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Is Guangdong Zhongsheng Pharmaceutical (SZSE:002317) A Risky Investment?

Is Guangdong Zhongsheng Pharmaceutical (SZSE:002317) A Risky Investment?

众生药业(SZSE:002317)是否是一项风险投资?
Simply Wall St ·  18:47

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Guangdong Zhongsheng Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002317) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

沃伦•巴菲特曾经说过,波动性远非风险的近义词。因此,显然明智的投资者知道,在评估公司风险时,通常涉及破产的债务是一个非常重要的因素。我们可以看到,广东众生药业股份有限公司(深圳证券交易所:002317)的业务中确实使用了债务。但是,股东们应该担心它使用债务的情况吗?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

债务带来了什么风险?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

当企业无法轻易地通过自由现金流或以有吸引力的价格筹集资本来履行这些义务时,债务和其他负债变得风险较高。如果公司不能履行其偿还债务的法定义务,则股东可能会什么都得不到。然而,更普遍(但仍很痛苦)的情况是,公司必须以低价募集新股权资本,从而永久稀释股东的权益。话虽如此,最普遍的情况是公司合理地管理其债务,并获得自己的优势。当考虑企业使用多少债务时,首要的是同时查看其现金和债务。

How Much Debt Does Guangdong Zhongsheng Pharmaceutical Carry?

广东众生药业负债多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Guangdong Zhongsheng Pharmaceutical had debt of CN¥429.4m at the end of March 2024, a reduction from CN¥594.3m over a year. But on the other hand it also has CN¥1.64b in cash, leading to a CN¥1.21b net cash position.

下图显示,截至2024年3月底,广东众生药业的债务为4.294亿元人民币,较去年降低5,943万元人民币。但另一方面,它还拥有16.4亿元现金,形成了12.1亿元净现金收支。

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SZSE:002317 Debt to Equity History July 22nd 2024
深圳证券交易所:002317历史上的债务资本比

How Healthy Is Guangdong Zhongsheng Pharmaceutical's Balance Sheet?

广东众生药业的资产负债表状况如何?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Guangdong Zhongsheng Pharmaceutical had liabilities of CN¥826.0m due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥821.2m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥1.64b and CN¥1.23b worth of receivables due within a year. So it actually has CN¥1.22b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

最新的资产负债表数据显示,广东众生药业有8260万元债务到期于一年内,其余8212万元债务到期于一年后。另一方面,有16.4亿元现金和12.3亿元应收账款到期于一年内。因此,它实际上拥有比总负债多1.22亿元的流动性资产。

This short term liquidity is a sign that Guangdong Zhongsheng Pharmaceutical could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched. Simply put, the fact that Guangdong Zhongsheng Pharmaceutical has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

这种短期流动性是广东众生药业可能可以轻松偿还债务的迹象,因为其资产负债表远未过度负担。简而言之,广东众生药业拥有的现金比债务更多,可以认为这是其安全管理债务的一个好迹象。

In fact Guangdong Zhongsheng Pharmaceutical's saving grace is its low debt levels, because its EBIT has tanked 24% in the last twelve months. When a company sees its earnings tank, it can sometimes find its relationships with its lenders turn sour. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Guangdong Zhongsheng Pharmaceutical can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

事实上,广东众生药业的救星是其低债务水平,因为其净息税前利润在最近12个月中下跌了24%。当公司见证其收益下跌时,有时会发现与其贷方的关系变得糟糕。当您分析债务时,资产负债表显然是一个需要关注的领域。但最终,企业的未来盈利能力将决定广东众生药业能否随着时间的推移加强其资产负债表。因此,如果您想了解专业人士的看法,可以查看分析师盈利预测免费报告,这可能会引起您的兴趣。

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. While Guangdong Zhongsheng Pharmaceutical has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Considering the last three years, Guangdong Zhongsheng Pharmaceutical actually recorded a cash outflow, overall. Debt is usually more expensive, and almost always more risky in the hands of a company with negative free cash flow. Shareholders ought to hope for an improvement.

最后,业务需要自由现金流来偿还债务;会计利润不起作用。尽管广东众生药业的资产负债表上有净现金,但仍值得研究其将息税前利润(EBIT)转换为自由现金流的能力,以帮助我们理解它正在多快地积累(或流失)现金。如果考虑过去三年的情况,广东众生药业实际上出现了现金流流出的情况。对于一个具有负自由现金流的公司来说,债务通常更加昂贵,风险也更高。股东们应该希望出现改善的情况。

Summing Up

总之

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Guangdong Zhongsheng Pharmaceutical has net cash of CN¥1.21b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. So we don't have any problem with Guangdong Zhongsheng Pharmaceutical's use of debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Guangdong Zhongsheng Pharmaceutical (including 1 which can't be ignored) .

虽然我们理解投资者可能会对债务感到担忧,但您应该记住,广东众生药业净现金1.21亿元,并且具有比负债更多的流动性资产。因此,我们对广东众生药业使用债务没有任何问题。当您分析债务时,资产负债表显然是一个需要关注的领域。但最终,每家公司都可能面临与资产负债表之外的风险。因此,您应该了解我们发现的3个警告信号(包括一个不能忽视的信号)。

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

总的来说,专注于没有净债务的公司往往更好。您可以访问我们的特别列表,其中包含这些公司(所有这些公司都有盈利增长的记录)。这是免费的。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

对本文有反馈?对内容感到担忧?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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