Can Changzhou Xiangming Intelligent Drive System Corporation's (SZSE:301226) Weak Financials Pull The Plug On The Stock's Current Momentum On Its Share Price?
Can Changzhou Xiangming Intelligent Drive System Corporation's (SZSE:301226) Weak Financials Pull The Plug On The Stock's Current Momentum On Its Share Price?
Changzhou Xiangming Intelligent Drive System's (SZSE:301226) stock is up by a considerable 79% over the past month. However, in this article, we decided to focus on its weak fundamentals, as long-term financial performance of a business is what ultimately dictates market outcomes. Specifically, we decided to study Changzhou Xiangming Intelligent Drive System's ROE in this article.
上个月长沙湘明智能驱动系统(SZSE:301226)的股票上涨了79%。然而,在本篇文章中,我们决定关注其弱小的基本面,因为企业的长期财务绩效最终决定市场结果。具体来说,我们决定在本篇文章中研究长沙湘明智能驱动系统的ROE。
Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.
股东权益回报率(ROE)是测试公司如何有效地增加其价值并管理投资者资金的指标。简而言之,它用于评估公司相对于股本资本的盈利能力。
How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?
怎样计算ROE?
The formula for return on equity is:
权益回报率的计算公式是:
Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity
净资产收益率 = 净利润(从持续经营中获得)÷ 股东权益
So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Changzhou Xiangming Intelligent Drive System is:
因此,根据上述公式,长沙湘明智能驱动系统的ROE为:
3.5% = CN¥32m ÷ CN¥910m (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).
3.5%=CNY 3200万÷CNY 91000万(基于最近12个月截至2024年3月)。
The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.03 in profit.
'回报'是过去12个月的利润。这意味着,对于每一元股东权益,该公司产生了0.03元的利润。
What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?
ROE与盈利增长有什么关系?
We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.
我们已经确定ROE是一种有效的利润生成标准,用于评估公司未来的盈利能力。我们现在需要评估公司“保留”为未来增长而重新投资的利润多少,这使我们对公司的增长潜力有了一个了解。一般而言,在其他条件相等的情况下,ROE和利润留存高的公司,增长率比没有这些属性的公司要高。
Changzhou Xiangming Intelligent Drive System's Earnings Growth And 3.5% ROE
长沙湘明智能驱动系统的盈利增长和3.5%的ROE
It is quite clear that Changzhou Xiangming Intelligent Drive System's ROE is rather low. Even when compared to the industry average of 6.9%, the ROE figure is pretty disappointing. For this reason, Changzhou Xiangming Intelligent Drive System's five year net income decline of 13% is not surprising given its lower ROE. We reckon that there could also be other factors at play here. For instance, the company has a very high payout ratio, or is faced with competitive pressures.
很明显,长沙湘明智能驱动系统的ROE相当低。即使与行业平均水平6.9%相比,ROE数值也相当令人失望。因此,考虑到较低的ROE,长沙湘明智能驱动系统的五年净收入下降13%并不令人惊讶。我们认为这里还可能存在其他因素。例如,公司的股息支付比率非常高,或面临竞争压力。
However, when we compared Changzhou Xiangming Intelligent Drive System's growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 12% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.
然而,当我们将长沙湘明智能驱动系统的增长与行业进行比较时,我们发现虽然公司的盈利一直在下降,但同期行业的盈利增长了12%。这非常令人担忧。
Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. Is Changzhou Xiangming Intelligent Drive System fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.
盈利增长是评估股票的重要指标。投资者需要确定的下一步是预期的盈利增长(或缺乏盈利增长)是否已经反映在股票价格中。这样做将有助于他们确定股票的未来前景是光明还是黯淡。与其他公司相比,长沙湘明智能驱动系统的估值是否公正?这3个估值指标可能会对您有所帮助。
Is Changzhou Xiangming Intelligent Drive System Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?
长沙湘明智能驱动系统有效地再投资其利润吗?
With a high three-year median payout ratio of 59% (implying that 41% of the profits are retained), most of Changzhou Xiangming Intelligent Drive System's profits are being paid to shareholders, which explains the company's shrinking earnings. The business is only left with a small pool of capital to reinvest - A vicious cycle that doesn't benefit the company in the long-run. You can see the 4 risks we have identified for Changzhou Xiangming Intelligent Drive System by visiting our risks dashboard for free on our platform here.
由于高达59%的三年中位数股息支付比率(说明41%的利润被保留),因此长沙湘明智能驱动系统的大部分利润都被支付给股东,这解释了公司的盈利下降。该企业只留下了少量的资本以进行再投资-这是一个恶性循环,长期来看对企业没有好处。您可以通过访问我们网站上的免费风险面板来查看我们为长沙湘明智能驱动系统确定的4个风险。
Additionally, Changzhou Xiangming Intelligent Drive System started paying a dividend only recently. So it looks like the management may have perceived that shareholders favor dividends even though earnings have been in decline.
另外,长沙湘明智能驱动系统最近才开始支付股息。因此,尽管收益一直在下降,但似乎管理层认为股东喜欢股息。
Conclusion
结论
Overall, we would be extremely cautious before making any decision on Changzhou Xiangming Intelligent Drive System. Because the company is not reinvesting much into the business, and given the low ROE, it's not surprising to see the lack or absence of growth in its earnings. Until now, we have only just grazed the surface of the company's past performance by looking at the company's fundamentals. To gain further insights into Changzhou Xiangming Intelligent Drive System's past profit growth, check out this visualization of past earnings, revenue and cash flows.
总的来说,在做出长沙湘明智能驱动系统的任何决定之前,我们都应该极为谨慎。由于公司没有对业务进行大量再投资,以及ROE较低,因此可以理解为什么在其收益中缺乏或不存在增长。到目前为止,我们只是看了一下公司的基本面,对其过去的利润增长有所了解。要进一步了解长沙湘明智能驱动系统过去的利润增长,请查看过去盈利、营收和现金流的可视化。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
对本文有任何反馈?对内容有任何疑虑?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com
对本文有反馈?对内容感到担忧?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。