There wouldn't be many who think Sinotruk (Hong Kong) Limited's (HKG:3808) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 8.5x is worth a mention when the median P/E in Hong Kong is similar at about 9x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/E ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
Sinotruk (Hong Kong) certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings more than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to wane, which has kept the P/E from rising. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
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How Is Sinotruk (Hong Kong)'s Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/E like Sinotruk (Hong Kong)'s is when the company's growth is tracking the market closely.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 218% gain to the company's bottom line. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen a very unpleasant 22% drop in EPS in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the eleven analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 15% per year over the next three years. That's shaping up to be similar to the 15% each year growth forecast for the broader market.
With this information, we can see why Sinotruk (Hong Kong) is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. Apparently shareholders are comfortable to simply hold on while the company is keeping a low profile.
The Final Word
Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that Sinotruk (Hong Kong) maintains its moderate P/E off the back of its forecast growth being in line with the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement or deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a high or low P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future under these circumstances.
You always need to take note of risks, for example - Sinotruk (Hong Kong) has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.
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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com