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Is Knowles (NYSE:KN) A Risky Investment?

Is Knowles (NYSE:KN) A Risky Investment?

Knowles (纽交所:KN)是否是一项风险投资?
Simply Wall St ·  07/24 08:32

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Knowles Corporation (NYSE:KN) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

霍华德•马克斯曾经说过,与其担心股价波动,不如担心“永久性损失的可能性是我所担心的风险,我认识的每个实际的投资者都会担心。”因此,当您考虑任何一只股票的风险时,需要考虑到债务,因为过多债务会使公司陷入困境。我们可以看到Knowles Corporation(纽交所:KN)的业务确实使用了债务。 但问题是,这些债务是否会使公司承受风险。

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

债务带来了什么风险?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

负债是帮助企业增长的工具,但如果企业无法偿还债务,它就存在于贷款人的恩惠之下。如果情况变得非常糟糕,贷款人可以接管企业。然而,更频繁(但仍然昂贵)发生的情况是,公司必须以严重折价的价格发行股票,永久稀释股东,以弥补其资产负债表。然而,通过替代稀释,债务可以成为企业的一种极好的工具,用于高速回报的增长。当我们考虑企业使用债务时,首先看现金和债务的总和。

What Is Knowles's Net Debt?

Knowles的净债务是多少?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2024 Knowles had US$293.2m of debt, an increase on US$45.0m, over one year. On the flip side, it has US$122.1m in cash leading to net debt of about US$171.1m.

您可以单击下面的图形查看历史数据,但它显示截至2024年3月,Knowles的债务为2.9320亿美元,比去年增加了4500万美元。与此相反,它拥有1.2210亿美元的现金,导致净债务约为1.7110亿美元。

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NYSE:KN Debt to Equity History July 24th 2024
纽交所:KN的负债权益历史数据2024年7月24日

How Strong Is Knowles' Balance Sheet?

Knowles的资产负债表强度如何?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Knowles had liabilities of US$170.3m due within 12 months and liabilities of US$279.2m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$122.1m as well as receivables valued at US$130.8m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$196.6m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

将焦点放在最新的资产负债表数据上,我们可以看到Knowles在12个月内有170.3亿美元的到期负债和超过279.2亿美元的超期负债。抵消这些负债,它拥有1.2210亿美元的现金,以及价值1308.0万美元的应收账款在12个月内到期。因此,它的负债总额比其现金和短期应收账款加起来还多1966.0万美元。

Given Knowles has a market capitalization of US$1.68b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.

鉴于Knowles市值高达1.68亿美元,很难相信这些负债会构成多大威胁。尽管如此,显然我们应该继续监控其资产负债表,以防情况恶化。

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

通过查看公司的净债务与利息、税、折旧、摊销前利润(EBITDA)之比以及它的利息费用(利息覆盖率)可以衡量一个公司的债务负担与收益能力。因此,我们考虑将债务与有无计算折旧和摊销费用的收益相对比。

Knowles's net debt is sitting at a very reasonable 1.6 times its EBITDA, while its EBIT covered its interest expense just 6.7 times last year. While these numbers do not alarm us, it's worth noting that the cost of the company's debt is having a real impact. But the bad news is that Knowles has seen its EBIT plunge 16% in the last twelve months. If that rate of decline in earnings continues, the company could find itself in a tight spot. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Knowles can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Knowles的净债务是其EBITDA的1.6倍,其EBIT覆盖去年的利息支出只有6.7倍。 尽管这些数字并不担心我们,但值得注意的是,公司债务成本有着实际影响。但坏消息是,Knowles去年的EBIT下降了16%。 如果公司的收益率以这样的速度持续下降,公司可能会陷入困境。分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。 但最终业务未来的盈利能力将决定Knowles能否随着时间的推移加强其资产负债表。 因此,如果您关注未来,可以查看此免费报告,其中包含分析师的盈利预测。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, Knowles actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.

最后,虽然税务人员可能喜欢会计利润,但贷方只接受冰冷的现金。因此,值得检查多少EBIT受到自由现金流的支持。 在过去的三年中,Knowles实际上比EBIT生产了更多的自由现金流。 这种强劲的现金产生让我们像穿着大黄蜂服的小狗一样感到温暖。

Our View

我们的观点

On our analysis Knowles's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow should signal that it won't have too much trouble with its debt. But the other factors we noted above weren't so encouraging. To be specific, it seems about as good at (not) growing its EBIT as wet socks are at keeping your feet warm. Considering this range of data points, we think Knowles is in a good position to manage its debt levels. But a word of caution: we think debt levels are high enough to justify ongoing monitoring. Of course, we wouldn't say no to the extra confidence that we'd gain if we knew that Knowles insiders have been buying shares: if you're on the same wavelength, you can find out if insiders are buying by clicking this link.

根据我们的分析,Knowles的EBIT转换为自由现金流的情况应表明其不会在应对债务方面遇到太多问题。 但是,上面提到的其他因素并不那么令人鼓舞。 具体而言,它似乎与湿袜子一样,不会增长其EBIT,就像湿袜子不能保持您的双脚温暖一样。 考虑到这些数据点,我们认为Knowles处于管理其债务水平的良好位置。 但需要注意的是,我们认为债务水平已经足够高,以证明继续监控的必要性。当然,如果我们知道Knowles内部人员一直在购买股票,那么我们也不会拒绝获得额外的信心:如果您与我们处于同一波长,则可以通过单击此链接查看内部人员是否购买了股票。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

说到底,有时更容易关注那些甚至不需要债务的公司。读者可以免费查看零净债务增长股票列表,立即获得。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对本文有任何反馈?对内容有任何疑虑?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

对本文有任何反馈?对内容有任何疑虑?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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