EXCLUSIVE: Weight-Loss Duopoly Breaks As Eli Lilly, Novo Plummet; 'Market Won't Be Dominated By Just 2 Players'
EXCLUSIVE: Weight-Loss Duopoly Breaks As Eli Lilly, Novo Plummet; 'Market Won't Be Dominated By Just 2 Players'
GLP-1 market leaders Eli Lilly and Company (NYSE:LLY) and Novo Nordisk A/S (NYSE:NVO) faced a significant selloff on Thursday, as new weight-loss drugs from rival pharmaceutical companies began threatening the dominance of their flagship products, Zepbound and Wegovy.
GLP-1市场领导者礼来公司(纽交所:LLY)和诺和诺德公司(纽交所:NVO)在周四面临重大抛售压力,因为来自竞争制药公司的新的减重药物开始威胁它们旗舰产品Zepbound和Wegovy的优势地位。
Shares of Eli Lilly plummeted by 6.3%, marking their worst daily performance since March 2021. In the last two sessions, they have dropped by over 10%, registering the worst two-day downside since March 2020. Similarly, shares of Dutch pharmaceutical giant Novo Nordisk A/S fell 4%.
伊利莎白股票大跌6.3%,创下自2021年3月以来的最差表现。在过去的两个交易日中,它们下跌超过10%,创下自2020年3月以来的最差两天下跌。同样,荷兰制药巨头诺和诺德A / S的股票下跌了4%。
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Weight-Loss Market Sees New Entrants
减肥市场迎来新的参与者
"This week is a prime (early) example of why biotech risk needs to be managed and why a Magnificent 7 approach to biotech doesn't work," Maurits Pot, founder and CEO at Tema ETFs, exclusively told Benzinga.
“这个星期是生物科技风险需要管理的一个主要例子,也是为什么一种崇高的前7种方法不起作用的一个主要例子,” Tema ETFs的创始人兼首席执行官Maurits Pot专门告诉Benzinga。
The two weight-loss giants have seen their duopoly position threatened by the entry of new players. First, Pfizer Inc. (NYSE:PFE) and then Roche Holding Ltd (OTCPK: RHHBY) announced advancements in the development of obesity-fighting drugs.
两个减肥巨头的垄断地位受到新玩家的威胁。首先,辉瑞公司(NYSE:PFE),然后是罗氏控股有限公司(OTCPK:RHHBY)宣布了抗肥胖药物研发的进展。
However, Pot shows cautiousness in these early findings. "The initial Roche data on oral small molecule GLP-1 agonist was encouraging but important to note the patient size was only 25, we expect further details in an upcoming medical meeting," Pot stated.
然而,Pot在这些初步研究结果中保持谨慎。“罗氏有关口服小分子GLP-1激动剂的初步数据令人鼓舞,但重要的是注意患者人数仅为25人,我们预计会在即将召开的医学会议上得到更多详细信息,” Pot说。
"Pfizer has had a number of prior setbacks with the early danuglipron formulation," he said. This development suggests that Pfizer will now compete closely with Chugai Pharmaceuticals, the first-mover with its oral nonpeptide GLP-1 agonist, orforglipron, which sets a high bar.
他说:“辉瑞以前已经有过几次早期danuglipron制剂的挫败。”此次发展表明辉瑞现在将与第一位推出口服非肽GLP-1激动剂orforglipron的第一推手中外制药公司展开激烈竞争,这将设定一个高门槛。
"Pfizer's focus on danuglipron is likely to temper any immediate interest in GLP-1 mergers and acquisitions," Pot added.
Pot补充道:“辉瑞将重点放在danuglipron上,可能会抑制对GLP-1的即时兴趣与收购。”
Pot also foresees further developments from other companies, including AstraZeneca plc (NASDAQ:AZN), indicating that the GLP-1 market could eventually include up to five credible players alongside Novo and Lilly.
Pot还预见到其他公司的进一步发展,包括阿斯利康股份有限公司(NASDAQ:AZN),表明GLP-1市场最终可能包括Novo和Lilly之外的最多五家可信的参与者。
Diversification Is Crucial In This Industry
在这个行业中,多样化至关重要
Since the inception of the Tema GLP-1, Obesity and Cardiometabolic ETF (NYSE:HRTS) fund, Tema has consistently believed that the fast-evolving "GLP-1 market won't be dominated by just two players."
自Tema GLP-1,肥胖和心脑血管ETF(NYSE:HRTS)基金成立以来,Tema一直认为快速发展的“GLP-1市场不会仅被两个参与者所占据。”
Pot explained that the HRTS portfolio reflects this conviction, maintaining decent exposure to both NOVO and LLY while avoiding overly concentrated positions of 30-40% in these companies.
Pot解释说,HRTS组合反映了这种信念,保持对NOVO和LLY的足够曝光,同时避免在这些公司中过度集中的头寸达到30-40%。
"The HRTS portfolio leverages Tema's deep biotech expertise to identify early emerging next-generation GLP-1 players beyond NOVO and LLY," the expert said.
专家说:“HRTS组合利用Tema的深度生物医疗专业知识来确定早期新兴的下一代GLP-1参与者,除NOVO和LLY外,这些参与者正在崛起。”
Pot highlighted that Tema has been an early investor in several next-generation GLP-1 players such as Amgen Inc. (NASDAQ:AMGN), Terns Pharmaceuticals Inc. (NASDAQ:TERN), Chugai, Zealand Pharma A/S (OTCPK: ZLDFF), and Viking Therapeutics Inc. (NASDAQ:VKTX).
Pot强调,Tema一直是几个下一代GLP-1参与者的早期投资者,例如Amgen Inc.(NASDAQ:AMGN),Terns Pharmaceuticals Inc.(NASDAQ:TERN),中外制药,Zealand Pharma A / S(OTCPK:ZLDFF)和Viking Therapeutics Inc.(NASDAQ:VKTX)。