但是,我们确实认为值得关注其资产负债表的实力,因为它可能会随着时间的推移而发生变化。尽管尚工集团确实有值得注意的负债,但其现金也多于债务,因此我们非常有信心它可以安全地管理债务。

Unfortunately, Shang Gong Group saw its EBIT slide 6.6% in the last twelve months. If that earnings trend continues then its debt load will grow heavy like the heart of a polar bear watching its sole cub. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Shang Gong Group's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

不幸的是,上工集团的息税前利润在过去十二个月中下降了6.6%。如果这种盈利趋势持续下去,那么它的债务负担将变得沉重,就像北极熊看着它唯一的幼崽一样。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但是,影响未来资产负债表状况的是尚工集团的收益。因此,如果你想进一步了解其收益,可能值得看看这张长期收益趋势图。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While Shang Gong Group has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. During the last three years, Shang Gong Group burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

但是我们最终的考虑因素也很重要,因为公司无法用纸面利润来偿还债务;它需要冷硬现金。尽管尚工集团的资产负债表上有净现金,但仍值得一看其将息税前收益(EBIT)转换为自由现金流的能力,以帮助我们了解其建立(或侵蚀)现金余额的速度有多快。在过去的三年中,尚工集团烧毁了大量现金。尽管投资者无疑预计这种情况将在适当的时候逆转,但这显然意味着其使用债务的风险更大。

Summing Up

总结

We could understand if investors are concerned about Shang Gong Group's liabilities, but we can be reassured by the fact it has has net cash of CN¥137.1m. So while Shang Gong Group does not have a great balance sheet, it's certainly not too bad. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Shang Gong Group (2 make us uncomfortable) you should be aware of.

我们可以理解投资者是否担心上工集团的负债,但我们可以放心,该集团的净现金为13710万元人民币。因此,尽管尚工集团的资产负债表不佳,但肯定还不错。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但是,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中,远非如此。例如,我们已经确定了你应该注意的 3 个警告信号(2 个让我们感到不舒服)。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

毕竟,如果你对一家资产负债表坚如磐石的快速成长型公司更感兴趣,那么请立即查看我们的净现金增长股票清单。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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