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Optimism Around North Chemical Industries (SZSE:002246) Delivering New Earnings Growth May Be Shrinking as Stock Declines 8.7% This Past Week

Optimism Around North Chemical Industries (SZSE:002246) Delivering New Earnings Growth May Be Shrinking as Stock Declines 8.7% This Past Week

随着股价下跌了8.7%,对于北化股份(SZSE:002246)将带来新的盈利增长的乐观情绪可能正在减弱。
Simply Wall St ·  07/18 20:12

You can invest in an index fund if you want to make sure your returns approximately match the overall market. In contrast individual stocks will provide a wide range of possible returns, and may fall short. For example, the North Chemical Industries Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002246) share price fell 19% in the last year, slightly below the market decline of around 17%. On the bright side, the stock is actually up 1.2% in the last three years. The last month has also been disappointing, with the stock slipping a further 24%.

如果您希望确保回报大致符合整体市场水平,您可以投资于指数基金。相比之下,个别股票会提供各种可能的回报范围,但有可能会表现不佳。例如,北化股份(SZSE:002246)股价在过去一年中下跌了19%,略低于市场下跌约17%的水平。但好消息是,在过去的三年中,该股票实际上上涨了1.2%。最近一个月也令人失望,股票下跌了进一步的24%。

After losing 8.7% this past week, it's worth investigating the company's fundamentals to see what we can infer from past performance.

在过去的一周中下跌了8.7%,值得调查该公司的基本面以了解过去的表现可以推断出什么。

We don't think that North Chemical Industries' modest trailing twelve month profit has the market's full attention at the moment. We think revenue is probably a better guide. Generally speaking, we'd consider a stock like this alongside loss-making companies, simply because the quantum of the profit is so low. It would be hard to believe in a more profitable future without growing revenues.

我们认为,北化股份近12个月平均利润并没有完全得到市场的关注。我们认为,营业收入可能是更好的指标。一般来说,我们会将这样的股票与亏损的公司放在一起考虑,仅因为利润数量如此之低。没有增长的营业收入,很难相信未来会有更多利润。

In just one year North Chemical Industries saw its revenue fall by 14%. That looks pretty grim, at a glance. The stock price has languished lately, falling 19% in a year. What would you expect when revenue is falling, and it doesn't make a profit? It's hard to escape the conclusion that buyers must envision either growth down the track, cost cutting, or both.

在短短一年之内,北化股份的营业收入下降了14%。乍一看,情况相当严峻。股票价格最近一直低迷,一年下跌了19%。当营业收入下降且没有盈利时,你会预期什么?很难逃脱的结论是,买家必须预见到未来的增长、成本削减或两者兼备。

You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

你可以在下面的图片中看到收入和营业收入随时间的变化情况(单击图表可查看精确值)。

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SZSE:002246 Earnings and Revenue Growth July 19th 2024
SZSE:002246 营收和盈利增长2024年7月19日

You can see how its balance sheet has strengthened (or weakened) over time in this free interactive graphic.

你可以在这个免费的互动图表中看到它的资产负债表如何随着时间的推移而加强(或削弱)。

A Different Perspective

不同的观点

We regret to report that North Chemical Industries shareholders are down 19% for the year (even including dividends). Unfortunately, that's worse than the broader market decline of 17%. Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 1.4% per year over five years. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Like risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for North Chemical Industries (of which 2 shouldn't be ignored!) you should know about.

遗憾的是,北化股份的股东在今年下跌了19%(包括分红派息)。不幸的是,这比整体市场下跌17%更糟糕。话虽如此,在下跌的市场中,一些股票不可避免地会被超卖。关键是要关注基本面的发展。遗憾的是,去年的表现为股东带来了糟糕的结果,五年来的总损失达到每年1.4%。我们意识到,罗斯柴尔德男爵曾说过,在市场血流成河时应该“买进”。但我们警告说,投资者应该先确定他们购买的是高质量的业务。我认为,长期的股票价格可以作为业绩的代理,很有趣。但是,要真正获得洞察力,我们需要考虑其他信息。例如,风险。每个公司都有风险,我们已经发现北化股份存在4个警告信号(其中2个不应该被忽视!)您应该知道。

For those who like to find winning investments this free list of undervalued companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

对于那些喜欢寻找获胜投资的人来说,最近有内部购买的低估公司免费列表可能是一个很好的选择。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对本文有任何反馈?对内容有任何疑虑?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

对本文有任何反馈?对内容有任何疑虑?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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