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Montage Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:688008) Stock Is Soaring But Financials Seem Inconsistent: Will The Uptrend Continue?

Montage Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:688008) Stock Is Soaring But Financials Seem Inconsistent: Will The Uptrend Continue?

澜起科技股份有限公司(SHSE:688008)的股票飙升,但财务数据似乎不太一致:上涨趋势会继续吗?
Simply Wall St ·  07/22 21:19

Most readers would already be aware that Montage Technology's (SHSE:688008) stock increased significantly by 38% over the past three months. However, we decided to pay attention to the company's fundamentals which don't appear to give a clear sign about the company's financial health. Specifically, we decided to study Montage Technology's ROE in this article.

许多读者已经知道澜起科技(SHSE:688008)的股票在过去三个月内大幅上涨了38%。 但是,我们决定关注该公司的基本面,这些基本面似乎没有清晰的迹象表明该公司的财务状况。 具体而言,我们决定在本文中研究澜起科技的ROE。

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

roe指股东权益回报率,是一种有用的工具,用于评估公司如何有效地从股东获得的投资中产生回报。简单来说,这衡量了一家公司相对于股东权益的盈利能力。

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

怎样计算ROE?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

股东权益报酬率可以使用以下公式计算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

净资产收益率 = 净利润(从持续经营中获得)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Montage Technology is:

所以,根据上述公式,澜起科技的ROE为:

6.4% = CN¥655m ÷ CN¥10b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

6.4%=CN¥65500万元÷CN¥100亿(基于截至2024年3月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. So, this means that for every CN¥1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of CN¥0.06.

“回报”是指过去十二个月的利润。这意味着对于每1元投资,公司可以产生CN¥0.06的利润。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

ROE与盈利增长有什么关系?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

到目前为止,我们已经了解到ROE衡量公司如何高效地生成利润。现在我们需要评估公司以后的增长潜力,即公司重新投资或“保留”的利润。其他条件相同的情况下,同时具有较高的股权回报率和较高的利润保留的公司通常是相对于不具备相同特点的公司而言增长率更高的公司。

Montage Technology's Earnings Growth And 6.4% ROE

澜起科技的盈利增长和6.4%的ROE

On the face of it, Montage Technology's ROE is not much to talk about. However, given that the company's ROE is similar to the average industry ROE of 5.8%, we may spare it some thought. But Montage Technology saw a five year net income decline of 4.1% over the past five years. Bear in mind, the company does have a slightly low ROE. So that's what might be causing earnings growth to shrink.

从表面上看,澜起科技的ROE并不值得一提。 但是,考虑到该公司的ROE与平均行业ROE相似为5.8%,因此我们可以考虑一下。 但是,在过去的五年中,澜起科技的净利润下降了4.1%。 请记住,该公司ROE稍低。 这可能导致盈利增长收缩。

However, when we compared Montage Technology's growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 20% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.

但是,当我们将澜起科技的增长与行业进行比较时,我们发现,虽然该公司的收益正在缩水,但在同一时期内,该行业的收益增长了20%。 这非常令人担忧。

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SHSE:688008 Past Earnings Growth July 23rd 2024
SHSE:688008过去的盈利增长2024年7月23日

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. If you're wondering about Montage Technology's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

盈利增长是估值股票时要考虑的重要指标。 投资者应该尝试确定盈利的预期增长或下降,无论哪种情况,都要定价。 通过这样做,他们将了解股票是否进入清晰的蓝色水域,还是等待沼泽般的水域。 如果您想了解澜起科技的估值,请查看与行业相比的市盈率,以及这个量规。

Is Montage Technology Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

澜起科技是否有效地利用其留存收益?

In spite of a normal three-year median payout ratio of 41% (that is, a retention ratio of 59%), the fact that Montage Technology's earnings have shrunk is quite puzzling. So there might be other factors at play here which could potentially be hampering growth. For example, the business has faced some headwinds.

尽管三年的中位数支付比率为41%(即保留比率为59%),但澜起科技的盈利萎缩仍然相当令人困惑。 因此,可能存在其他因素正在发挥作用,这可能会阻碍增长。 例如,企业面临一些阻力。

In addition, Montage Technology has been paying dividends over a period of four years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is preferred by the management even though earnings have been in decline. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company is expected to keep paying out approximately 38% of its profits over the next three years. However, Montage Technology's ROE is predicted to rise to 17% despite there being no anticipated change in its payout ratio.

此外,澜起科技已经连续四年支付股息,表明尽管盈利已经下降,管理层仍然喜欢保持分红。 在研究最新的分析师共识数据时,我们发现该公司预计在未来三年内将继续支付大约38%的利润。 但是,尽管没有预期的变化之类的变化,预计澜起科技的ROE将上升至17%。

Conclusion

结论

In total, we're a bit ambivalent about Montage Technology's performance. Even though it appears to be retaining most of its profits, given the low ROE, investors may not be benefitting from all that reinvestment after all. The low earnings growth suggests our theory correct. With that said, we studied the latest analyst forecasts and found that while the company has shrunk its earnings in the past, analysts expect its earnings to grow in the future. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

总之,我们对澜起科技的表现有些矛盾。 尽管它似乎保留了大部分利润,但由于ROE低,投资者可能并未真正从所有的再投资中受益。 低盈利增长表明我们的理论是正确的。 话虽如此,我们研究了最新的分析师预测,并发现虽然公司过去收益下降,但分析师预计未来收益将增长。 要了解有关该公司未来收益增长预测的更多信息,请查看有关该公司的分析师预测的免费报告。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对本文有反馈?对内容感到担忧?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

对本文有反馈?对内容感到担忧?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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