When you see that almost half of the companies in the Medical Equipment industry in the United States have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 3.1x, TransMedics Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:TMDX) looks to be giving off strong sell signals with its 16.3x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.
NasdaqGM:TMDX Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry July 21st 2024
What Does TransMedics Group's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
TransMedics Group certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. The P/S is probably high because investors think this strong revenue performance will continue. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on TransMedics Group.
What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as TransMedics Group's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 149% gain to the company's top line. The latest three year period has also seen an incredible overall rise in revenue, aided by its incredible short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have been over the moon with those medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the nine analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 33% each year over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 10% per annum growth forecast for the broader industry.
In light of this, it's understandable that TransMedics Group's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
What Does TransMedics Group's P/S Mean For Investors?
It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We've established that TransMedics Group maintains its high P/S on the strength of its forecasted revenue growth being higher than the the rest of the Medical Equipment industry, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in revenues is quite remote, justifying the elevated P/S ratio. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with TransMedics Group, and understanding should be part of your investment process.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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