When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 18x, you may consider Fastenal Company (NASDAQ:FAST) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 33.7x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
With its earnings growth in positive territory compared to the declining earnings of most other companies, Fastenal has been doing quite well of late. It seems that many are expecting the company to continue defying the broader market adversity, which has increased investors' willingness to pay up for the stock. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
NasdaqGS:FAST Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry July 24th 2024 Keen to find out how analysts think Fastenal's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.
How Is Fastenal's Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like Fastenal's to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 2.5%. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 33% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 8.4% per annum as estimated by the analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 10% per year, which is not materially different.
In light of this, it's curious that Fastenal's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly average growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Although, additional gains will be difficult to achieve as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh down the share price eventually.
What We Can Learn From Fastenal's P/E?
Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
Our examination of Fastenal's analyst forecasts revealed that its market-matching earnings outlook isn't impacting its high P/E as much as we would have predicted. Right now we are uncomfortable with the relatively high share price as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless these conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
Many other vital risk factors can be found on the company's balance sheet. Our free balance sheet analysis for Fastenal with six simple checks will allow you to discover any risks that could be an issue.
You might be able to find a better investment than Fastenal. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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