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Is Comerica Headed For A Net Interest Income Inflection? 'We Remain Optimistic,' Analysts Say

Is Comerica Headed For A Net Interest Income Inflection? 'We Remain Optimistic,' Analysts Say

联信银行是否会迎来净利息收入拐点?分析师表示“我们仍然保持乐观态度”。
Benzinga ·  07/22 11:25

Shares of Comerica Inc (NYSE:CMA) were tanking in early trading on Monday, after the company reported its second-quarter results.

通用银行股Comerica Inc (NYSE:CMA)的股票在周一早盘交易中暴跌,此前公司公布了其第二季度业绩。

The results came amid an exciting earnings season. Here are some key analyst takeaways.

这些结果出现在一个激动人心的盈利季节。以下是一些重要的分析师观点。

  • Truist Securities analyst Brandon King downgraded the rating from Buy to Hold, while reducing the price target from $55 to $53.
  • RBC Capital Markets analyst Jon Arfstrom reiterated an Outperform rating, while cutting the price target from $58 to $56.
  • Piper Sandler analyst Scott Siefers maintained a Neutral Overweight rating, while lifting the price target from $51 to $52.
  • Truist Securities的分析师Brandon King将评级由买入降至持有,并将价格目标下调至53美元,此前为55美元。
  • RBC Capital Markets的分析师Jon Arfstrom重申股票超越评级,但将价格目标由58美元下调至56美元。
  • Piper Sandler的分析师Scott Siefers将评级保持中立超配,同时将价格目标从51美元提高至52美元。

Check out other analyst stock ratings.

查看其他分析师的股票评级。

Truist Securities: "We believe the NII/NIM (net interest income / net income margin) trajectory is now less appealing given continued NIB (non-interest bearing) deposit outflows," King said in the downgrade note. The mix will likely decline to 35% by yearend 2025, versus the previous estimate of 37%.

Truist Securities: "我们认为NII / NIm(净利息收入/净利润比率)轨迹现在不太吸引人,因为NIb(非利息收入)存款持续流出",King在评级降级说明中说道。机构的预计将于2025年年底前下降至35%,而先前的估计为37%。

"Moreover, the loss of $3.3bn in Direct Express NIB deposits over the next few years will likely limit CMA's ability to lower deposit costs in a Fed easing cycle as CMA intends to replace those deposits with core customers," the analyst wrote. He added that the loan growth expectations for the second half 2024 and 2025 had also been lowered.

"此外,直接快递NIb存款损失33亿美元在未来几年内可能会限制CMA在联邦放松周期中降低存款成本的能力,因为CMA打算用核心客户替换这些存款,"分析师写道。他补充说,对于2024年下半年和2025年的贷款增长预期也已降低。

RBC Capital Markets: Comerica reported earnings of $1.49 per share. Core earnings came in at $1.53 per share and beating consensus of $1.18 per share, Arfstrom said. "Core results had noninterest income and expense trends coming in better than consensus," he added.

RBC Capital Markets: Comerica报告每股收益为1.49美元。Arfstrom表示,核心盈利为每股1.53美元,超出共识的每股1.18美元。"核心结果表现出非利息收入和费用趋势比共识好",他补充道。

Comerica continues to face environmental pressures, although net interest income trends were broadly in-line with expectations, the analyst stated. "Overall, we see the core outlook as consistent, and we remain optimistic that noninterest bearing deposit stability is achievable in the near term (a rate cut would help) and can drive core net interest income inflection," he further wrote.

该分析师表示,尽管Comerica继续面临环境压力,但净利息收入的趋势总体符合预期。"总体而言,我们认为核心前景是一致的,并且我们保持乐观,认为近期可以实现非利息存款稳定(利率下调有助于)并推动核心净利息收入拐点",他进一步写道。

Piper Sandler: Comerica's performance in the second quarter was much better than anticipated. But, the third-quarter and full-year guidance "tells a different story," Siefers said. The company's NII, fees, and expenses are likely to be under pressure in the third quarter, he added.

Piper Sandler: Comerica第二季度的表现比预期的要好得多。但是,Siefers表示,第三季度和全年的指引"讲述不同的故事"。他补充说,公司的NII、费用和支出在第三季度可能面临压力。

While the revised guidance "puts quite a bit of downward pressure" on estimates, "we will likely need a strong ramp up in end-of-year loan growth to hit them," the analyst wrote. He lowered the earnings estimates for 2024 and 2025 from $4.82 to $4.59 and from $5.96 to $5.22, respectively.

"尽管修改后的指引对估值施加了相当大的下行压力,"分析师写道。"我们可能需要一个有力的年末贷款增长加速才能实现它们,"他将2024年和2025年的盈利预估分别从4.82美元和5.96美元下调至4.59美元和5.22美元。

CMA Price Action: Shares of Comerica had declined by 0.93% to $49.95 at the time of publication on Monday.

CMA价格走势:在周一发表时,Comerica的股票已下跌0.93%至49.95美元。

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