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Semiconductor Stocks Historically Outperform Following 5% Selloff in a Day, Bank Of America Says

Semiconductor Stocks Historically Outperform Following 5% Selloff in a Day, Bank Of America Says

美国银行表示,半导体股票在日内下跌5%后历史上表现优异
Benzinga ·  13:54

Semiconductor stocks have taken a beating this week. Bank of America believes the heavy selling pressure on semis sets the sector up for outperformance into the end of the year.

本周半导体股票受到重创。 美国银行认为,半导体股票的大量抛售将使该行业在年底时表现出色。

What To Know: BofA Securities senior analyst Vivek Arya reminded investors to focus on fundamentals when doubt arises in a new note released late Wednesday.

BofA证券高级分析师Vivek Arya在周三发布的一份新研究报告中提醒投资者,在有疑虑时需要关注基本面。

Chip stocks got punished on Wednesday as investors rotated out of the red-hot sector following comments from President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump.

周三,随着总统乔·拜登和前总统唐纳德·特朗普的评论,投资者从红火的板块中转移资产,芯片股票受到惩罚。

Biden recently suggested that he's considering putting tougher trade restrictions on semiconductor equipment and Trump said this week that the U.S. wouldn't defend Taiwan from Chinese invasion and indicated Taiwan should pay the U.S. for protection from China.

拜登最近暗示,他正考虑对半导体设备实施更严格的贸易限制,特朗普也表示,美国不会保卫台湾抵抗中国的入侵,并暗示台湾应该为免受中国军方的侵略而向美国付款。

The rising geopolitical uncertainty took a toll on chip stocks causing the semiconductor index to close down approximately 6.8% on Wednesday. Although BofA acknowledged that volatility could remain elevated through earnings season and the upcoming elections, the firm highlighted a reassuring stat suggesting semi stocks could bounce back fast.

不断升级的地缘政治风险对芯片股票造成了打击,导致半导体指数周三收盘下跌了约6.8%。尽管美国银行承认,波动性可能会在季度收益和即将到来的选举中保持高位,但该公司还是强调了一个令人放心的统计数据,表明半导体股票将迅速反弹。

Wednesday marked the 26th time the semiconductor sector has closed down more than 5% in a day over the last decade. Historically, the index has "rebounded quickly" and gone on to outperform the S&P 500 over the next three to six months, Arya said.

周三是过去十年中,半导体板块收盘下跌超过5%的第26次。 Arya表示,从历史上看,该指数已经"迅速反弹",并在接下来的三到六个月内表现优于S&P 500指数。

Based on historical data following a 5% or greater selloff, semiconductors are up 19% on average three months later and 28% on average six months later, well ahead of $S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$ averages, the BofA analyst said.

根据历史数据,经过5%或更大程度的抛售,半导体平均三个月后上涨19%,平均六个月后上涨28%,远超过整体市场。$标普500指数 (.SPX.US)$BofA分析师称,“根据平均水平而言,这些收益率都高于整体市场。”

To help tune out the noise surrounding geopolitical uncertainty, Arya suggested investors take another look at the fundamentals. AI is still the strongest area that companies are spending in, while global growth looks "murky at best," he said, adding he believes some of the biggest U.S. cloud companies are planning three to five years out.

为了帮助投资者摆脱围绕地缘政治风险的干扰,Arya建议他们重新审视基本面。他表示,人工智能仍然是公司投入最强的领域之一,而全球经济增长看起来“至少存在一些不确定性”,他补充说,他认为美国一些最大的云计算公司正在计划未来三到五年。

"So we understand the rotation away from AI/data-center semis towards industrial/auto/consumer, but it's not supported by fundamentals and is likely short-term positioning driven," Arya said.

"因此,我们理解从人工智能/数据中心半导体向工业/汽车/消费品市场的资产配置调整,但该趋势并未得到基本面支持,可能只是短期的主题。" Arya说。

"We see current volatility as enhanced opportunity in companies with best profitability in their respective sub-sectors."

"我们认为当前的波动性加强了对各自子板块中盈利能力最好的公司的机会。"

BofA said its best ideas in computing and AI include $NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$, $Broadcom (AVGO.US)$ and $Arm Holdings (ARM.US)$. The firm also highlighted "attractive valuations" in $ON Semiconductor (ON.US)$ and $Micron Technology (MU.US)$.

BofA认为,其计算和人工智能方面的最佳想法包括$英伟达 (NVDA.US)$, $博通 (AVGO.US)$和页面。$Arm Holdings (ARM.US)$公司在一些子领域中表现较优,价格"具吸引力"。 $安森美半导体 (ON.US)$和页面。$美光科技 (MU.US)$.

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