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Investing in Comfort Systems USA (NYSE:FIX) Five Years Ago Would Have Delivered You a 712% Gain

Investing in Comfort Systems USA (NYSE:FIX) Five Years Ago Would Have Delivered You a 712% Gain

如果在五年前投资于美国舒适系统(纽交所: FIX),你将获得712%的收益。
Simply Wall St ·  07/23 06:16

We think all investors should try to buy and hold high quality multi-year winners. And highest quality companies can see their share prices grow by huge amounts. For example, the Comfort Systems USA, Inc. (NYSE:FIX) share price is up a whopping 685% in the last half decade, a handsome return for long term holders. If that doesn't get you thinking about long term investing, we don't know what will. In the last week shares have slid back 1.5%. It really delights us to see such great share price performance for investors.

我们认为所有的投资者都应该试图购买和持有高质量的多年赢家,而最高质量的公司的股价可以增长巨大。例如,美国舒适系统公司(纽交所:FIX)的股价在过去五年中大幅上涨了685%,对于长期持有者来说是一个可观的回报。如果这不能让你思考长期投资,那我们不知道还有什么能让你思考。在过去一周里,股价下跌了1.5%。看到投资者获得如此出色的股价表现确实让我们感到高兴。

So let's assess the underlying fundamentals over the last 5 years and see if they've moved in lock-step with shareholder returns.

因此,让我们评估过去5年的基本面,看看它们是否和股东的回报率相符。

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

沃伦·巴菲特在他的论文《格雷厄姆-道德斯维尔的超级投资者》中描述了股票价格并不总是合理地反映企业的价值。通过比较每股收益(EPS)和股价随时间变化的变化,我们可以了解到投资者对某家公司的态度如何随时间而变化。

Over half a decade, Comfort Systems USA managed to grow its earnings per share at 27% a year. This EPS growth is lower than the 51% average annual increase in the share price. So it's fair to assume the market has a higher opinion of the business than it did five years ago. That's not necessarily surprising considering the five-year track record of earnings growth.

在过去的五年中,美国舒适系统成功地将每股收益增长了27%。这种每股收益的增长低于股价平均年增长率的51%。因此可以合理地假定,市场对该业务的看法比五年前更高。考虑到五年来的收益增长记录,这并不一定令人惊讶。

You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

您可以在下面的图片中查看每股收益如何随时间变化(单击图表以查看确切的价值)。

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NYSE:FIX Earnings Per Share Growth July 23rd 2024
纽交所:FIX于2024年7月23日的每股收益增长

We like that insiders have been buying shares in the last twelve months. Even so, future earnings will be far more important to whether current shareholders make money. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on Comfort Systems USA's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

我们喜欢看到内部人在过去十二个月中购买股票。即便如此,未来的收益对于当前股东是否赚钱的影响将会更加重要。有必要仔细查看我们关于美国舒适系统的收益、营业收入和现金流的免费报告。

What About Dividends?

那么分红怎么样呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. We note that for Comfort Systems USA the TSR over the last 5 years was 712%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

考虑到总股东回报和股价回报对于任何一只给定的股票都非常重要。而股价回报仅反映了股价的变化,总股东回报则包括股息的价值(假设它们被再投资)以及任何折现的资本募集或分拆的益处。因此,对于支付丰厚股息的公司,总股东回报往往比股价回报高得多。我们注意到,对于美国舒适系统,过去5年的总股东回报率为712%,比上面提到的股价回报率要好。这主要是由于其分红派息所致!

A Different Perspective

不同的观点

It's good to see that Comfort Systems USA has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 91% in the last twelve months. Of course, that includes the dividend. That gain is better than the annual TSR over five years, which is 52%. Therefore it seems like sentiment around the company has been positive lately. Given the share price momentum remains strong, it might be worth taking a closer look at the stock, lest you miss an opportunity. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Take risks, for example - Comfort Systems USA has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

很高兴看到,美国舒适系统在过去12个月内已经以总股东回报率91%回报股东,当然,其中也包括了股息。这种收益超过了五年间年平均总股东回报率(52%)。因此,近期的情绪似乎对该公司持积极态度。鉴于股价势头依然强劲,可能值得更仔细地观察该股,以免错过机会。我觉得长期股价作为企业绩效的代理是非常有趣的。但为了真正获得认识,我们需要考虑其他信息。例如,承担风险——美国舒适系统有一个警示信号,我们认为你应该了解。

Comfort Systems USA is not the only stock that insiders are buying. For those who like to find lesser know companies this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

美国舒适系统并不是唯一一家内部人正在购买的股票。对于那些喜欢发现不那么知名的公司的投资者来说,这个带着内部购买的快速增长公司免费名单恰恰是个不错的好机会。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

请注意,本文所引述的市场回报反映了目前在美国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对本文有反馈?对内容感到担忧?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

对本文有反馈?对内容感到担忧?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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