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Is Gold Cup Electric ApparatusLtd (SZSE:002533) A Risky Investment?

Is Gold Cup Electric ApparatusLtd (SZSE:002533) A Risky Investment?

黄金杯电器股份有限公司(SZSE:002533)是否是一项风险投资?
Simply Wall St ·  07/23 19:39

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Gold cup Electric Apparatus Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:002533) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

沃伦•巴菲特曾经说过:"波动性远非风险等同的代名词"。所以,如果您要评估一家公司的风险,通常与破产有关的债务是一个非常重要的因素。重要的是,金杯电工股份有限公司(SZSE:002533)确实有负债。但是这种负债会对股东构成威胁吗?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

债务带来了什么风险?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

一般来说,只有当一家公司不能很容易地通过募集资本或使用自己的现金流来偿还债务时,债务才会成为真正的问题。在最糟糕的情况下,一家公司可能会破产,如果它无法偿还债权人。虽然这不太常见,但我们经常看到负债累累的公司因为放贷人迫使它们以贱价发行股票而永久稀释股东。尽管如此,通过取代稀释,债务可以成为需要投资高回报增长的企业的极好工具。考虑一家公司的债务水平的第一步是将其现金和债务视为一个整体。

What Is Gold cup Electric ApparatusLtd's Net Debt?

金杯电工股份有限公司的净债务是多少?

As you can see below, at the end of March 2024, Gold cup Electric ApparatusLtd had CN¥1.04b of debt, up from CN¥965.8m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have CN¥830.9m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥205.0m.

正如您下面所看到的,在2024年3月底,金杯电工有10.4亿元的债务,较一年前的9658万元有所增加。点击图像获取更多详细信息。但是,它也有8309万元的现金抵消了这一点,导致净债务约为2050万元。

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SZSE:002533 Debt to Equity History July 23rd 2024
SZSE:002533股权负债历史纪录2024年7月23日

A Look At Gold cup Electric ApparatusLtd's Liabilities

我们可以从最近的资产负债表上看到,金杯电工股份有限公司有298亿元的短期债务到期,还有9075万元的长期债务到期。抵消这些债务的是,它有8309万元现金以及价值312亿元的应收款项在12个月内到期。所以这些流动资产大致匹配了总负债。鉴于金杯电工的规模,它的流动资产似乎已经很好地平衡了其总负债。因此,这家662亿人民币的公司很可能不会缺乏现金,但仍然值得关注其资产负债表。

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Gold cup Electric ApparatusLtd had liabilities of CN¥2.98b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥907.5m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥830.9m as well as receivables valued at CN¥3.12b due within 12 months. So these liquid assets roughly match the total liabilities.

金杯电工股份有限公司的负债风险相对较低,因为其总负债水平相对较小。总的来说,这家公司使用债务非常合理,并且这得到了我们的赞赏。毕竟,明智的杠杆可以提高股权回报率。当您分析债务时,资产负债表显然是要关注的领域。不过,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表上。案例证明:我们发现了金杯电工股份有限公司的1项风险提示,您应该注意一下。

Having regard to Gold cup Electric ApparatusLtd's size, it seems that its liquid assets are well balanced with its total liabilities. So it's very unlikely that the CN¥6.62b company is short on cash, but still worth keeping an eye on the balance sheet.

最后,尽管税务部门可能喜欢会计利润,但放贷人只接受冰冷的现金。因此,我们总是检查EBIt中有多少被转化为自由现金流。从最近三年的情况来看,金杯电工有EBIt的45%转化为自由现金流,这比我们预期的要弱。这种弱的现金转换使处理债务更加困难。

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

为了对公司的债务相对于其收益进行规模适应,我们计算其净债务与利息、税、折旧和摊销前收益(EBITDA)之比及其税前收益(EBIT)与利息支出之比(利息保障倍数)。因此,我们既考虑到不包括折旧和摊销费用在内的收益,又包括折旧和摊销费用的收益相对于债务。

Gold cup Electric ApparatusLtd has net debt of just 0.25 times EBITDA, suggesting it could ramp leverage without breaking a sweat. And remarkably, despite having net debt, it actually received more in interest over the last twelve months than it had to pay. So it's fair to say it can handle debt like a hotshot teppanyaki chef handles cooking. On top of that, Gold cup Electric ApparatusLtd grew its EBIT by 33% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Gold cup Electric ApparatusLtd's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

金杯电工股份有限公司的利息保障倍数表明,它可以轻松处理其债务,就像克里斯蒂亚诺·罗纳尔多可以在对抗14岁以下守门员时打入一个进球一样轻松。好消息并没有停止,因为其EBIt增长率也支持这种印象!总体而言,金杯电工股份有限公司似乎相当合理地使用债务;而我们对此表示赞同。毕竟,明智的杠杆可以提高股权回报率。当您分析债务时,资产负债表显然是要关注的领域。不过,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表上。案例证明:我们发现了金杯电工股份有限公司的1项风险提示,您应该注意一下。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, Gold cup Electric ApparatusLtd recorded free cash flow of 45% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

最后,尽管税务部门可能喜欢会计利润,但放贷人只接受冰冷的现金。因此,我们总是检查EBIt中有多少被转化为自由现金流。从最近三年的情况来看,金杯电工有EBIt的45%转化为自由现金流,这比我们预期的要弱。这种弱的现金转换使处理债务更加困难。

Our View

我们的观点

Gold cup Electric ApparatusLtd's interest cover suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. And the good news does not stop there, as its EBIT growth rate also supports that impression! Zooming out, Gold cup Electric ApparatusLtd seems to use debt quite reasonably; and that gets the nod from us. After all, sensible leverage can boost returns on equity. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Gold cup Electric ApparatusLtd you should be aware of.

总的来说,金杯电工股份有限公司合理使用债务;这得到了我们的认可。毕竟,明智的杠杆可以提高股权回报率。当您分析债务时,资产负债表显然是要关注的领域。不过,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表上。案例证明:我们发现了金杯电工股份有限公司的1项风险提示,您应该注意一下。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

当然,如果您是那种喜欢购买没有负债负担的股票的投资者,则今天就可以发现我们的独家净现金增长股清单。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

对本文有反馈?对内容感到担忧?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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