These 4 Measures Indicate That Huaxin Cement (SHSE:600801) Is Using Debt Extensively
These 4 Measures Indicate That Huaxin Cement (SHSE:600801) Is Using Debt Extensively
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Huaxin Cement Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600801) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
沃伦·巴菲特曾经说过:“波动性绝非风险的同义词。”因此,看起来明智的投资者知道,通常与破产有关的债务是评估公司风险的一个非常重要因素。我们可以看到,华新水泥股份有限公司(SHSE:600801)确实在其业务中使用债务。但这种债务是否让股东担忧呢?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
为什么债务会带来风险?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
债务是帮助企业成长的工具,但如果企业无法偿还债权人,那么它就会处于债权人的控制下。如果公司无法满足偿还债务的法律义务,股东可能会一无所有。然而,更频繁的(但仍然代价高昂)情况是,公司必须以低于市场价的价格发行股票,永久性地稀释股东的权益,以维持其资产负债表。尽管如此,最常见的情况是公司合理地管理其债务 - 并以自己的利益为基础。当我们考虑公司的债务使用时,首先将现金和债务放在一起。
What Is Huaxin Cement's Net Debt?
华新水泥的净债务是多少?
The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Huaxin Cement had CN¥14.0b in debt in March 2024; about the same as the year before. On the flip side, it has CN¥6.33b in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥7.62b.
下图(点击以获取更详细的信息)显示,华新水泥在2024年3月有140亿元人民币的债务;与前一年相同。另一方面,它有63.3亿元人民币的现金,净债务约为76.2亿元人民币。
A Look At Huaxin Cement's Liabilities
看一下华新水泥的负债
The latest balance sheet data shows that Huaxin Cement had liabilities of CN¥18.4b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥17.5b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥6.33b and CN¥4.23b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total CN¥25.3b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
最新的资产负债表数据显示,华新水泥的一年内应偿付的债务为184亿元人民币,之后到期偿付的债务为175亿元人民币。另一方面,它有63.3亿元人民币的现金和42.3亿元人民币的短期应收账款。因此,其负债总额超过了其现金和短期应收账款的组合253亿元人民币。考虑到这个缺口超出了公司的244亿元人民币的市值,你可能会倾向于仔细审查资产负债表。假设情况,如果公司被迫以当前股价筹集资本偿还其债务,则需要极度稀释股权。
When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's CN¥24.4b market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price.
华新水泥的净债务只有0.93倍的EBITDA,表明它绝不是不负责任的借款人。此外,坚实的利息覆盖率支持这种观点,上一年的EBIt利息支出比为7.8倍。同样好的是,华新水泥去年的EBIt增长了17%,进一步增强了其管理债务的能力。分析债务水平时,资产负债表是明显的起点。但最重要的是未来的收益而不是其他。这决定了华新水泥维持健康资产负债表的能力。因此,如果您关注未来,可以查看此免费报告,其中显示了分析师的利润预测。
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
Service Corporation International的债务是其EBITDA的3.5倍,而其EBIT可覆盖其利息开支的3.7倍。综合考虑,虽然我们不希望看到债务水平上升,但我们认为它可以应对当前的杠杆。好消息是,Service Corporation International在过去12个月中将其EBIT提高了2.9%,从而逐渐降低了其相对于收益的债务水平。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中获得了有关债务的大部分内容。但是,相对于资产负债表,更重要的是未来收益,这将决定Service Corporation International维持健康资产负债表的能力。如果您关注未来,您可以查看此免费报告,其中有分析师的利润预测。
Huaxin Cement has net debt of just 0.93 times EBITDA, indicating that it is certainly not a reckless borrower. And this view is supported by the solid interest coverage, with EBIT coming in at 7.8 times the interest expense over the last year. Also good is that Huaxin Cement grew its EBIT at 17% over the last year, further increasing its ability to manage debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Huaxin Cement's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
最后,尽管税务部门可能喜欢会计利润,但贷款人只接受冷硬现金。因此,我们始终检查多少EBIt转化为自由现金流。在过去三年中,华新水泥的自由现金流总计为负。债务通常更昂贵,并且在负自由现金流的公司手中几乎始终更加冒险。股东应该希望有所改善。
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, Huaxin Cement recorded negative free cash flow, in total. Debt is usually more expensive, and almost always more risky in the hands of a company with negative free cash flow. Shareholders ought to hope for an improvement.
华新水泥的EBIt转化为自由现金流的比率和其总负债的水平都令人沮丧。至少它的EBIt增长率让我们有理由保持乐观。综合以上因素,我们确实认为华新水泥的债务对业务构成了一定风险。因此,尽管杠杆可以提高股东的回报率,但我们真的不希望看到它从这里增加。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到了大部分的债务情况。但是,并非所有的投资风险都归于资产负债表 - 离它还有很远的路要走。例如,我们已经识别出华新水泥的1个警示信号,您需要注意。
Our View
我们的观点
Both Huaxin Cement's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and its level of total liabilities were discouraging. At least its EBIT growth rate gives us reason to be optimistic. Taking the abovementioned factors together we do think Huaxin Cement's debt poses some risks to the business. So while that leverage does boost returns on equity, we wouldn't really want to see it increase from here. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Huaxin Cement that you should be aware of.
华新水泥的EBIt转化为自由现金流的比率和其总负债水平都令人沮丧。至少它的EBIt增长率让我们有理由保持乐观。综合考虑这些因素,我们认为华新水泥的债务对业务构成了一定的风险。因此,虽然这种杠杆可以提高股东的回报率,但我们真的不希望它从这里增加。我们学到了大部分的债务情况都是从资产负债表中,但并不是所有的投资风险都由资产负债表决定。例如,我们已经识别出华新水泥的1个警示信号,这是您需要注意的。
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
如果您在所有这些工作之后,更感兴趣于拥有坚实资产负债表的快速发展公司,请立即查看我们的净现金成长股列表。
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