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Investing in Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank (HKG:3618) a Year Ago Would Have Delivered You a 57% Gain

Investing in Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank (HKG:3618) a Year Ago Would Have Delivered You a 57% Gain

一年前投资渝农商行(HKG:3618)将会带给你高达57%的收益。
Simply Wall St ·  07/23 19:03

If you want to compound wealth in the stock market, you can do so by buying an index fund. But if you pick the right individual stocks, you could make more than that. To wit, the Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank Co., Ltd. (HKG:3618) share price is 44% higher than it was a year ago, much better than the market return of around 1.1% (not including dividends) in the same period. So that should have shareholders smiling. Looking back further, the stock price is 40% higher than it was three years ago.

如果你想在股票市场上增加财富,你可以通过购买指数基金来实现。但是,如果你选择正确的个股,你的收入可能不止于此。换句话说,重庆农村商业银行股份有限公司(HKG: 3618)的股价比去年同期上涨了44%,远好于同期约1.1%(不包括股息)的市场回报率。因此,这应该让股东们微笑。再往前看,股价比三年前高出40%。

Let's take a look at the underlying fundamentals over the longer term, and see if they've been consistent with shareholders returns.

让我们来看看长期的基本面,看看它们是否与股东的回报一致。

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

引用巴菲特的话说:“船只将在世界各地航行,但Flat Earth Society将蓬勃发展。市场上的价格和价值之间将继续存在巨大差异...”考虑市场对公司的看法发生了怎样的变化的一种不完美但简单的方法是将每股收益(EPS)的变化与股价走势进行比较。

Over the last twelve months, Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank actually shrank its EPS by 2.2%.

在过去的十二个月中,重庆农村商业银行的每股收益实际上缩减了2.2%。

Sometimes companies will sacrifice EPS in the short term for longer term gains; and in that case we may be able to find other positives. Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.

有时,公司会在短期内牺牲每股收益以获得长期收益;在这种情况下,我们也许能够找到其他积极的方面。由于每股收益的变化似乎与股价的变化无关,因此值得研究其他指标。

We note that the most recent dividend payment is higher than the payment a year ago, so that may have assisted the share price. It could be that the company is reaching maturity and dividend investors are buying for the yield, pushing the price up in the process.

我们注意到,最近的股息支付高于一年前的股息,因此这可能对股价有所帮助。可能是该公司即将到期,而股息投资者正在买入收益率,从而在此过程中推高了价格。

You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

您可以在下面看到收入和收入如何随着时间的推移而变化(点击图片了解确切的值)。

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SEHK:3618 Earnings and Revenue Growth July 23rd 2024
SEHK: 3618 2024 年 7 月 23 日的收益和收入增长

It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. If you are thinking of buying or selling Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank stock, you should check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

可能值得注意的是,首席执行官的薪水低于类似规模公司的中位数。始终值得关注首席执行官的薪酬,但更重要的问题是公司多年来是否会增加收益。如果您正在考虑买入或卖出重庆农村商业银行的股票,则应查看这份显示分析师利润预测的免费报告。

What About Dividends?

分红呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. In the case of Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank, it has a TSR of 57% for the last 1 year. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

除了衡量股价回报率外,投资者还应考虑股东总回报率(TSR)。基于股息再投资的假设,股东总回报率纳入了任何分拆或贴现资本筹集的价值以及任何股息。可以说,股东总回报率更全面地描述了股票产生的回报。就重庆农村商业银行而言,其过去一年的股东总回报率为57%。这超过了我们之前提到的其股价回报率。因此,公司支付的股息提高了股东的总回报率。

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

We're pleased to report that Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 57% over one year. That's including the dividend. That's better than the annualised return of 9% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. Someone with an optimistic perspective could view the recent improvement in TSR as indicating that the business itself is getting better with time. Before forming an opinion on Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank you might want to consider the cold hard cash it pays as a dividend. This free chart tracks its dividend over time.

我们很高兴地报告,重庆农村商业银行的股东在一年内获得了 57% 的总股东回报率。这包括股息。这比五年来9%的年化回报率要好,这意味着该公司最近的表现更好。持乐观态度的人可能会将最近股东总回报率的改善视为业务本身随着时间的推移而变得更好。在对重庆农村商业银行形成意见之前,你可能需要考虑将其支付的冷硬现金作为股息。这张免费图表追踪了其一段时间内的股息。

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: many of them are unnoticed AND have attractive valuation).

如果你想和管理层一起购买股票,那么你可能会喜欢这份免费的公司清单。(提示:其中许多未被注意且估值诱人)。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对这篇文章有反馈吗?对内容感到担忧吗?请直接联系我们。或者,也可以发送电子邮件至编辑团队 (at) simplywallst.com。
Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

对这篇文章有反馈吗?担心内容吗?直接联系我们。或者,发送电子邮件至 editorial-team@simplywallst.com

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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