McEwen Mining Inc.'s (NYSE:MUX) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.8x may not look like an appealing investment opportunity when you consider close to half the companies in the Metals and Mining industry in the United States have P/S ratios below 1.3x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.
NYSE:MUX Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry July 24th 2024
What Does McEwen Mining's Recent Performance Look Like?
Recent times have been advantageous for McEwen Mining as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the strong revenue performance to persist, which has raised the P/S. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on McEwen Mining will help you uncover what's on the horizon.
How Is McEwen Mining's Revenue Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the industry for P/S ratios like McEwen Mining's to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 44%. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 78% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the three analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 17% over the next year. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 24% growth forecast for the broader industry.
With this in consideration, we believe it doesn't make sense that McEwen Mining's P/S is outpacing its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
What We Can Learn From McEwen Mining's P/S?
While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
We've concluded that McEwen Mining currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its forecast growth is lower than the wider industry. The weakness in the company's revenue estimate doesn't bode well for the elevated P/S, which could take a fall if the revenue sentiment doesn't improve. This places shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 4 warning signs with McEwen Mining (at least 2 which shouldn't be ignored), and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content?Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com