The ST International Holdings Company Limited (HKG:8521) share price has softened a substantial 26% over the previous 30 days, handing back much of the gains the stock has made lately. Of course, over the longer-term many would still wish they owned shares as the stock's price has soared 140% in the last twelve months.
In spite of the heavy fall in price, given around half the companies in Hong Kong's Luxury industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 0.7x, you may still consider ST International Holdings as a stock to avoid entirely with its 3.5x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
How ST International Holdings Has Been Performing
ST International Holdings has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue at a solid pace. Perhaps the market is expecting this decent revenue performance to beat out the industry over the near term, which has kept the P/S propped up. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for ST International Holdings, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?
ST International Holdings' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 8.8%. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen an unpleasant 8.9% overall drop in revenue. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 12% shows it's an unpleasant look.
With this in mind, we find it worrying that ST International Holdings' P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
What We Can Learn From ST International Holdings' P/S?
Even after such a strong price drop, ST International Holdings' P/S still exceeds the industry median significantly. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
Our examination of ST International Holdings revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. Should recent medium-term revenue trends persist, it would pose a significant risk to existing shareholders' investments and prospective investors will have a hard time accepting the current value of the stock.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for ST International Holdings (of which 2 are significant!) you should know about.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on ST International Holdings, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content?Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com
过去30天,St International Holdings Company Limited (HKG:8521)股价下跌了26%,回吐了最近股价上涨的大部分涨幅。当然,在更长的期间内,许多人仍然希望拥有股票,因为该股票的价格在过去12个月中飙升了140%。
尽管股价大幅下跌,但考虑到香港近一半的奢侈品行业公司的市销率(或“P/S”)低于0.7倍,您可能仍然会完全避开St International Holdings股票,因为它的市销率为3.5倍。然而,市销率可能因某种原因相当高,需要进一步调查以判断其是否合理。
St International Holdings的业绩表现如何
St International Holdings最近的营收增长迅速,做得很好。也许市场预计这种不错的营收表现将在近期击败行业,这就使市销率保持稳定。如果没有,那么现有股东可能会对股价的可行性有些担忧。
尽管没有St International Holdings的分析师预测,但可以查看这个数据丰富的可视化,了解公司在收益、营收和现金流方面的表现。
收入增长指标对于高市销率有何预示?
St International Holdings的市销率对于一个预计会实现非常强劲增长,且比行业平均水平表现更好的公司来说是典型的。
鉴于此,我们发现St International Holdings的市销率超过其行业同行的市销率令人担忧。大部分投资者似乎忽略了最近的疲软增长率,希望该公司的业务前景能够逆转。如果市销率下跌,接近最近的负增长率,现有股东将很有可能让自己面临未来的失望。
我们从St International Holdings的市销率中可以学到什么
即使经历了如此大的价格下跌,St International Holdings的市销率仍然明显高于行业中位数。通常,我们更倾向于将市销率的使用限制在确定市场对公司整体健康状况的看法上。
我们对St International Holdings的调查显示,尽管该公司的中期营收下降已经引起了人们的担忧,但其市销率并不低,这比我们预想的要高,考虑到行业的增长预期。由于营收下降已经引起了投资者的注意,情绪恶化的可能性非常高,这可能会使市销率回归我们预期的水平。如果最近的中期营收趋势持续下去,将对现有股东的投资构成重大风险,且未来的潜在投资者将很难接受当前股票的价值。
其他风险方面我们该如何应对?每家公司都有这些问题,我们发现St International Holdings有4个警告信号(其中2个比较严重!)需要注意。
如果这些风险使您重新考虑了St International Holdings的看法,请查看我们的交互式高质量股票列表,了解其他看法。