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Is Midea Group (SZSE:000333) A Risky Investment?

Is Midea Group (SZSE:000333) A Risky Investment?

美的集团(SZSE:000333)是一项冒险的投资吗?
Simply Wall St ·  07/23 19:51

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Midea Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000333) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

作为投资者,有些人认为波动性而非债务是风险考量中更好的方式,但沃伦·巴菲特曾经说过:“波动性与风险远非同义词。”因此,明智的资金应该知道债务——通常与破产有关——是评估公司风险时极其重要的因素之一。与其他许多公司一样,美的集团有限公司(SZSE:000333)也使用债务。但是,这种债务会对股东构成担忧吗?

When Is Debt A Problem?

什么时候负债才是一个问题?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

债务可以为企业提供帮助,直到企业无法通过新资本或者自由现金流偿还为止。最坏的情况下,如果企业无法付清债权人,公司可能会破产。然而,在更为普遍但仍然代价高昂的情况下,公司必须以折价的价格发行股票,从而永久稀释股东权益,以解决资产负债表问题。当然,债务可以成为企业的重要工具,特别是对于资本密集型企业而言。当考虑企业使用债务时,我们首先会关注现金和债务的总体情况。

What Is Midea Group's Net Debt?

美的集团的净债务是多少?

As you can see below, Midea Group had CN¥67.5b of debt at March 2024, down from CN¥74.9b a year prior. But on the other hand it also has CN¥97.9b in cash, leading to a CN¥30.5b net cash position.

正如您下面所看到的,截至2024年3月,美的集团的债务总额为675亿元,较去年同期的749亿元有所下降。但是,它也拥有979亿元的现金,带来305亿元的净现金头寸。

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SZSE:000333 Debt to Equity History July 23rd 2024
SZSE:000333的负债权益历史记录于2024年7月23日

A Look At Midea Group's Liabilities

查看美的集团的负债

The latest balance sheet data shows that Midea Group had liabilities of CN¥254.0b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥60.1b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥97.9b and CN¥84.1b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥132.0b.

最新的资产负债表数据显示,美的集团应于一年内到期的负债为2540亿元,到期后一年的负债为601亿元。另一方面,它拥有979亿元的现金和841亿元的应收款项到期。因此,它的负债比现金和(近期)应收账款高出1320亿元。这种赤字并不严重,因为美的集团价值4282亿元,因此如果需要,可能能够筹集足够的资金来解决资产负债表问题。但是很明显,我们应该仔细审查它是否能够在不稀释股权的情况下管理其债务。尽管它的负债很显著,美的集团拥有净现金,因此可以说它没有沉重的债务负担!

This deficit isn't so bad because Midea Group is worth a massive CN¥428.2b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Midea Group boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

另一个好迹象是,美的集团在十二个月内增加了23%的息税前利润(EBIt),这使得偿还债务更容易。分析债务水平时,资产负债表是明显的起点。但是,未来的盈利,尤其是将决定美的集团是否能够保持健康的资产负债表。因此,如果您想了解专业人士的看法,您可能会发现这篇关于分析师利润预测的免费报告很有趣。

Another good sign is that Midea Group has been able to increase its EBIT by 23% in twelve months, making it easier to pay down debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Midea Group's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

最后,企业需要自由现金流来偿还债务;会计利润并不能解决问题。尽管美的集团在资产负债表上有净现金,但了解其将息税前利润(EBIT)转化为自由现金流的能力还是值得一看,以帮助我们了解它增加(或减少)现金余额的速度有多快。在过去的三年中,美的集团实际上产生了比EBIt更多的自由现金流。这种强劲的现金流发生便如同穿上熊蜂装的小狗一般,使人心旷神怡。

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. While Midea Group has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, Midea Group actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.

尽管美的集团的负债高于流动资产,但它也有305亿元的净现金。此外,它将其EBIt的119%转化为自由现金流,带来560亿元的收益。因此,我们认为美的集团使用的债务并不具有风险。鉴于美的集团拥有健康的资产负债表、盈利和派息,如果可能的话,最好了解其分红是否在增长。您可以通过单击此链接来立即了解更多。

Summing Up

总之

While Midea Group does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of CN¥30.5b. The cherry on top was that in converted 119% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in CN¥56b. So we don't think Midea Group's use of debt is risky. Given Midea Group has a strong balance sheet is profitable and pays a dividend, it would be good to know how fast its dividends are growing, if at all. You can find out instantly by clicking this link.

美的集团虽然的确有更多的负债,但它也有305亿元的净现金。更美好的是,它将其EBIt的119%转化为自由现金流,带来560亿元的收益。因此,我们认为美的集团使用的债务并不具有风险。鉴于美的集团拥有健康的资产负债表、盈利和派息,如果可能的话,最好了解其分红是否在增长。您可以通过单击此链接来立即了解更多。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果您有兴趣投资能够在不负债的情况下增长利润的企业,请查看这份免费列表,其中列出了在资产负债表上拥有净现金的成长型企业。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

对本文有反馈?对内容感到担忧?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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