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Heilongjiang Agriculture Company Limited (SHSE:600598) On An Uptrend: Could Fundamentals Be Driving The Stock?

Heilongjiang Agriculture Company Limited (SHSE:600598) On An Uptrend: Could Fundamentals Be Driving The Stock?

北大荒股份有限公司(SHSE:600598)正处于上涨趋势:基本面正在推动股票走高吗?
Simply Wall St ·  07/19 19:13

Heilongjiang Agriculture's (SHSE:600598) stock is up by 2.7% over the past month. As most would know, long-term fundamentals have a strong correlation with market price movements, so we decided to look at the company's key financial indicators today to determine if they have any role to play in the recent price movement. Specifically, we decided to study Heilongjiang Agriculture's ROE in this article.

北大荒(SHSE:600598)的股票在过去一个月中上涨了2.7%。众所周知,长期的基本面与市场价格波动具有很强的相关性,因此我们决定今天研究一下该公司的关键财务指标,以判断它们在最近的价格波动中是否有任何作用。特别是,我们决定在这篇文章中研究北大荒的roe。

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

ROE或股东权益报酬率是一种有用的工具,用于评估一家公司能否有效地利用来自股东的投资产生回报。换句话说,它揭示了公司将股东的投资变成利润的成功程度。

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

怎样计算ROE?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

股东权益报酬率可以使用以下公式计算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

净资产收益率 = 净利润(从持续经营中获得)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Heilongjiang Agriculture is:

因此,基于上述公式,北大荒的roe为:

14% = CN¥1.1b ÷ CN¥7.8b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

14% = CN¥11亿 ÷ CN¥78亿(截至2024年3月)。

The 'return' is the yearly profit. So, this means that for every CN¥1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of CN¥0.14.

“回报”是年利润。这意味着对于每1元股东的投资,该公司会产生0.14元的利润。

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

既然我们已经确定ROE是一种有效的利润生成标准,用于评估公司未来的盈利能力,我们现在需要评估公司“保留”为未来增长而重新投资的利润多少,这使我们对公司的增长潜力有了一个了解。一般而言,在其他条件相等的情况下,ROE和利润留存高的公司,增长率比没有这些属性的公司要高。

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

因此,我们已经了解到roe是衡量公司利润率的有效方法。根据公司重新投资或“保留”这些收益的程度以及其有效程度,我们就能评估公司的盈利增长潜力。假设其他条件相同,权益回报率和利润保留越高的公司通常比没有相同特点的公司具有更快的增长率。

Heilongjiang Agriculture's Earnings Growth And 14% ROE

北大荒的盈利增长和14%的roe

To begin with, Heilongjiang Agriculture seems to have a respectable ROE. Further, the company's ROE compares quite favorably to the industry average of 8.1%. Yet, Heilongjiang Agriculture has posted measly growth of 2.8% over the past five years. This is generally not the case as when a company has a high rate of return it should usually also have a high earnings growth rate. A few likely reasons why this could happen is that the company could have a high payout ratio or the business has allocated capital poorly, for instance.

首先,北大荒似乎拥有可观的roe。此外,公司的roe与行业平均水平8.1%相比较,具有相当大的优势。但北大荒在过去五年里只增长了2.8%。一般而言,当一家公司具有高回报率时,通常也应具有高盈利增长率。该公司可能出现这种情况的几个原因是,公司可能具有很高的派息比率或业务配置资金不善,等等。

Next, on comparing Heilongjiang Agriculture's net income growth with the industry, we found that the company's reported growth is similar to the industry average growth rate of 2.9% over the last few years.

接下来,将北大荒的净利润增长与行业进行比较,发现该公司报告的增长率与过去几年行业平均增长率2.9%相似。

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SHSE:600598 Past Earnings Growth July 19th 2024
SHSE:600598过去的盈利增长

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Heilongjiang Agriculture is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

附加价值的基础在很大程度上取决于公司的盈利增长。投资者需要判断的下一步是,预期的盈利增长是否已经反映在股价中。这样,他们将了解股票是否正在走向明朗的未来,还是潜藏着不确定的风险。预期盈利增长的一个很好的指标是市盈率,它基于公司的盈利前景确定市场愿意为股票支付的价格。因此,您可能需要查看北大荒的市盈率是高于行业平均水平,还是低于行业平均水平。

Is Heilongjiang Agriculture Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

北大荒是否高效地再投资其利润?

With a high three-year median payout ratio of 74% (or a retention ratio of 26%), most of Heilongjiang Agriculture's profits are being paid to shareholders. This definitely contributes to the low earnings growth seen by the company.

在高达74%(或留存比率为26%)的三年中位数派息比率下,北大荒的大部分利润都用于向股东支付。这肯定导致了该公司看到的较低的盈利增长。

Moreover, Heilongjiang Agriculture has been paying dividends for nine years, which is a considerable amount of time, suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer dividends over earnings growth.

此外,北大荒已经连续九年派息,这是相当长的时间,表明管理层认为股东更喜欢分红而不是盈利增长。

Summary

总的来说,我们对伟明环保的表现非常满意。具体而言,我们喜欢公司以高回报率再投资了其利润的很大一部分。当然,这导致公司的收益大幅增长。但是,最新的行业分析师预测表明,该公司的收益预计将加速增长。

On the whole, we do feel that Heilongjiang Agriculture has some positive attributes. The company has grown its earnings moderately as previously discussed. Still, the high ROE could have been even more beneficial to investors had the company been reinvesting more of its profits. As highlighted earlier, the current reinvestment rate appears to be quite low. With that said, the latest industry analyst forecasts reveal that the company's earnings are expected to accelerate. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

总的来说,我们确实认为北大荒有一些积极的属性。公司以前已经适度增长。但是,如果公司再投资更多的利润,高roe可能对投资者更有利。正如前面所提到的,目前的再投资率似乎相当低。尽管如此,最新的行业分析师预测显示,该公司的盈利预计将加速。要了解有关该公司未来盈利增长预测的更多信息,请查看此免费分析师报告。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对本文有反馈?对内容感到担忧?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

对本文有反馈?对内容感到担忧?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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