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Is Skechers U.S.A (NYSE:SKX) A Risky Investment?

Is Skechers U.S.A (NYSE:SKX) A Risky Investment?

Skechers U.S.A (纽交所:SKX) 是否是一个有风险的投资?
Simply Wall St ·  07/23 08:44

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Skechers U.S.A., Inc. (NYSE:SKX) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

沃伦·巴菲特曾说过一句名言:“波动性远非风险的代名词。”当我们思考一家公司的风险有多大时,我们总是喜欢考虑其债务的用途,因为债务过载可能导致破产。与许多其他公司一样,斯凯奇美国公司(纽约证券交易所代码:SKX)也使用债务。但是,股东是否应该担心其债务的使用?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

为什么债务会带来风险?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

一般而言,只有当公司无法通过筹集资金或用自己的现金流轻松还清债务时,债务才会成为真正的问题。最终,如果公司无法履行偿还债务的法律义务,股东们可能会一无所获。但是,更常见(但仍然令人痛苦)的情况是,它必须以低廉的价格筹集新的股本,从而永久稀释股东。话虽如此,最常见的情况是公司合理地管理债务,而且对自己有利。在考虑企业使用多少债务时,要做的第一件事是同时考虑其现金和债务。

What Is Skechers U.S.A's Debt?

斯凯奇美国的债务是多少?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Skechers U.S.A had US$346.3m of debt in March 2024, down from US$361.2m, one year before. But it also has US$1.11b in cash to offset that, meaning it has US$762.7m net cash.

你可以点击下图查看历史数字,但它显示斯凯奇美国公司在2024年3月的债务为3.463亿美元,低于一年前的3.612亿美元。但它也有11.1亿美元的现金可以抵消这一点,这意味着它拥有7.627亿美元的净现金。

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NYSE:SKX Debt to Equity History July 23rd 2024
纽约证券交易所:SKX 债券与股本比率的历史记录 2024 年 7 月 23 日

How Strong Is Skechers U.S.A's Balance Sheet?

斯凯奇美国的资产负债表有多强?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Skechers U.S.A had liabilities of US$1.64b falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$1.37b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$1.11b and US$1.24b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total US$669.7m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

我们可以从最新的资产负债表中看出,美国斯凯奇的负债为16.4亿美元,一年后到期的负债为13.7亿美元。另一方面,它有11.1亿美元的现金和价值12.4亿美元的应收账款将在一年内到期。因此,其负债总额比其现金和短期应收账款的总和高出6.697亿美元。

Since publicly traded Skechers U.S.A shares are worth a total of US$9.67b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Skechers U.S.A also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

由于斯凯奇在美国公开交易的股票总价值为96.7亿美元,因此这种负债水平似乎不太可能构成重大威胁。但是,有足够的负债,我们肯定会建议股东今后继续监督资产负债表。尽管斯凯奇确实有值得注意的负债,但美国斯凯奇的现金也多于债务,因此我们非常有信心它可以安全地管理债务。

On top of that, Skechers U.S.A grew its EBIT by 45% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Skechers U.S.A can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

最重要的是,美国斯凯奇在过去十二个月中将其息税前利润增长了45%,这种增长将使其更容易处理债务。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但最终,该业务未来的盈利能力将决定Skechers U.S.A能否随着时间的推移加强其资产负债表。因此,如果你想看看专业人士的想法,你可能会发现这份关于分析师利润预测的免费报告很有趣。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While Skechers U.S.A has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Looking at the most recent three years, Skechers U.S.A recorded free cash flow of 33% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

但是我们最终的考虑因素也很重要,因为公司无法用纸面利润来偿还债务;它需要冷硬现金。尽管斯凯奇美国公司的资产负债表上有净现金,但仍值得一看其将利息税前收益(EBIT)转换为自由现金流的能力,以帮助我们了解其建立(或侵蚀)现金余额的速度有多快。纵观最近三年,美国斯凯奇录得的自由现金流占其息税前利润的33%,低于我们的预期。这种疲软的现金转换使得处理债务变得更加困难。

Summing Up

总结

While it is always sensible to look at a company's total liabilities, it is very reassuring that Skechers U.S.A has US$762.7m in net cash. And we liked the look of last year's 45% year-on-year EBIT growth. So is Skechers U.S.A's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. We'd be motivated to research the stock further if we found out that Skechers U.S.A insiders have bought shares recently. If you would too, then you're in luck, since today we're sharing our list of reported insider transactions for free.

尽管查看公司的总负债总是明智的,但令人欣慰的是,斯凯奇美国的净现金为7.627亿美元。我们喜欢去年息税前利润同比增长45%的样子。那么斯凯奇美国的债务有风险吗?在我们看来,情况并非如此。如果我们发现斯凯奇美国内部人士最近购买了股票,我们将有动力进一步研究该股。如果你也是,那么你很幸运,因为从今天起,我们将免费分享我们举报的内幕交易清单。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

当然,如果你是那种喜欢在没有债务负担的情况下购买股票的投资者,那么请立即查看我们的独家净现金增长股票清单。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对这篇文章有反馈吗?对内容感到担忧吗?请直接联系我们。或者,也可以发送电子邮件至编辑团队 (at) simplywallst.com。
Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

对这篇文章有反馈吗?担心内容吗?直接联系我们。或者,发送电子邮件至 editorial-team@simplywallst.com

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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