When you see that almost half of the companies in the Metals and Mining industry in the United States have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.2x, Newmont Corporation (NYSE:NEM) looks to be giving off strong sell signals with its 4.1x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
How Has Newmont Performed Recently?
With revenue growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Newmont has been doing relatively well. It seems the market expects this form will continue into the future, hence the elevated P/S ratio. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Newmont.
How Is Newmont's Revenue Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Newmont would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 14%. The solid recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 12% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been respectable for the company.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 17% per year during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 39% growth each year, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.
With this information, we find it concerning that Newmont is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
What We Can Learn From Newmont's P/S?
Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
It comes as a surprise to see Newmont trade at such a high P/S given the revenue forecasts look less than stellar. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
Plus, you should also learn about these 2 warning signs we've spotted with Newmont (including 1 which is significant).
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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