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Air Canada Vs. Southwest Airlines: Which Stock Is a Better Buy?

Air Canada Vs. Southwest Airlines: Which Stock Is a Better Buy?

air canada与西南航空哪只股票更值得买入?
The Motley Fool ·  07/24 20:00
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Airline stocks trading in the U.S. and Canada are among the cheapest companies in 2024. Most airline stocks trade significantly below all-time highs due to higher interest rates, a debt-heavy balance sheet, inflation, volatile oil prices, and slower consumer spending.

美国和加拿大的航空股位于2024年最便宜的公司之一。由于利率上升、债务累积、通货膨胀、油价波动和消费者支出减缓,大多数航空股票交易价格明显低于历史最高水平。

However, with interest rate cuts on the horizon, there is a chance for beaten-down, undervalued airline stocks to gain pace and stage a rebound in the next 12 months. So, letâs see which airline stock, between Air Canada (TSX:AC) and Southwest Airlines (NYSE:LUV), is a better buy right now.

然而,随着有降息的迹象,有机会被打压、低估的航空公司股票在未来12个月内走强反弹。那么,让我们看看现在在Air Canada(TSX:AC)和Southwest Airlines(NYSE:LUV)之间,哪个更值得购买。

Is Southwest Airlines stock a good buy?

西南航空股票值得购买吗?

Valued at US$16 billion by market cap, Southwest Airlines has returned less than 4% in dividend-adjusted gains to shareholders in the past decade. Trading almost 60% below all-time highs, LUV stock has burned massive shareholder wealth since the COVID-19 pandemic.

西南航空公司的市值为160亿美元,过去十年股东获得的分红调整收益不到4%。LUV股票交易价格几乎比历史最高点低60%,自COVID-19大流行以来一直消耗着大量股东财富。

While Southwest reported record sales of US$6.33 billion in the first quarter (Q1) of 2024, it missed analyst revenue estimates of US$6.42 billion. Its loss per share of US$0.36 was also wider than estimates of US$0.34 per share.

虽然西南航空在2024年第一季度报告了创纪录的63.3亿美元销售额,但它未能达到64.2亿美元的分析师营收预期。每股亏损0.36美元,也比每股亏损0.34美元的预期亏损幅度更大。

During the Q1 earnings call, Southwest warned investors that Boeing's aircraft delays will hamper its top-line growth in the near term. For instance, it expects to grow capacity by 4% in 2024, lower than its previous estimates of 6%. Southwest Airlines said it expects to receive just 20 Boeing 737 Max 8 planes, much lower than initial estimates of 46 planes. This will force the airline company to delay retiring older Boeing aircraft.

在Q1的业绩电话会议上,西南航空警告投资者,波音的飞机延误将阻碍其短期内的顶线增长。例如,它预计2024年增加4%的产能,低于之前的6%的预期。西南航空表示,它预计只能收到20架波音737 Max 8飞机,远低于最初的46架飞机的预期。这将迫使航空公司推迟退役旧波音飞机。

To shore up profit margins, Southwest has embarked on a cost-saving journey by offering its employees voluntary time off and shutting down operations at some airports.

为了提高利润率,西南航空通过向员工提供自愿休假并关闭一些机场的运营来节省成本。

Wall Street expects Southwest Airlines to report adjusted earnings per share of US$0.72 in 2024, down from US$1.57 per share in 2023. So, priced at 38 times forward earnings, LUV stock trades at a hefty premium to other airline peers.

华尔街预计西南航空将在2024年报告每股调整后的收益为0.72美元,低于2023年的1.57美元。因此,LUV股票以38倍的预期收益率交易,比其他航空同行的溢价高得多。

Out of the 19 analysts covering Southwest Airlines stock, 16 recommend âbuy,â and three recommend âhold.â The 12-month average target price for LUV stock is $27.18, which is marginally higher than its current trading price.

在覆盖西南航空股票的19位分析师中,16位建议买入,3位建议持有。LUV股票的12个月平均目标价格为27.18美元,略高于其当前交易价格。

Is Air Canada stock undervalued?

加拿大航空股票被低估吗?

After rising over 3,000% in the decade prior to COVID-19, Air Canada stock trades 68% below all-time highs. In the March quarter, Air Canada reported an operating revenue of $5.2 billion, an increase of 7% year over year. Its adjusted EBITDA (earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization) rose roughly 10% to $453 million, indicating a margin of 8.7%.

在COVID-19之前的10年中,加拿大航空股票上涨了超过3000%,现在交易价格比历史最高点低68%。在三月季度,加拿大航空报告了亿5200万美元的营业收入,同比增长了7%。其调整后的EBITDA(利润前利息、税、折旧和摊销)大约增长了10%,达到了45300万美元,表明其毛利率为8.7%。

A widening earnings base enabled Air Canada to report $1 billion in free cash flow. The Canadian airline giant used its free cash flow to reduce net debt by $786 million to $3.78 billion in the last three months. Air Canada ended Q1 with a net-debt-adjusted EBITDA multiple of 0.9 times, resulting in a credit rating upgrade to âBBâ by S&P Global.

加拿大航空不断扩大的收益通过自由现金流报告了10亿美元。这家加拿大的航空巨头利用其自由现金流在过去三个月中将净债务减少了7.86亿美元,达到了37.8亿美元。加拿大航空以0.9倍的净债务调整EBITDA倍数结束了Q1,获得了S&P全球的“BB”信用评级。

In the last four quarters, the companyâs free cash flow totalled $2.82 billion. Priced at 2.2 times trailing free cash flow, Air Canada is extremely cheap and trades at a 35% discount to consensus price target estimates.

在过去的四个季度中,该公司的自由现金流总额为28.2亿美元。加拿大航空的股票以2.2倍的历史自由现金流指标价格,极为便宜,并以比共识目标价格估计低35%的价格交易。

The Foolish takeaway

愚蠢的带走

Air Canada trades at a much lower multiple than Southwest Airlines and generates consistent free cash flow, making it a better investment in 2024.

与西南航空相比,加拿大航空交易倍数更低,且产生持续的自由现金流,使其在2024年成为更好的投资。

The post Air Canada vs. Southwest Airlines: Which Stock Is a Better Buy? appeared first on The Motley Fool Canada.

《加拿大愚人报》:航空股是时候买了,比较加拿大航空和西南航空股票,哪个更值得购买?

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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