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Forget Gold! 1 Silver Stock Riding the Wave Higher!

Forget Gold! 1 Silver Stock Riding the Wave Higher!

忘了黄金!1只白银股票趁势飙升!
The Motley Fool ·  07/23 20:15
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The price of gold has been remarkably hot so far this year. And though prices have pulled back in recent sessions, I still think the shiny yellow metal ought to be viewed as a staple in any diversified portfolio aiming to hedge against various risks and black swans over the long run. Nonetheless, some very smart money managers, including the great Warren Buffett himself, aren't huge fans of the asset.

今年黄金价格一直表现出色。尽管价格在最近几次交易中有所回调,但我仍认为这种闪闪发光的黄金应被视为任何多元化投资组合中的重要品种,旨在对抗各种风险和黑天鹅长期运行。然而,包括伟大的沃伦·巴菲特在内的一些非常明智的资产管理人士并不是资产的狂热追随者。

Most notably, Buffett notes that gold, while pretty and shiny, is not a productive (income-producing) asset. Undoubtedly, gold just sits there, perhaps costing investors money for secure storage.

特别是,巴菲特指出,金子虽然漂亮闪亮,但并不是创造收入的资产。毫无疑问,黄金只是价格摆上那里,可能为安全储存付出一些代价。

Of course, you could own some gold notes or stash gold bullion underneath the mattress, but doing so probably isn't advisable! In any case, gold has its drawbacks. And worse, it is pretty much impossible to value. It's only worth as much as the next person will pay. But despite its speculative nature, I do view gold as one of the best stores of wealth over extended periods.

当然,你可以拥有一些黄金票据或藏金条于床垫下,但这样做可能不可取!无论如何,黄金也有其缺点。更糟糕的是,它几乎不可能被估值。只有下一个人愿意支付的价格就是它的价值。但尽管其具有投机性质,我仍视黄金为长期内最好的财富储存之一。

The case for checking out gold and silver miners today

今天值得关注黄金和白银矿业股

As we've found out over the past couple of years, inflation can take a big bite out of the value of a dollar. And if you're overweight cash, you'll probably feel the full pains of elevated inflation. If inflation is what you foresee, gold may very well be the safe haven asset to stash a portion (let's say around 5% or less) of your portfolio into.

正如我们在过去几年中所发现的那样,通货膨胀可能会大幅削减美元价值。如果你长期持有现金,则可能会完全感受到高通胀的痛苦。如果你预期通货膨胀的话,黄金可能很好地成为将组合的一部分(比如说5%或更少)藏匿在安全的避风港资产中。

Though I do view the recent 3% slip in gold as buyable, I do view silver as the potentially more profitable precious metal as we head into year's end. Indeed, silver isn't just a poor man's gold. In fact, amid the precious metals rally, silver prices have outdone gold.

尽管我认为黄金最近下跌3%表现可买,但我认为白银作为更有利可图的贵金属,在进入年底阶段时也许更有潜力。的确,在贵金属反弹中,白银价格已经超过了黄金。

Gold prices are up 16% year to date â a pretty impressive run that could have legs as the Federal Reserve approaches its first interest rate cut. Meanwhile, silver has been up more than 23% year-to-date.

黄金价格今年已经上涨了16%,这是非常不错的表现,随着联邦储备接近其第一次降息,它可能会延续。与此同时,白银今年迄今已上涨逾23%。

Indeed, silver has been the shinier of the two metals so far this year. But can silver's outperformance continue into the second half?

的确,白银至今表现更为出色。但白银领先能否延续到下半年?

Only time will tell. Regardless, I do view silver as having more upside from current levels. At this juncture, the shares of silver miners look most intriguing and ready to gain in the back half.

只有时间会告诉我们。无论如何,我认为白银的上涨空间更大。在这个节点,银矿股似乎最有吸引力,并准备在后半年获得收益。

A cheap silver stock for the second half

下半年一个便宜的白银股

At the time of writing, shares of First Majestic Silver (TSX:AG), which recently changed its ticker to a more appropriate "AG" (the elemental symbol for silver), look pretty cheap, while it's down over 63% from its early-2021 high.

在撰写本文时,First Majestic Silver (TSX:AG)的股票价格看起来相当便宜,最近将其交易编号更改为更合适的“AG”(银的元素符号),而该股票已从2021年初的高点下跌了63%以上。

At $8 and change, AG stock seems like more of a value trap or falling knife right here. That said, if you're bullish on silver, First Majestic is the way to play it. The company saw production slip in the first quarter but seems positioned for a bounce back at some point down the road. Despite the first-quarter fumble, the company is still en route to hitting its targets for the year.

在8美元左右的价位上,AG股票似乎更像是一个价值陷阱或正处于下跌的刀口。话虽如此,如果你看涨白银,First Majestic就是其中一种方式。公司在第一季度的产量下降,但似乎已做好了某个时候反弹的准备。尽管第一季度出现失误,公司仍在努力实现年度目标。

At 3.3 times price-to-sales (P/S), I view the silver mining stock as nothing short of a bargain. But do be ready for excessive choppiness given the higher beta (1.4), which entails more market risk than most other TSX names.

以3.3倍的市销率(P/S)来看,我认为银矿业股票简直是一个便宜货。但要为震荡过度做好准备,因为其高beta(1.4),意味着比大多数TSX名称具有更高的市场风险。

The post Forget Gold! 1 Silver Stock Riding the Wave Higher! appeared first on The Motley Fool Canada.

本文来源于Motley Fool Canada。

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