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Is Xiamen King Long Motor Group (SHSE:600686) Weighed On By Its Debt Load?

Is Xiamen King Long Motor Group (SHSE:600686) Weighed On By Its Debt Load?

金龙汽车(SHSE:600686)是否因为负债而受到拖累?
Simply Wall St ·  07/24 00:36

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Xiamen King Long Motor Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600686) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

由伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司的查理·芒格支持的外部基金经理李露对此毫不掩饰,他说:“最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久的资本损失。”当你检查公司的资产负债表的风险时,考虑它的资产负债表是很自然的,因为企业倒闭时通常会涉及债务。重要的是,厦门金龙汽车集团有限公司(SHSE: 600686)确实有债务。但更重要的问题是:这笔债务会带来多大的风险?

When Is Debt A Problem?

债务何时会成为问题?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

债务为企业提供帮助,直到企业难以用新的资本或自由现金流还清债务。如果情况变得非常糟糕,贷款人可以控制业务。尽管这种情况不太常见,但我们经常看到负债公司永久稀释股东,因为贷款人迫使他们以低价筹集资金。当然,许多公司使用债务为增长提供资金,而不会产生任何负面后果。考虑公司债务水平的第一步是将其现金和债务放在一起考虑。

What Is Xiamen King Long Motor Group's Net Debt?

厦门金龙汽车集团的净负债是多少?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2024 Xiamen King Long Motor Group had CN¥6.26b of debt, an increase on CN¥5.59b, over one year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥8.35b in cash, so it actually has CN¥2.10b net cash.

你可以点击下图查看历史数字,但它显示,截至2024年3月,厦门金龙汽车集团在一年内有62.6元人民币的债务,比55.9元人民币有所增加。但是,其资产负债表显示它持有83.5元人民币的现金,因此实际上拥有21元人民币的净现金。

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SHSE:600686 Debt to Equity History July 24th 2024
SHSE: 600686 2024 年 7 月 24 日债务与股权比率的历史记录

A Look At Xiamen King Long Motor Group's Liabilities

看看厦门金龙汽车集团的负债

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Xiamen King Long Motor Group had liabilities of CN¥17.9b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥5.07b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥8.35b in cash and CN¥5.28b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥9.38b.

我们可以从最新的资产负债表中看出,厦门金龙汽车集团的负债为179元人民币,一年后到期的负债为50.7元人民币。与此相抵消的是,它有83.5元人民币的现金和52.8元人民币的应收账款将在12个月内到期。因此,其负债超过其现金和(短期)应收账款总额93.8元人民币。

When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's CN¥9.07b market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price. Given that Xiamen King Long Motor Group has more cash than debt, we're pretty confident it can handle its debt, despite the fact that it has a lot of liabilities in total. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Xiamen King Long Motor Group's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

当你考虑到这一缺口超过了公司90.7元人民币的市值时,你很可能会倾向于仔细审查资产负债表。假设,如果公司被迫通过按当前股价筹集资金来偿还负债,则需要进行极其严重的稀释。鉴于厦门金龙汽车集团的现金多于债务,尽管其总负债很多,但我们非常有信心它能够处理债务。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但是,影响未来资产负债表状况的是厦门金龙汽车集团的收益。因此,如果你想进一步了解其收益,可能值得看看这张长期收益趋势图。

Over 12 months, Xiamen King Long Motor Group reported revenue of CN¥20b, which is a gain of 3.0%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. That rate of growth is a bit slow for our taste, but it takes all types to make a world.

在过去的12个月中,厦门金龙汽车集团公布的收入为200元人民币,增长了3.0%,尽管它没有报告任何利息和税前收益。这种增长速度对我们的口味来说有点慢,但要创造一个世界需要所有类型。

So How Risky Is Xiamen King Long Motor Group?

那么厦门金龙汽车集团的风险有多大?

Although Xiamen King Long Motor Group had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last twelve months, it made a statutory profit of CN¥82m. So when you consider it has net cash, along with the statutory profit, the stock probably isn't as risky as it might seem, at least in the short term. We're not impressed by its revenue growth, so until we see some positive sustainable EBIT, we consider the stock to be high risk. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Xiamen King Long Motor Group (of which 2 are concerning!) you should know about.

尽管厦门金龙汽车集团在过去十二个月中出现了息税前收益(EBIT)亏损,但其法定利润为8200万元人民币。因此,当你考虑到它有净现金和法定利润时,该股票的风险可能没有看起来那么大,至少在短期内是如此。它的收入增长并没有给我们留下深刻的印象,因此,在我们看到稳定的息税前利润之前,我们认为该股票是高风险的。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但归根结底,每家公司都可以控制资产负债表之外存在的风险。这些风险可能很难发现。每家公司都有它们,我们已经发现了厦门金龙汽车集团的3个警告标志(其中2个令人担忧!)你应该知道。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

当一切都说完之后,有时更容易将注意力集中在甚至不需要债务的公司上。读者现在可以100%免费访问净负债为零的成长型股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

对这篇文章有反馈吗?担心内容吗?直接联系我们。或者,发送电子邮件至 editorial-team@simplywallst.com

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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