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Despite Lower Earnings Than Five Years Ago, Charles Schwab (NYSE:SCHW) Investors Are up 55% Since Then

Despite Lower Earnings Than Five Years Ago, Charles Schwab (NYSE:SCHW) Investors Are up 55% Since Then

尽管嘉信理财(纽交所:SCHW)的收益低于五年前,但投资者自那时以来已经增长了55%。
Simply Wall St ·  07/18 06:18

The Charles Schwab Corporation (NYSE:SCHW) shareholders might be concerned after seeing the share price drop 15% in the last week. But the silver lining is the stock is up over five years. Unfortunately its return of 44% is below the market return of 98%.

嘉信理财公司 (NYSE:SCHW) 股东可能会对上周股价下跌15%感到担忧。但好消息是股票在过去五年中上涨了。不幸的是,其回报率为44%,低于市场回报率的98%。

Since the long term performance has been good but there's been a recent pullback of 15%, let's check if the fundamentals match the share price.

由于长期表现良好,但最近出现了15%的回调,让我们检查一下基本面是否与股价相符。

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

尽管一些人继续教授有效市场假说,但已经证明市场是过度反应的动态系统,并且投资者并不总是理性的。通过比较每股收益(EPS)和股价的变化情况,我们可以了解投资者对公司的态度如何随着时间变化而变化。

Charles Schwab's earnings per share are down 2.1% per year, despite strong share price performance over five years.

尽管长达五年的股票表现强劲,但嘉信理财的每股收益年均下降2.1%。

So it's hard to argue that the earnings per share are the best metric to judge the company, as it may not be optimized for profits at this point. Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.

因此,很难说每股收益是评判公司的最佳指标,因为此时它可能没有针对利润进行优化。由于每股收益的变化似乎与股价的变化无关,因此值得查看其他指标。

The modest 1.6% dividend yield is unlikely to be propping up the share price. On the other hand, Charles Schwab's revenue is growing nicely, at a compound rate of 15% over the last five years. It's quite possible that management are prioritizing revenue growth over EPS growth at the moment.

1.6%的微薄股息收益率不可能支撑股价。另一方面,嘉信理财的营业收入以复合年增长率15%的速度增长。目前管理层很可能优先考虑营收增长而非每股收益增长。

The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

下面的图表显示了收益和营收随时间的变化情况(通过单击图像揭示确切的值)。

big
NYSE:SCHW Earnings and Revenue Growth July 18th 2024
NYSE:SCHW 营收和收益增长于2024年7月18日。

Charles Schwab is a well known stock, with plenty of analyst coverage, suggesting some visibility into future growth. So we recommend checking out this free report showing consensus forecasts

嘉信理财是一只众所周知的股票,得到了许多分析师的关注,这表明了对未来增长的一些可见性。因此,我们建议查看这份免费的报告,显示出一致的预测。

What About Dividends?

那么分红怎么样呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for Charles Schwab the TSR over the last 5 years was 55%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

考虑到任何给定股票的总股东回报率以及股价回报率非常重要。股价回报率只反映了股价的变化,而TSR除了股息的价值(假设已经重新投资)和任何折价的资本筹集或剥离的利益外还包括其他回报。可以说,TSR可以更全面地描绘股票的回报。我们注意到,对于嘉信理财来说,过去5年的TSR为55%,优于以上提到的股价回报率。而且毫无疑问,股息支付在很大程度上解释了这种差异!

A Different Perspective

不同的观点

While the broader market gained around 22% in the last year, Charles Schwab shareholders lost 1.9% (even including dividends). However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 9% per year over half a decade. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Consider risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Charles Schwab you should know about.

虽然整个市场在过去一年中增长了约22%,但嘉信理财的股东损失了1.9%(包括股息)。然而,需要记住的是,即使是最好的股票有时也会在12个月的期间内表现不佳。但值得庆幸的是,长期持股人赚取了利润,半个十年的年增长率为9%。最近的抛售可能是机会,因此检查基本数据是否存在长期增长趋势可能是值得的。我发现通过长期股价作为业务表现的代理来观察非常有趣。但为了真正获得深入的洞察,我们还需要考虑其他信息。例如,考虑风险,因为每家公司都有这些风险,我们已经为嘉信理财当中发现了一个警示标志,你应该知道。

If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

如果您愿意查看另一家公司(具有潜在的更好财务状况),请不要错过这个免费的公司列表,证明它们可以增长收益。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

请注意,本文所引述的市场回报反映了目前在美国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对本文有反馈?对内容感到担忧?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

对本文有反馈?对内容感到担忧?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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